MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 21, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		36.8%
33.7%		29.4%
+280
-115
+285
-115
1.11
1.05		2.16
o2¾-122
u2¾+105
o3+105
u3-125
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		38.5%
33.8%		27.7%
+367
-155
+380
-155
1.24
1.15		2.39
o3+103
u3-120
o3+100
u3-115
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		26.8%
46.8%		26.4%
+275
-106
+275
-105
1.03
1.45		2.48
o2¾+101
u2¾-120
o2½-125
u2½+105
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		46.8%
26.7%		26.6%
+119
+202
+120
+210
1.43
1.02		2.45
o2¾-102
u2¾-117
o2½-125
u2½+105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		38.7%
33.1%		28.3%
+200
+136
+205
+138
1.21
1.10		2.31
o2½-105
u2½-114
o2½-105
u2½-115
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)		41.7%
31.8%		26.4%
+179
+140
+175
+145
1.38
1.18		2.56
o2¾-118
u2¾-102
o2½-145
u3-135
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		36.6%
35.1%		28.2%
+218
+119
+215
+124
1.18
1.14		2.32
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+115
New England Revolution (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		33.3%
34.9%		31.8%
+313
-130
+325
-130
0.93
0.97		1.90
o3+100
u3-112
o3-105
u3-115
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)		21.0%
56.2%		22.8%
+225
+107
+247
+105
1.03
1.83		2.86
o3-122
u3¼-125
o3-115
u3-105
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		47.4%
28.1%		24.5%
+265
-120
+255
-110
1.63
1.20		2.83
o3¼-110
u3¼-110
o3-140
u3+125
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)		34.6%
36.1%		29.4%
+137
+188
+134
+200
1.07
1.10		2.17
o2¾-115
u2¾-104
o2½-145
u3-130
Games for Feb 20, 2026
Games for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Sounders
Austin FC		39.3%
32.5%		28.2%
+435
+104
+418
-140
1
0		-1.59160-1.68093-0.93504
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City		33.7%
38.6%		27.6%
+285
+105
+278
+100
1
2		-0.74286-0.73835-0.95062
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers		37.3%
36.5%		26.2%
-105
+255
+115
+255
1
2		-1.30405-1.25762-1.00799
Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake		36.0%
37.3%		26.6%
+300
-107
+315
-110
2
2		-1.36461-1.36063-1.32354
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids		34.6%
37.3%		28.1%
+445
-175
+430
-160
0
2		-0.48630-0.51340-0.98639
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City		27.0%
51.6%		21.4%
+535
-190
+510
-200
1
1		-1.58939-1.58153-1.54304
D.C. United
Chicago Fire		29.6%
44.5%		25.9%
+215
+125
+220
+121
2
2		-1.34002-1.34301-1.35000
Atlanta United
FC Cincinnati		36.4%
34.2%		29.4%
+235
+120
+230
+120
1
1		-1.30111-1.30545-1.22448
Montreal Impact
New York City		28.6%
46.6%		24.8%
+700
-235
+655
-225
0
1		-0.37686-0.40027-0.76357
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew		28.1%
41.1%		30.8%
+255
+115
+245
+120
0
0		-1.27440-1.27207-1.17873
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC		29.4%
45.4%		25.2%
+230
+115
+220
+120
1
1		-1.38525-1.34500-1.37841
New England Revolution
Inter Miami CF		38.9%
32.2%		28.9%
+175
+165
+165
+160
5
0		-1.03403-1.02510-0.94392
Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps		34.0%
39.4%		26.6%
+150
+185
+165
+175
0
0		-1.29898-1.28939-1.32497
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United		34.9%
37.4%		27.8%
+285
-101
+270
+100
0
1		-0.70346-0.71947-0.98411
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC		26.8%
51.6%		21.6%
+790
-175
+773
-275
1
2		-0.39121-0.35693-0.66161
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers		31.9%
40.8%		27.4%
+315
-114
+330
-115
0
1		-0.66200-0.65252-0.89732
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%