MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
D.C. United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		20.4%
55.6%		24.0%
+275
-110
+275
-115
0.92
1.70		2.62
o3-112
u3-102
o3½+120
u3½-140
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Galaxy
Austin FC		34.0%
39.0%		26.9%
+260
+100
+255
-105
3
3		-1.42874-1.43873-1.31160
Inter Miami CF
Orlando City		23.8%
50.2%		26.0%
+330
-137
+350
-140
1
1		-1.57065-1.47416-1.34669
Nashville SC
San Jose Earthquakes		42.8%
29.2%		27.9%
+240
+126
+225
+120
1
1		-1.26656-1.31200-1.27590
Colorado Rapids
Portland Timbers		28.5%
45.9%		25.6%
+550
-178
+540
-165
2
3		-0.45730-0.47007-0.77901
Vancouver Whitecaps
Real Salt Lake		26.8%
47.4%		25.8%
+241
+115
+250
+115
1
2		-0.79021-0.78634-0.74556
Houston Dynamo
Sporting Kansas City		20.4%
57.3%		22.3%
+258
+121
+248
+120
1
2		-0.81038-0.81973-0.55607
Columbus Crew
FC Dallas		36.3%
33.1%		30.6%
+184
+153
+172
+165
1
1		-1.30575-1.31353-1.18381
New England Revolution
Chicago Fire		38.3%
33.6%		28.2%
+189
+142
+250
+245
2
2		-1.33941-1.14090-1.26737
Los Angeles FC
Philadelphia Union		36.2%
37.3%		26.5%
+241
+112
+480
+330
0
0		-1.36273-0.91564-1.32908
New York Red Bulls
D.C. United		39.3%
32.1%		28.6%
+205
+143
+205
+140
5
3		-1.14398-1.15728-0.93311
Montreal Impact
Atlanta United		26.7%
47.1%		26.2%
+450
-168
+450
-170
1
4		-0.50135-0.50620-0.75315
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers		20.7%
57.4%		21.9%
+324
-115
+290
-115
1
2		-0.64932-0.67548-0.55432
Minnesota United
Los Angeles Galaxy		38.3%
35.5%		26.1%
+212
+117
+215
+110
3
4		-0.79735-0.78287-1.03457
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake		37.7%
33.4%		28.8%
+365
-120
+320
-120
3
1		-1.55628-1.48408-0.97498
Seattle Sounders
Colorado Rapids		38.7%
34.1%		27.3%
+178
+174
+165
+160
2
1		-1.03688-1.02510-0.95057
Nashville SC
Sporting Kansas City		29.7%
41.2%		29.1%
+280
+109
+275
+100
3
0		-1.35806-1.36897-1.21409
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks116-1-4 (0.727)0-0.99028 
Sportsbooks116-1-4 (0.727)0-1.00578 
DRatings113-4-4 (0.455)0-1.11348
-0.12320
-0.10770

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%