MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%


0.88
1.12		2.00


Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%


1.36
0.90		2.26


Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%


1.56
1.14		2.70


New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%


1.14
1.12		2.26


Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%


1.03
1.38		2.41


San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%


1.19
1.56		2.75


Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%


1.04
1.24		2.28


Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%


1.09
1.12		2.21


Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%


1.36
1.17		2.53


Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%


1.14
1.51		2.65


Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%


1.56
1.08		2.64


Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+323
-115

0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-112
u2½-105

Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Sep 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rapids
Vancouver Whitecaps		43.7%
30.3%		26.0%
+350
-118
+375
-130
0
0		-1.38067-1.40222-1.34869
Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake		42.8%
29.9%		27.3%
+214
+143
+200
+135
0
0		-1.25801-1.29638-1.29843
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire		33.0%
39.0%		28.0%
+238
+135
+228
+150
1
1		-1.19647-1.16951-1.27393
Montreal Impact
Sporting Kansas City		24.7%
50.8%		24.5%
+387
-130
+405
-132
2
0		-1.60969-1.63933-1.39663
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin FC		26.6%
48.2%		25.2%
+240
+117
+235
+115
2
2		-1.33720-1.32152-1.37674
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution		24.2%
49.2%		26.6%
+234
+125
+245
+120
1
1		-1.29218-1.28244-1.32268
Los Angeles Galaxy
Orlando City		26.9%
48.8%		24.3%
+227
+122
+220
+120
0
2		-0.82228-0.82865-0.71812
New York City
Toronto FC		29.9%
43.6%		26.5%
+247
+125
+230
+135
0
1		-0.82515-0.87685-0.83002
Inter Miami CF
Columbus Crew		21.8%
51.3%		27.0%
+545
-172
+525
-170
2
1		-1.88922-1.87758-1.52556
Atlanta United
Nashville SC		30.6%
38.5%		31.0%
+291
+110
+290
-105
1
3		-0.75315-0.70719-0.95537
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United		29.6%
43.3%		27.1%
+412
-151
+395
-155
1
2		-0.53462-0.54742-0.83739
Austin FC
Los Angeles Galaxy		31.2%
42.4%		26.4%
+385
-137
+340
-140
0
2		-0.56475-0.58927-0.85807
Minnesota United
Seattle Sounders		30.5%
42.7%		26.7%
+425
-138
+460
-155
0
1		-0.56823-0.53062-0.84999
San Jose Earthquakes
Real Salt Lake		28.0%
46.9%		25.1%
+273
+110
+245
+105
1
3		-0.75353-0.76190-0.75790
Inter Miami CF
Houston Dynamo		38.1%
33.8%		28.2%
+369
-118
+330
-115
0
1		-0.63828-0.66629-1.08619
Los Angeles FC
Nashville SC		39.4%
32.5%		28.0%
+195
+156
+183
+155
1
1		-1.24723-1.26266-1.27200
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67704 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67761 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58677
0.09027
0.09084

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%