MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%


0.88
1.12		2.00


Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%


1.36
0.90		2.26


Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%


1.56
1.14		2.70


New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%


1.14
1.12		2.26


Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%


1.03
1.38		2.41


San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%


1.19
1.56		2.75


Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%


1.04
1.24		2.28


Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%


1.09
1.12		2.21


Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%


1.36
1.17		2.53


Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%


1.14
1.51		2.65


Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%


1.56
1.08		2.64


Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+323
-115

0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-112
u2½-105

Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Sep 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nashville SC
D.C. United		40.3%
29.1%		30.5%
+210
+152
+215
+156
1
1		-1.21184-1.19432-1.18748
Toronto FC
Montreal Impact		45.0%
29.1%		25.9%
+237
+115
+237
+120
0
2		-0.79993-0.81710-1.23447
Orlando City
Columbus Crew		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+261
+112
+365
+110
2
2		-1.29073-1.28830-1.25453
Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders		30.2%
43.2%		26.5%
+420
-140
+440
-150
2
1		-1.67895-1.72098-1.19653
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles Galaxy		34.2%
40.1%		25.6%
+350
-130
+325
-115
3
1		-1.53211-1.45801-1.07151
Minnesota United
Vancouver Whitecaps		48.3%
26.5%		25.2%
+440
-145
+410
-120
2
3		-0.54523-0.60407-1.32761
Austin FC
Portland Timbers		25.8%
47.8%		26.4%
+350
-120
+350
+105
2
2		-1.38862-1.30778-1.33347
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC		28.6%
42.2%		29.2%
+320
-106
+325
-115
0
3		-0.68711-0.66890-0.86183
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo		38.6%
34.0%		27.4%
+330
-110
+318
-105
0
0		-1.35821-1.33968-1.29357
Atlanta United
Inter Miami CF		36.7%
33.7%		29.6%
+175
+165
+170
+155
1
2		-1.00906-0.98714-1.08699
D.C. United
FC Cincinnati		28.2%
43.8%		28.0%
+331
-108
+325
-115
1
2		-0.68031-0.65849-0.82668
Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls		38.2%
33.4%		28.4%
+283
+117
+265
+110
1
0		-1.37204-1.33808-0.96137
Orlando City
Montreal Impact		43.0%
30.2%		26.7%
+220
+136
+215
+130
0
2		-0.88855-0.87414-1.19627
New England Revolution
Toronto FC		30.5%
42.5%		27.0%
+261
+110
+235
+107
2
0		-1.30339-1.25611-1.18718
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes		54.7%
23.5%		21.8%
+122
+230
+115
+222
1
2		-1.21318-1.20949-1.44855
FC Dallas
Minnesota United		30.3%
42.3%		27.4%
+258
+120
+240
+130
0
0		-1.27218-1.25692-1.29645
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67704 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67761 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58677
0.09027
0.09084

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%