MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
D.C. United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		20.4%
55.6%		24.0%
+270
-107
+275
-113
0.92
1.70		2.62
o3-125
u3¼-122
o3-130
u3½-145
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota United
New York City		32.6%
40.1%		27.3%
+331
-125
+335
-106
2
0		-1.49192-1.46711-1.12120
D.C. United
New York Red Bulls		25.3%
48.1%		26.5%
+416
-135
+385
-135
0
1		-0.58325-0.60398-0.73158
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew		21.7%
51.5%		26.7%
+250
+105
+270
+102
0
3		-0.74417-0.72460-0.66320
Los Angeles Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps		43.0%
31.7%		25.4%
+268
-112
+275
-115
2
4		-0.67229-0.66460-1.14999
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders		28.2%
44.2%		27.5%
+543
-165
+485
-140
1
1		-1.41408-1.36199-1.29120
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers		34.6%
36.1%		29.4%
+245
+108
+250
+130
2
3		-0.76559-0.81642-1.01943
New York Red Bulls
Real Salt Lake		35.0%
36.0%		29.0%
+335
-105
+290
-110
1
3		-0.67777-0.69589-1.02074
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids		23.4%
53.1%		23.5%
+220
+146
+245
+138
0
0		-1.23681-1.22789-1.44851
Sporting Kansas City
Austin FC		38.4%
33.5%		28.1%
+248
+110
+240
+120
1
2		-0.76497-0.80508-1.09386
Los Angeles FC
Minnesota United		38.1%
36.0%		25.9%
+144
+178
+150
+170
1
1		-1.36129-1.35810-1.35193
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+420
-150
+400
-145
0
1		-0.54640-0.56021-1.13513
New York City
Philadelphia Union		30.6%
41.9%		27.4%
+343
-115
+320
-115
1
2		-0.65612-0.66460-0.86912
D.C. United
New England Revolution		21.0%
54.0%		25.0%
+213
+128
+200
+135
0
4		-0.85571-0.88673-0.61643
Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati		35.9%
32.3%		31.9%
+390
-135
+420
-140
1
3		-0.58246-0.58044-1.13140
Orlando City
Atlanta United		35.8%
35.5%		28.7%
+220
+124
+225
+120
2
1		-1.19195-1.21790-1.02840
Austin FC
Vancouver Whitecaps		39.8%
32.2%		28.0%
+348
-135
+310
-130
1
2		-0.58945-0.61138-1.13308
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks106-1-3 (0.750)0-0.94937 
Sportsbooks106-1-3 (0.750)0-0.96375 
DRatings103-4-3 (0.450)0-1.09243
-0.14306
-0.12868

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%