MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+199
+130
+190
+125
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3¼-105
u3¼-111
o3-130
u3+120
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+159
+175
+157
+170
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2¾+104
u2¾-115
o2½-120
u2½+105
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+141
+198
+140
+200
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2¾-109
u2¾-110
o2½-130
u2½+110
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+227
+117
+215
+160
1.34
1.21		2.55
o3-105
u3-112
o3-110
u3+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+310
-128
+300
-130
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-112
u3½-105
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+390
-149
+380
-150
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-118
u3+102
o3-120
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+340
-142
+330
-145
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3¾-102
u3¾-118
o3½-115
u3½+100
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+409
-150
+410
-160
2.22
o3-102
u3-114
o3+105
u3-118
1st H
43:58		0
1
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+251
+120
+243
+110
2.38
o2¾-115
u2¾-105
o2½-140
u3-140
1st H
43:50		0
1
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+330
-120
+320
-125
2.24
o3+102
u3-110
o3-105
u3-115
1st H
43:47		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Columbus Crew
Orlando City		33.7%
36.7%		29.6%
+205
+142
+198
+135
2
0		-1.11939-1.13007-1.08782
Atlanta United
Columbus Crew		26.1%
45.9%		28.0%
+402
-155
+392
-165
2
4		-0.51569-0.51173-0.77934
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo		38.6%
34.0%		27.4%
+486
-145
+400
-150
3
4		-0.52511-0.55379-1.07946
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders		28.2%
44.2%		27.5%
+610
-146
+550
-170
0
1		-0.51376-0.51498-0.81543
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution		32.8%
38.6%		28.5%
+213
+125
+205
+120
1
0		-1.15989-1.16305-1.11355
Orlando City
Nashville SC		34.1%
34.7%		31.2%
+295
+110
+265
+110
1
0		-1.40120-1.33397-1.07458
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United		37.4%
32.7%		30.0%
+169
+153
+165
+141
2
4		-0.94817-0.92717-1.11844
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake		26.9%
47.6%		25.5%
+204
+145
+190
+135
4
5		-0.91088-0.90291-0.74248
Los Angeles FC
Vancouver Whitecaps		55.4%
22.4%		22.2%
+165
+165
+160
+171
1
0		-0.97926-0.97559-0.59139
Seattle Sounders
FC Dallas		35.7%
35.1%		29.2%
+216
+162
+205
+153
1
3		-0.95540-0.95404-1.04643
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls		28.7%
43.3%		28.0%
+280
+103
+265
+105
8
7		-1.35511-1.33351-1.24782
Atlanta United
Columbus Crew		26.1%
45.9%		28.0%
+505
-200
+500
-205
0
2		-0.44007-0.43930-0.77934
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders		28.2%
44.2%		27.5%
+415
-128
+425
-135
0
2		-0.60283-0.59615-0.81543
Nashville SC
Orlando City		28.2%
42.4%		29.4%
+290
+107
+290
+104
0
1		-0.74621-0.75285-0.85908
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati		34.8%
35.5%		29.6%
+335
-107
+330
-115
0
3		-0.66980-0.65925-1.03485
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo		38.6%
34.0%		27.4%
+480
-133
+440
-155
1
2		-0.53021-0.52577-1.07946
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.39942 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.42612 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.32400
0.07542
0.10212

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%