MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
D.C. United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		20.4%
55.6%		24.0%
+275
-110
+277
-115
0.92
1.70		2.62
o3-118
u3+105
o3-115
u3½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo		32.6%
40.8%		26.6%
+295
+100
+285
-108
1
4		-0.71631-0.70003-0.89681
Orlando City
New York City		33.5%
38.6%		27.9%
+273
+106
+275
-102
0
2		-0.74623-0.72788-0.95257
Austin FC
New York Red Bulls		30.1%
41.4%		28.5%
+436
-148
+390
-150
1
1		-1.43788-1.44847-1.25411
FC Cincinnati
Montreal Impact		32.7%
39.1%		28.2%
+144
+190
+180
+190
1
1		-1.31286-1.24036-1.26542
Toronto FC
Inter Miami CF		43.3%
29.4%		27.3%
+825
-296
+900
-320
0
4		-0.30653-0.28756-1.22462
Atlanta United
D.C. United		41.5%
30.3%		28.2%
+229
+110
+212
+110
1
1		-1.43104-1.42238-1.26553
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew		23.9%
49.7%		26.3%
+562
-212
+525
-219
0
3		-0.40902-0.41600-0.69921
Portland Timbers
Austin FC		39.0%
32.6%		28.4%
+308
-113
+310
-116
2
1		-1.41973-1.44452-0.94166
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes		37.8%
35.4%		26.8%
+272
+118
+238
+110
1
2		-0.76996-0.79056-1.03891
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC		23.7%
54.6%		21.7%
+533
-177
+475
-210
2
4		-0.43710-0.44027-0.60492
New England Revolution
Colorado Rapids		36.7%
35.3%		28.0%
+237
+137
+245
+118
1
2		-0.84742-0.80162-1.04157
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United		32.3%
41.1%		26.6%
+269
+107
+251
+105
1
0		-1.31543-1.28623-1.13029
Seattle Sounders
FC Dallas		35.7%
35.1%		29.2%
+265
+138
+270
+120
1
1		-1.20781-1.21926-1.23028
Vancouver Whitecaps
Toronto FC		18.2%
60.4%		21.4%
+146
+220
+135
+215
2
1		-0.87868-0.86403-1.70611
FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union		23.5%
50.8%		25.7%
+322
-114
+319
-115
2
2		-1.37710-1.36113-1.35837
Columbus Crew
Orlando City		33.7%
36.7%		29.6%
+205
+145
+189
+140
3
4		-0.89529-0.91145-1.00362
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks116-1-4 (0.727)0-0.99028 
Sportsbooks116-1-4 (0.727)0-1.00578 
DRatings113-4-4 (0.455)0-1.11348
-0.12320
-0.10770

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%