MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.5%		26.6%
+135
+173
+140
+165
0.95
1.45		2.40
o3¼-112
u3¼-108
o3½+115
u3½-120
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+380
-145
+376
-140
1.07
1.15		2.22
o2¾-113
u2¾-105
o3+120
u3-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+219
+118
+215
+120
1.18
1.20		2.38
o2¾-116
u2¾+102
o3+115
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+330
-134
+330
-130
1.00
1.24		2.24
o3-111
u3-108
o3-111
u3-105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+220
+114
+230
+115
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3-125
u3¼-123
o3-125
u3+110
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+152
+179
+150
+178
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2½-118
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½+105
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+140
+196
+145
+197
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+105
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+135
+185
+135
+195
1.34
1.21		2.55
o2¾-112
u2¾-105
o2½-145
u2½+125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+285
-125
+290
-125
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-102
u3½-117
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+360
-145
+361
-135
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-118
u3-102
o3-120
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+320
-133
+304
-115
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3¼-115
u3¼-102
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vancouver Whitecaps
Colorado Rapids		23.3%
52.9%		23.7%
+290
+100
+285
+100
0
1		-0.71597-0.71922-0.63590
Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake		42.8%
29.9%		27.3%
+410
-144
+400
-120
0
2		-0.56296-0.61819-1.20601
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United		28.0%
47.6%		24.4%
+220
+114
+215
+110
2
2		-1.40613-1.40985-1.41100
Houston Dynamo
Austin FC		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+196
+151
+190
+155
0
1		-0.95018-0.97979-0.71711
Toronto FC
Nashville SC		35.9%
33.9%		30.2%
+500
-165
+440
-150
0
2		-0.50083-0.54542-1.08291
New York City
Philadelphia Union		30.6%
41.9%		27.4%
+310
-115
+285
-105
2
1		-1.43818-1.38190-1.18365
New York Red Bulls
D.C. United		39.3%
32.1%		28.6%
+218
+138
+205
+145
4
1		-1.17701-1.14911-0.93311
Atlanta United
FC Cincinnati		36.8%
33.7%		29.4%
+330
-122
+310
-125
0
1		-0.62433-0.62740-1.08634
Columbus Crew
Montreal Impact		44.6%
27.7%		27.7%
+120
+221
+115
+220
3
1		-0.81394-0.80811-0.80694
Inter Miami CF
Orlando City		23.8%
50.2%		26.0%
+240
+105
+225
+110
0
0		-1.41010-1.42908-1.34669
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers		33.9%
38.4%		27.7%
+155
+168
+145
+172
2
1		-0.96414-0.94466-1.08158
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles FC		16.5%
64.2%		19.3%
+425
-156
+400
-160
0
3		-0.53094-0.53234-0.44334
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy		30.0%
44.5%		25.5%
+265
-105
+270
-110
2
2		-1.45904-1.41989-1.36602
San Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids		24.4%
52.4%		23.2%
+380
-135
+350
-130
3
2		-1.59499-1.54703-1.40936
Austin FC
FC Dallas		27.7%
44.3%		28.0%
+320
-105
+300
-105
1
2		-0.69673-0.70897-0.81486
Houston Dynamo
Sporting Kansas City		20.4%
57.3%		22.3%
+220
+134
+220
+130
2
1		-1.19657-1.20371-1.59145
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%