MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+435
-184
+400
-165
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3¾-108
u3¾-110
o3½-115
u3½+110
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+199
+130
+190
+125
2.54
o3¼-109
u3¼-110
o3-130
u3+120
TIME
HALF		0
0
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+156
+179
+157
+170
2.55
o2½-126
u2¾-115
o2½-120
u2½+105
2nd H
93:21		1
0
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+141
+198
+140
+200
2.04
o2¾-109
u2¾-110
o2½-130
u2½+110
2nd H
90:45		2
2
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+221
+120
+215
+160
2.55
o3-105
u3-112
o3-110
u3+100
2nd H
91:27		1
3
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+250
+100
+280
-110
2.44
o3¼-118
u3¼+100
o3½+100
u3½-114
TIME
HALF		0
2
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+533
-200
+520
-185
2.55
o3-118
u3+102
o3-120
u3+105
TIME
HALF		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nashville SC
Orlando City		28.2%
42.4%		29.4%
+290
+107
+290
+104
0
1		-0.74621-0.75285-0.85908
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati		34.8%
35.5%		29.6%
+335
-107
+330
-115
0
3		-0.66980-0.65925-1.03485
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo		38.6%
34.0%		27.4%
+480
-133
+440
-155
1
2		-0.53021-0.52577-1.07946
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles FC		16.5%
64.2%		19.3%
+510
-170
+550
-210
2
5		-0.46026-0.42829-0.44334
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union		31.2%
40.8%		28.0%
+365
-138
+400
-138
1
3		-0.57746-0.55210-0.89578
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City		21.3%
56.7%		22.0%
+353
-128
+330
-118
2
4		-0.60897-0.64361-0.56680
Los Angeles FC
Vancouver Whitecaps		55.4%
22.4%		22.2%
+142
+185
+155
+165
1
1		-1.37164-1.36716-1.50485
Austin FC
San Jose Earthquakes		39.1%
33.7%		27.1%
+367
-138
+370
-145
1
1		-1.49553-1.48607-1.30383
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers		19.8%
57.9%		22.4%
+241
+116
+258
+110
3
1		-1.24591-1.29729-1.62060
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy		35.7%
37.2%		27.1%
+125
+202
+160
+190
4
1		-0.83926-0.94464-1.03111
Minnesota United
Sporting Kansas City		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+331
-132
+300
+240
1
3		-0.59180-0.96090-0.90780
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids		28.7%
45.2%		26.2%
+149
+176
+145
+185
1
0		-0.93369-0.92498-1.24935
Orlando City
Toronto FC		31.2%
42.1%		26.6%
+164
+158
+155
+185
2
0		-0.99204-0.93227-1.16411
Chicago Fire
New York City		27.4%
46.5%		26.1%
+443
-155
+410
-157
0
1		-0.52211-0.53693-0.76477
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution		32.8%
38.6%		28.5%
+167
+150
+205
+145
1
2		-0.94998-0.89187-0.95143
New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC		29.0%
40.6%		30.4%
+238
+135
+220
+155
1
0		-1.22905-1.15766-1.23787
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.07762 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.08392 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.10943
-0.03181
-0.02551

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%