MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
D.C. United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		20.4%
55.6%		24.0%
+275
-115
+275
-115
0.92
1.70		2.62
o3¼-105
u3¼-110
o3½+120
u3½-135
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy		35.7%
37.2%		27.1%
+125
+202
+160
+190
4
1		-0.83926-0.94464-1.03111
Minnesota United
Sporting Kansas City		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+331
-132
+300
+240
1
3		-0.59180-0.96090-0.90780
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids		28.7%
45.2%		26.2%
+149
+176
+145
+185
1
0		-0.93369-0.92498-1.24935
Orlando City
Toronto FC		31.2%
42.1%		26.6%
+164
+158
+155
+185
2
0		-0.99204-0.93227-1.16411
Chicago Fire
New York City		27.4%
46.5%		26.1%
+443
-155
+410
-157
0
1		-0.52211-0.53693-0.76477
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution		32.8%
38.6%		28.5%
+167
+150
+205
+145
1
2		-0.94998-0.89187-0.95143
New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC		29.0%
40.6%		30.4%
+238
+135
+220
+155
1
0		-1.22905-1.15766-1.23787
Montreal Impact
Columbus Crew		21.4%
53.4%		25.2%
+545
-230
+525
-230
1
2		-0.39589-0.40232-0.62768
Atlanta United
FC Cincinnati		36.8%
33.7%		29.4%
+333
-136
+316
+140
2
2		-1.54346-1.36708-1.22435
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy		30.0%
44.5%		25.5%
+184
+135
+360
+230
2
2		-1.39255-1.08232-1.36602
Colorado Rapids
FC Dallas		30.5%
42.4%		27.1%
+610
-197
+650
-215
1
1		-1.56432-1.58416-1.30715
New England Revolution
Nashville SC		33.3%
34.9%		31.8%
+348
-116
+350
-125
2
3		-0.63501-0.62790-1.05220
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders		18.5%
59.3%		22.2%
+308
-101
+280
+103
0
0		-1.30601-1.34985-1.50508
Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake		40.4%
32.4%		27.2%
+366
-130
+320
-125
3
2		-1.56246-1.48391-0.90614
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United		28.0%
47.6%		24.4%
+365
-136
+350
-110
2
5		-0.56222-0.61956-0.74272
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo		43.9%
30.4%		25.7%
+734
-238
+750
-240
1
5		-0.37691-0.38180-1.19030
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks116-1-4 (0.727)0-0.99028 
Sportsbooks116-1-4 (0.727)0-1.00578 
DRatings113-4-4 (0.455)0-1.11348
-0.12320
-0.10770

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%