MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated 2 hr ago

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Sep 21, 2024

Games for Sep 23, 2024

Games In Progress

Time	Teams	Orig. Win %	Orig. Draw %	Closing ML	Orig. Total Goals	Closing O/U	Period	Current Score
09/22/2024 10:15 PM	D.C. United (0-0-0) Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)	20.4% 55.6%	24.0%	+280 -110 +270 -113	2.62	o3-125 u3¼-115 o3-130 u3½-145	FINAL FINAL	0 4

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
07/08/2023 11:30 PM	Atlanta United Montreal Impact	38.2% 33.7%	28.1%	+198 +147 +185 +153	1 0	-1.12178-1.07866	-0.96184
07/08/2023 11:30 PM	Inter Miami CF D.C. United	35.2% 34.8%	29.9%	+550 -210 +520 -200	2 2	-1.62399-1.57041	-1.20651
07/08/2023 11:30 PM	New York City Columbus Crew	28.4% 43.2%	28.4%	+390 -145 +370 -135	1 1	-1.46486-1.40948	-1.25952
07/05/2023 02:30 AM	Los Angeles FC Los Angeles Galaxy	45.0% 31.1%	23.9%	-110 +280 -106 +286	1 2	-1.35433-1.36121	-1.16652
07/05/2023 12:30 AM	D.C. United FC Dallas	23.1% 50.9%	26.0%	+235 +132 +221 +135	1 0	-1.23234-1.20557	-1.46642
07/04/2023 11:30 PM	Toronto FC Orlando City	33.8% 38.9%	27.2%	+620 -230 +610 -170	0 4	-0.39245-0.43266	-0.94317
07/04/2023 11:30 PM	Columbus Crew Inter Miami CF	42.8% 27.9%	29.4%	+120 +230 +115 +220	2 2	-1.35549-1.35712	-1.22458
07/02/2023 08:00 PM	Philadelphia Union Atlanta United	36.0% 35.1%	28.8%	+165 +153 +176 +150	0 2	-0.96336-0.94487	-1.04623
07/02/2023 02:30 AM	Houston Dynamo Seattle Sounders	18.5% 59.5%	22.0%	+322 -105 +315 +100	0 1	-0.69563-0.71172	-0.51943
07/02/2023 02:30 AM	Los Angeles Galaxy San Jose Earthquakes	42.1% 33.1%	24.8%	+210 +122 +210 +120	2 2	-1.37448-1.37452	-1.39586
07/02/2023 12:30 AM	D.C. United Nashville SC	23.0% 48.7%	28.2%	+255 +116 +270 +115	0 2	-0.80002-0.79041	-0.71877
07/02/2023 12:30 AM	Portland Timbers Minnesota United	32.9% 40.1%	26.9%	+400 -130 +356 +110	1 4	-0.58564-0.69613	-0.91364
07/02/2023 12:30 AM	Vancouver Whitecaps Sporting Kansas City	20.3% 57.2%	22.5%	+325 -122 +305 -121	0 3	-0.63290-0.64584	-0.55914
07/02/2023 12:30 AM	Los Angeles FC FC Dallas	39.9% 33.5%	26.6%	+132 +208 +145 +200	0 2	-1.15785-1.11770	-1.09413
07/01/2023 11:30 PM	Real Salt Lake Toronto FC	22.9% 52.8%	24.2%	+194 +135 +190 +135	1 0	-1.10549-1.10106	-1.47316
07/01/2023 11:30 PM	Chicago Fire Orlando City	26.2% 48.2%	25.6%	+310 -110 +320 -105	1 3	-0.67370-0.69085	-0.72886

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	7	4-1-2 (0.714)	0	-0.94037
Sportsbooks	7	4-1-2 (0.714)	0	-0.96113
DRatings	7	1-4-2 (0.286)	0	-1.11580	-0.17543 -0.15467

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21

		Regular Season						Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Make Playoffs	Win Conf.	Conf. Champ.	Win MLS Cup
1	FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.8	11.4	7.8	52.3	73.0%	14.0%	13.9%	6.8%
2	Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.8	11.6	7.6	52.0	69.0%	7.0%	8.8%	4.5%
3	Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.6	11.4	8.0	51.8	67.0%	14.0%	12.3%	6.6%
4	Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.8	11.8	7.5	51.8	73.0%	10.0%	10.9%	5.9%
5	Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.7	11.9	7.4	51.6	71.0%	14.0%	13.6%	6.5%
6	Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.6	11.8	7.7	51.4	65.0%	19.0%	15.8%	9.5%
7	Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.4	12.0	7.6	50.9	70.0%	17.0%	11.8%	5.3%
8	Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.4	12.1	7.5	50.6	66.0%	18.0%	13.5%	7.1%
9	New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.0	11.4	8.6	50.6	68.0%	9.0%	9.9%	5.5%
10	Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)	14.1	11.8	8.1	50.5	65.0%	17.0%	11.9%	6.7%
11	Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.7	11.7	8.6	49.8	63.0%	10.0%	10.2%	5.0%
12	New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.5	12.4	8.1	48.6	56.0%	4.0%	9.3%	4.8%
13	New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	12.6	8.3	47.8	57.0%	3.0%	7.0%	2.9%
14	Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.4	13.1	7.6	47.7	59.0%	7.0%	8.4%	3.0%
15	Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.9	12.9	8.1	46.9	46.0%	9.0%	5.1%	2.7%
16	Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.9	13.4	7.7	46.3	43.0%	5.0%	5.3%	2.8%
17	Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.5	13.0	8.5	45.9	50.0%	5.0%	6.4%	2.8%
18	Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.2	13.4	8.5	45.0	41.0%	6.0%	5.1%	2.5%
19	Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.1	13.7	8.2	44.6	41.0%	3.0%	3.9%	2.2%
20	Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.9	13.3	8.8	44.6	43.0%	3.0%	3.6%	1.7%
21	Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.2	14.0	7.8	44.5	45.0%	1.0%	3.6%	1.8%
22	FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.3	14.0	8.7	42.7	31.0%	1.0%	2.2%	0.7%
23	Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.3	14.5	8.2	42.1	32.0%	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%
24	Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.9	15.4	7.7	40.3	30.0%	0.0%	1.3%	0.6%
25	San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.7	15.6	7.7	39.8	25.0%	4.0%	2.8%	1.3%
26	Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.5	15.4	8.2	39.5	28.0%	0.0%	1.1%	0.3%
27	D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.3	15.4	8.3	39.3	23.0%	0.0%	0.6%	0.3%