MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+420
-150
+420
-155
1.07
1.15		2.22
o3-102
u3-118
o3+105
u3-118
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+255
+120
+243
+110
1.18
1.20		2.38
o2¾-115
u2¾-105
o2½-140
u3-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+340
-128
+320
-125
1.00
1.24		2.24
o3+102
u3-110
o3-105
u3-115
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+200
+129
+190
+125
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3-125
u3¼-120
o3-130
u3+110
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+163
+175
+157
+170
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2½-118
u2¾-121
o2½-120
u2½+105
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+148
+192
+140
+195
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2¾-105
u2¾-115
o2½-130
u2½+110
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+162
+160
+155
+160
1.34
1.21		2.55
o3-108
u3-106
o3-113
u3+100
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+310
-125
+300
-130
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-102
u3½-114
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+388
-150
+380
-150
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-118
u3+102
o3-120
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+340
-135
+330
-145
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3½-108
u3½+102
o3½-110
u3½+100
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC		29.0%
40.6%		30.4%
+177
+184
+190
+171
0
0		-1.16648-1.17380-1.19162
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati		43.5%
29.4%		27.1%
+400
-150
+575
-154
0
0		-1.48162-1.52248-1.30479
Colorado Rapids
Portland Timbers		28.5%
45.9%		25.6%
+395
-135
+356
-140
1
4		-0.58291-0.58735-0.77901
Minnesota United
Austin FC		38.7%
33.1%		28.3%
+243
+117
+230
+120
2
1		-1.26227-1.23244-0.95052
Sporting Kansas City
Houston Dynamo		48.2%
27.0%		24.8%
+235
+135
+270
+130
1
1		-1.20989-1.23323-1.39243
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas		22.6%
53.7%		23.6%
+245
+129
+245
+125
1
2		-0.86221-0.84758-0.62165
New England Revolution
D.C. United		45.2%
27.3%		27.4%
+253
+107
+250
+105
1
3		-0.76215-0.75792-1.29697
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union		25.9%
48.7%		25.4%
+350
-122
+360
-125
2
2		-1.37908-1.38990-1.36873
Montreal Impact
Orlando City		23.4%
52.1%		24.5%
+503
-170
+490
-180
0
0		-1.48625-1.48430-1.40617
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FC		30.2%
44.5%		25.2%
+477
-155
+468
-145
1
2		-0.52258-0.53923-0.80880
Atlanta United
Columbus Crew		26.1%
45.9%		28.0%
+420
-135
+360
-133
0
1		-0.54834-0.57862-0.77934
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami CF		31.9%
39.3%		28.8%
+480
-184
+480
-184
0
2		-0.46226-0.46657-0.93433
Los Angeles FC
Columbus Crew		33.8%
38.9%		27.3%
+235
+130
+215
+125
1
2		-0.84779-0.85982-0.94366
Los Angeles FC
Seattle Sounders		35.7%
38.0%		26.3%
+196
+158
+210
+160
1
0		-1.09628-1.14159-1.02974
Sporting Kansas City
Houston Dynamo		48.2%
27.0%		24.8%
+370
-115
+340
-115
0
1		-0.62976-0.66487-1.31093
Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati		41.9%
30.1%		27.9%
+293
-112
+330
-115
0
1		-0.67031-0.64301-1.20048
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.39942 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.42612 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.32400
0.07542
0.10212

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%