MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		43.7%
29.7%		26.5%
+380
-126
+365
-125
1.41
1.11		2.52
o2½-112
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½+115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)		37.5%
36.3%		26.2%
+180
+165
+180
+154
1.33
1.31		2.64
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-128
u2½+110
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		47.4%
28.1%		24.5%
+251
+100
+262
-105
1.63
1.20		2.83
o3-115
u3-102
o3-120
u3+110
Games for Apr 18, 2025
Games for Apr 26, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		27.3%
43.1%		29.5%
+370
-122
+360
-116
2.09
o2¼-122
u2½-125
o2½+115
u2½-130
2nd H
86:00		0
3
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+261
+107
+240
+105
2.41
o3+102
u3-120
o3-105
u3-110
2nd H
89:00		0
3
D.C. United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		25.3%
48.1%		26.5%
+278
+104
+320
-105
2.43
o2¾-108
u2¾-112
o2½-135
u3-137
2nd H
87:00		2
1
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		43.0%
30.2%		26.7%
+153
+191
+145
+194
2.50
o2½+100
u2½-118
o2½-105
u2½-105
2nd H
90:00		0
0
New York City (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		31.3%
40.6%		28.1%
+196
+145
+176
+155
2.32
o2¾-106
u2¾-112
o2½-129
u2½+110
2nd H
90:00		0
2
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)		43.9%
30.4%		25.7%
+325
-113
+300
-110
2.66
o2¾-105
u2¾-114
o2½-120
u2½+110
TIME
HALF		0
1
FC Dallas (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		30.3%
42.3%		27.4%
+670
-235
+650
-190
2.41
o2¾-107
u2¾-110
o2½-127
u3-140
TIME
HALF		0
0
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		29.7%
42.8%		27.5%
+212
+128
+220
+136
2.38
o2¾-105
u2¾-112
o2½-125
u2½+110
1st H
45:00		2
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Austin FC
Toronto FC		24.1%
50.6%		25.3%
+310
-108
+285
-110
1
2		-0.67476-0.69293-0.68061
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati		42.9%
27.9%		29.2%
+178
+139
+195
+132
0
0		-1.39107-1.40230-1.23148
FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps		45.0%
28.1%		26.9%
+242
+110
+230
+105
0
0		-1.36626-1.39740-1.31145
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo		55.5%
22.5%		22.0%
+307
-109
+290
-110
0
0		-1.35507-1.36759-1.51358
D.C. United
Chicago Fire		26.2%
47.6%		26.1%
+218
+120
+200
+125
2
1		-1.19125-1.14209-1.33819
Seattle Sounders
Columbus Crew		30.4%
40.6%		29.0%
+320
-114
+320
-120
4
0		-1.46192-1.48408-1.19227
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls		36.5%
35.4%		28.1%
+408
-147
+400
-150
1
1		-1.45000-1.46326-1.26805
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers		33.9%
38.4%		27.7%
+208
+135
+210
+130
0
1		-0.88203-0.87508-0.95714
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC		16.5%
64.4%		19.1%
+380
-140
+395
-150
2
0		-1.59258-1.63604-1.80351
Minnesota United
San Jose Earthquakes		47.7%
27.8%		24.6%
+188
+130
+185
+125
2
1		-1.09234-1.09527-0.74087
New England Revolution
Real Salt Lake		40.7%
31.1%		28.1%
+400
-158
+400
-170
0
2		-0.51973-0.51086-1.16681
Inter Miami CF
Chicago Fire		29.7%
42.6%		27.7%
+167
+159
+170
+155
4
1		-1.00901-1.02910-1.21365
Vancouver Whitecaps
Austin FC		25.3%
48.6%		26.0%
+208
+130
+205
+130
1
0		-1.15420-1.14753-1.37247
Colorado Rapids
FC Dallas		30.5%
42.4%		27.1%
+213
+121
+206
+120
3
2		-1.17225-1.15999-1.18712
Nashville SC
Orlando City		28.2%
42.4%		29.4%
+527
-191
+510
-195
0
3		-0.45375-0.46245-0.85908
Montreal Impact
FC Cincinnati		31.4%
40.4%		28.2%
+655
-260
+650
-265
1
4		-0.35812-0.36709-0.90580
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.91987 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.91594 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.23346
-0.31358
-0.31751

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%