MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+395
-147
+384
-145
1.07
1.15		2.22
o3-102
u3-118
o3+105
u3-118
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+228
+121
+217
+120
1.18
1.20		2.38
o2¾-115
u2¾-104
o2½-140
u3-140
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+360
-135
+340
-135
1.00
1.24		2.24
o3-104
u3-110
o3-105
u3-115
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+210
+120
+200
+120
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3-125
u3¼-123
o3-125
u3+110
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+152
+184
+157
+175
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2½-118
u2½-101
o2½-120
u2½+105
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+145
+200
+140
+195
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2¾-103
u2¾-115
o2½-130
u2½+110
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+162
+160
+155
+160
1.34
1.21		2.55
o3-106
u3-112
o3-113
u3+100
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+300
-123
+290
-125
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-102
u3½-117
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+415
-150
+375
-150
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-118
u3+100
o3-120
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+335
-135
+315
-135
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3½-108
u3½-105
o3½-110
u3½+100
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
New England Revolution
Atlanta United		34.8%
35.8%		29.4%
+370
-145
+360
-145
1
4		-0.55844-0.56808-1.02764
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls		34.2%
36.5%		29.3%
+565
-178
+515
-150
1
2		-0.47420-0.51438-1.00865
Portland Timbers
New York City		33.0%
39.6%		27.4%
+302
+100
+330
-105
2
1		-1.41745-1.48316-1.11018
Toronto FC
New England Revolution		34.1%
37.9%		28.1%
+290
-105
+300
-108
1
0		-1.39566-1.41816-1.07678
Austin FC
Seattle Sounders		24.4%
49.5%		26.1%
+525
-180
+517
-175
0
0		-1.51131-1.48008-1.34224
Los Angeles Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes		42.1%
33.1%		24.8%
+197
+138
+215
+135
3
1		-1.11535-1.15353-0.86472
D.C. United
Portland Timbers		21.2%
54.7%		24.1%
+236
+115
+260
+115
2
2		-1.35073-1.32141-1.42408
Nashville SC
Colorado Rapids		32.9%
37.3%		29.8%
+345
+100
+300
+115
1
1		-1.23402-1.19908-1.21013
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire		29.7%
42.8%		27.5%
+215
+125
+215
+125
2
1		-1.18264-1.17905-1.21352
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo		42.2%
30.8%		27.0%
+199
+175
+200
+150
2
1		-1.11572-1.14816-0.86258
Montreal Impact
FC Dallas		26.0%
47.6%		26.4%
+320
-105
+293
+100
2
1		-1.46274-1.40801-1.34773
Philadelphia Union
Sporting Kansas City		34.2%
38.4%		27.4%
+360
-118
+310
-110
1
1		-1.34677-1.35158-1.29572
Orlando City
Inter Miami CF		41.4%
30.4%		28.2%
+350
-135
+350
-140
0
5		-0.58850-0.58445-1.19004
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United		34.9%
35.6%		29.5%
+113
+230
+110
+240
1
1		-1.38565-1.36594-1.22224
Los Angeles FC
Real Salt Lake		47.5%
27.9%		24.6%
+143
+187
+145
+175
0
3		-1.08767-1.05999-1.27669
Inter Miami CF
Los Angeles Galaxy		29.7%
44.1%		26.2%
+120
+212
+120
+200
1
1		-1.42047-1.41395-1.34105
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.39942 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.42612 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.32400
0.07542
0.10212

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%