MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
D.C. United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		20.4%
55.6%		24.0%
+275
-110
+275
-115
0.92
1.70		2.62
o3-112
u3-102
o3½+120
u3½-140
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Dynamo
Montreal Impact		27.6%
46.9%		25.5%
+215
+140
+200
+145
1
1		-1.24320-1.24817-1.36806
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati		34.8%
35.5%		29.6%
+230
+136
+235
+120
2
1		-1.21716-1.23203-1.05501
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC		21.1%
56.7%		22.2%
+505
-190
+450
-190
1
0		-1.82846-1.75545-1.55547
D.C. United
Vancouver Whitecaps		34.0%
37.8%		28.2%
+380
-144
+375
-150
2
2		-1.48017-1.49174-1.26585
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy		38.7%
35.1%		26.2%
+205
+129
+250
+120
3
3		-1.38174-1.36712-1.33964
Austin FC
Colorado Rapids		29.8%
43.1%		27.1%
+238
+118
+250
+128
0
1		-0.80457-0.81511-0.84209
Seattle Sounders
Nashville SC		34.9%
33.7%		31.4%
+345
-105
+345
-107
0
0		-1.28536-1.24831-1.15967
San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United		21.0%
57.0%		22.0%
+372
-140
+355
-140
1
1		-1.46781-1.45693-1.51186
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo		45.1%
28.2%		26.7%
+368
-115
+350
-115
0
0		-1.31699-1.30501-1.32148
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC		22.7%
52.5%		24.8%
-160
+430
+103
+405
3
2		-0.51390-0.61685-1.48153
Montreal Impact
Orlando City		23.4%
52.1%		24.5%
+435
-162
+445
-155
0
3		-0.51274-0.52145-0.65241
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls		31.4%
41.1%		27.4%
+500
-173
+500
-175
1
0		-1.82573-1.83477-1.15693
New York City
Inter Miami CF		39.7%
31.6%		28.7%
+183
+155
+180
+150
1
1		-1.29379-1.30505-1.24845
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew		29.9%
41.4%		28.7%
+450
-170
+440
-170
1
1		-1.55448-1.50490-1.24841
Vancouver Whitecaps
Colorado Rapids		23.3%
52.9%		23.7%
+163
+173
+150
+185
2
2		-1.31502-1.31927-1.43906
FC Dallas
Philadelphia Union		28.8%
43.7%		27.5%
+500
-170
+425
-155
1
1		-1.48704-1.43729-1.29011
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks116-1-4 (0.727)0-0.99028 
Sportsbooks116-1-4 (0.727)0-1.00578 
DRatings113-4-4 (0.455)0-1.11348
-0.12320
-0.10770

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%