MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
D.C. United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		20.4%
55.6%		24.0%
+270
-107
+275
-113
0.92
1.70		2.62
o3-125
u3¼-122
o3-120
u3½-145
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy		32.5%
41.8%		25.7%
+314
-127
+305
-106
0
3		-0.61537-0.66688-0.87208
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake		26.9%
47.6%		25.5%
+292
+100
+310
-110
3
0		-1.39115-1.44138-1.31468
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City		21.3%
56.7%		22.0%
+335
-124
+355
-138
0
3		-0.62551-0.59345-0.56680
Austin FC
FC Dallas		27.7%
44.3%		28.0%
+233
+115
+245
+105
0
1		-0.80053-0.76819-0.81486
Inter Miami CF
New York Red Bulls		28.7%
43.1%		28.2%
+313
-110
+290
-110
2
0		-1.44363-1.40344-1.24772
New England Revolution
Montreal Impact		41.9%
30.5%		27.6%
+268
-102
+285
-107
0
1		-0.71779-0.69241-1.18649
Philadelphia Union
D.C. United		46.8%
26.7%		26.6%
+180
+150
+170
+155
3
1		-1.06395-1.04353-0.76001
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew		31.1%
40.7%		28.2%
+700
-280
+700
-230
0
2		-0.34051-0.37160-0.89934
New York City
FC Cincinnati		39.9%
31.6%		28.5%
+315
-105
+290
+105
0
3		-0.70330-0.75054-1.15309
Nashville SC
Atlanta United		31.3%
37.7%		31.0%
+275
-102
+287
-110
0
4		-0.71417-0.68643-0.97543
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles FC		24.7%
52.5%		22.8%
+750
-285
+675
-260
0
4		-0.33505-0.36458-0.64413
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps		34.1%
39.8%		26.1%
+360
-134
+340
-136
1
0		-1.55946-1.52514-1.07705
Atlanta United
Seattle Sounders		27.7%
45.4%		26.9%
+358
-130
+350
-127
2
0		-1.55471-1.54797-1.28363
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo		48.8%
26.2%		25.0%
+323
-120
+300
-115
0
5		-0.64120-0.66617-1.33899
Orlando City
Chicago Fire		39.3%
33.2%		27.5%
+213
+130
+215
+126
3
1		-1.17558-1.18820-0.93519
Montreal Impact
Toronto FC		22.3%
54.2%		23.5%
+230
+128
+245
+129
3
2		-1.21699-1.25054-1.50063
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks106-1-3 (0.750)0-0.94937 
Sportsbooks106-1-3 (0.750)0-0.96375 
DRatings103-4-3 (0.450)0-1.09243
-0.14306
-0.12868

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%