MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 16, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		31.1%
42.2%		26.7%
+565
-252
+565
-255
1.14
1.38		2.52
o3½+100
u3½-118
o3½-105
u3½-115
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)		35.5%
37.2%		27.3%
+465
-198
+480
-203
1.21
1.24		2.45
o3½-103
u3½-108
o3½+100
u3½-120
D.C. United (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+266
-104
+265
-105
1.07
1.37		2.44
o2¾-112
u2¾-106
o2½-145
u3-140
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		37.0%
36.1%		26.9%
+122
+205
+115
+215
1.26
1.25		2.51
o2¾-115
u2¾-104
o2½-135
u3-140
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		38.2%
33.4%		28.4%
+161
+159
+160
+160
1.20
1.10		2.30
o2¾-107
u2¾-110
o2½-135
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
Toronto FC (0-0-0)		32.8%
38.5%		28.7%
-104
+275
-110
+284
1.06
1.18		2.24
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+115
FC Dallas (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		35.8%
34.4%		29.8%
+300
-115
+305
-120
1.07
1.05		2.12
o2¾-105
u2¾-110
o2½-130
u2½+115
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		34.3%
37.9%		27.8%
+265
-105
+260
+100
1.15
1.23		2.38
o2¾-118
u2¾-102
o2½-140
u3-135
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		33.5%
38.9%		27.6%
+196
+117
+195
+115
1.15
1.26		2.41
o3¼+105
u3¼-123
o3-120
u3+110
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)		24.4%
49.8%		25.7%
+155
+167
+159
+165
0.99
1.53		2.52
o2¾-112
u2¾-108
o2½-140
u3-140
Games for Aug 15, 2025
Games for Aug 17, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Dynamo
Atlanta United		22.3%
53.6%		24.1%
+220
+120
+225
+115
2
2		-1.39376-1.36043-1.42429
Vancouver Whitecaps
New England Revolution		19.6%
57.2%		23.2%
+215
+123
+209
+130
2
3		-0.83404-0.86550-0.55928
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC		25.1%
50.3%		24.6%
+275
+102
+285
+105
4
1		-1.35325-1.36936-1.38354
Real Salt Lake
Montreal Impact		33.0%
39.2%		27.8%
+105
+250
+110
+220
0
0		-1.39046-1.38557-1.27967
Inter Miami CF
Philadelphia Union		23.5%
50.6%		25.9%
+292
-105
+270
-115
2
1		-1.38954-1.35623-1.44740
Columbus Crew
New York City		34.8%
35.1%		30.1%
+210
+123
+215
+115
3
2		-1.16168-1.19548-1.05581
FC Dallas
Minnesota United		30.3%
42.3%		27.4%
+230
+125
+215
+135
1
1		-1.30586-1.28107-1.29645
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City		34.7%
37.7%		27.6%
+178
+166
+175
+162
1
2		-0.99552-1.00185-0.97593
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution		27.2%
45.5%		27.3%
+175
+162
+170
+150
0
1		-0.97162-0.95967-0.78779
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC		26.2%
49.1%		24.7%
+840
-290
+800
-295
0
1		-0.32440-0.33251-0.71145
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers		19.8%
57.9%		22.4%
+240
+115
+235
+115
2
2		-1.34136-1.33165-1.49794
Colorado Rapids
Vancouver Whitecaps		43.7%
30.3%		26.0%
+365
-139
+338
-135
1
2		-0.57615-0.59711-1.19442
Austin FC
Real Salt Lake		33.2%
37.9%		28.9%
+655
-235
+658
-230
1
5		-0.38988-0.39146-0.97032
New England Revolution
Nashville SC		33.3%
34.9%		31.8%
+370
-127
+340
-125
2
1		-1.58231-1.52010-1.09955
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United		32.3%
41.1%		26.6%
+358
-128
+364
-140
1
3		-0.60070-0.57258-0.88989
Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago Fire		33.5%
40.7%		25.8%
+203
+125
+200
+125
1
2		-0.84590-0.85106-0.89774
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%