MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated 24 min ago

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Sep 21, 2024

Games for Sep 23, 2024

Games In Progress

Time	Teams	Orig. Win %	Orig. Draw %	Closing ML	Orig. Total Goals	Closing O/U	Period	Current Score
09/22/2024 10:15 PM	D.C. United (0-0-0) Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)	20.4% 55.6%	24.0%	+280 -110 +270 -113	2.62	o3-125 u3¼-115 o3-130 u3½-145	1st H 11:41	0 0

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
07/13/2023 02:30 AM	Seattle Sounders San Jose Earthquakes	49.9% 25.8%	24.3%	+180 +163 +170 +165	0 2	-0.99799-1.01556	-1.35460
07/13/2023 12:30 AM	Philadelphia Union Nashville SC	34.4% 34.3%	31.3%	+338 -110 +290 +100	2 0	-1.50652-1.41026	-1.06726
07/13/2023 12:30 AM	Real Salt Lake Sporting Kansas City	25.4% 49.4%	25.2%	+355 -135 +311 -110	2 2	-1.45770-1.40324	-1.37916
07/13/2023 12:30 AM	Minnesota United Houston Dynamo	48.4% 26.6%	25.0%	+315 -120 +305 -105	3 0	-1.45770-1.41741	-0.72497
07/13/2023 12:30 AM	Montreal Impact Chicago Fire	29.5% 44.3%	26.2%	+310 -110 +320 -112	0 3	-0.67704-0.67062	-0.81457
07/12/2023 11:30 PM	FC Cincinnati New York Red Bulls	28.7% 43.3%	28.0%	+390 -135 +390 -141	2 1	-1.61984-1.63378	-1.24782
07/12/2023 11:30 PM	Atlanta United New England Revolution	28.9% 43.3%	27.8%	+225 +117 +215 +115	1 2	-0.80863-0.81353	-0.83626
07/09/2023 02:30 AM	Philadelphia Union Los Angeles Galaxy	39.8% 33.9%	26.3%	+174 +150 +168 +150	1 3	-0.94742-0.95532	-1.08273
07/09/2023 02:30 AM	Seattle Sounders Vancouver Whitecaps	50.4% 24.6%	25.0%	+227 +120 +225 +115	3 2	-1.21855-1.22509	-0.68504
07/09/2023 02:30 AM	San Jose Earthquakes Los Angeles FC	17.2% 63.8%	19.0%	+660 -250 +650 -270	1 1	-1.70172-1.76358	-1.66247
07/09/2023 01:30 AM	Orlando City Real Salt Lake	41.8% 30.8%	27.4%	+348 -122 +310 +110	0 4	-0.62424-0.72505	-1.17766
07/09/2023 01:30 AM	FC Dallas Colorado Rapids	34.0% 37.9%	28.1%	+367 -110 +350 +108	1 2	-0.66606-0.72101	-0.97083
07/09/2023 12:30 AM	Austin FC Minnesota United	26.2% 47.5%	26.3%	+325 -130 +310 -115	4 1	-1.47434-1.43000	-1.34006
07/09/2023 12:30 AM	Sporting Kansas City Houston Dynamo	48.2% 27.0%	24.8%	+220 +145 +200 +140	2 2	-1.25913-1.30833	-1.39243
07/09/2023 12:30 AM	Nashville SC Chicago Fire	34.0% 35.2%	30.8%	+218 +137 +215 +130	0 1	-0.89296-0.87414	-1.04523
07/08/2023 11:30 PM	New England Revolution New York Red Bulls	36.9% 34.0%	29.1%	+373 -137 +375 -140	1 2	-0.58266-0.59122	-1.07907

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	10	6-1-3 (0.750)	0	-0.94937
Sportsbooks	10	6-1-3 (0.750)	0	-0.96375
DRatings	10	3-4-3 (0.450)	0	-1.09243	-0.14306 -0.12868

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21

		Regular Season						Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Make Playoffs	Win Conf.	Conf. Champ.	Win MLS Cup
1	FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.8	11.4	7.8	52.3	73.0%	14.0%	13.9%	6.8%
2	Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.8	11.6	7.6	52.0	69.0%	7.0%	8.8%	4.5%
3	Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.6	11.4	8.0	51.8	67.0%	14.0%	12.3%	6.6%
4	Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.8	11.8	7.5	51.8	73.0%	10.0%	10.9%	5.9%
5	Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.7	11.9	7.4	51.6	71.0%	14.0%	13.6%	6.5%
6	Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.6	11.8	7.7	51.4	65.0%	19.0%	15.8%	9.5%
7	Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.4	12.0	7.6	50.9	70.0%	17.0%	11.8%	5.3%
8	Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.4	12.1	7.5	50.6	66.0%	18.0%	13.5%	7.1%
9	New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.0	11.4	8.6	50.6	68.0%	9.0%	9.9%	5.5%
10	Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.1	11.8	8.1	50.5	65.0%	17.0%	11.9%	6.7%
11	Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.7	11.7	8.6	49.8	63.0%	10.0%	10.2%	5.0%
12	New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.5	12.4	8.1	48.6	56.0%	4.0%	9.3%	4.8%
13	New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	12.6	8.3	47.8	57.0%	3.0%	7.0%	2.9%
14	Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.4	13.1	7.6	47.7	59.0%	7.0%	8.4%	3.0%
15	Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.9	12.9	8.1	46.9	46.0%	9.0%	5.1%	2.7%
16	Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.9	13.4	7.7	46.3	43.0%	5.0%	5.3%	2.8%
17	Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.5	13.0	8.5	45.9	50.0%	5.0%	6.4%	2.8%
18	Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.2	13.4	8.5	45.0	41.0%	6.0%	5.1%	2.5%
19	Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.1	13.7	8.2	44.6	41.0%	3.0%	3.9%	2.2%
20	Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.9	13.3	8.8	44.6	43.0%	3.0%	3.6%	1.7%
21	Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.2	14.0	7.8	44.5	45.0%	1.0%	3.6%	1.8%
22	FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.3	14.0	8.7	42.7	31.0%	1.0%	2.2%	0.7%
23	Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.3	14.5	8.2	42.1	32.0%	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%
24	Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.9	15.4	7.7	40.3	30.0%	0.0%	1.3%	0.6%
25	San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.7	15.6	7.7	39.8	25.0%	4.0%	2.8%	1.3%
26	Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.5	15.4	8.2	39.5	28.0%	0.0%	1.1%	0.3%
27	D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.3	15.4	8.3	39.3	23.0%	0.0%	0.6%	0.3%