MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
D.C. United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		20.4%
55.6%		24.0%
+275
-115
+275
-115
0.92
1.70		2.62
o3¼-105
u3¼-110
o3½+120
u3½-135
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas		22.6%
53.7%		23.6%
+323
-105
+295
-105
1
1		-1.32704-1.33332-1.44215
Los Angeles FC
Austin FC		45.3%
29.1%		25.5%
+115
+244
+155
+210
4
2		-0.78770-0.91517-0.79107
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union		27.8%
42.6%		29.6%
+330
-110
+310
-115
0
0		-1.33465-1.35623-1.21895
New England Revolution
Orlando City		31.5%
40.4%		28.1%
+363
-140
+335
-132
2
3		-0.56932-0.60022-0.90614
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls		39.8%
32.8%		27.4%
+1100
-376
+1050
-375
0
3		-0.26489-0.26622-1.11590
Portland Timbers
Montreal Impact		42.3%
31.0%		26.8%
+230
+120
+210
+120
1
4		-0.81950-0.83829-1.17241
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami CF		31.4%
39.0%		29.5%
+204
+128
+210
+135
1
0		-1.13109-1.14125-1.15680
New York City
D.C. United		44.6%
28.1%		27.2%
+158
+183
+195
+180
0
2		-1.05509-1.00720-1.26915
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United		37.4%
32.7%		30.0%
+218
+115
+200
+118
1
1		-1.44715-1.42749-1.20547
Los Angeles Galaxy
Seattle Sounders		26.0%
49.8%		24.1%
+546
-175
+460
-176
1
2		-0.46528-0.49502-0.69707
Minnesota United
Los Angeles FC		28.4%
47.4%		24.2%
+513
-194
+530
-210
1
5		-0.44244-0.43299-0.74682
Orlando City
Nashville SC		34.1%
34.7%		31.2%
+274
+116
+245
+118
1
0		-1.33499-1.27207-1.07458
Inter Miami CF
Chicago Fire		29.7%
42.6%		27.7%
+227
+124
+212
+123
1
4		-0.82874-0.84046-0.85318
D.C. United
Austin FC		26.8%
45.6%		27.6%
+214
+125
+225
+115
0
3		-0.83533-0.79749-0.78629
Atlanta United
Philadelphia Union		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+280
-105
+250
-105
2
3		-0.70031-0.71885-0.80500
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution		33.9%
35.7%		30.4%
+173
+152
+175
+144
2
1		-1.02627-1.04757-1.08202
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks116-1-4 (0.727)0-0.99028 
Sportsbooks116-1-4 (0.727)0-1.00578 
DRatings113-4-4 (0.455)0-1.11348
-0.12320
-0.10770

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%