MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%


0.88
1.12		2.00


Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%


1.36
0.90		2.26


Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%


1.56
1.14		2.70


New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+225
+114

1.14
1.12		2.26
o2¾-122
u2¾+102

Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%


1.03
1.38		2.41


San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+272
-113

1.19
1.56		2.75
o3¼-103
u3¼-117

Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%


1.04
1.24		2.28


Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%


1.09
1.12		2.21


Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%


1.36
1.17		2.53


Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%


1.14
1.51		2.65


Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%


1.56
1.08		2.64


Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+323
-115

0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-112
u2½-105

Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Sep 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
New York City
Houston Dynamo		47.8%
26.7%		25.4%
+176
+175
+175
+165
0
1		-1.04015-1.01330-1.32032
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union		31.9%
40.5%		27.6%
+500
-159
+460
-160
2
1		-1.82492-1.77508-1.14222
New England Revolution
D.C. United		45.2%
27.3%		27.4%
+226
+135
+225
+135
2
1		-1.20361-1.20397-0.79370
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami CF		34.3%
36.9%		28.8%
+265
+112
+273
+105
3
2		-1.31793-1.35255-1.06970
Atlanta United
Columbus Crew		26.1%
45.9%		28.0%
+155
+197
+160
+180
1
6		-1.11383-1.06997-0.77934
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers		27.6%
48.0%		24.4%
+194
+146
+180
+147
0
0		-1.30505-1.31994-1.40948
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles Galaxy		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+385
-139
+390
-150
1
1		-1.46063-1.48554-1.45934
Minnesota United
Colorado Rapids		36.5%
36.2%		27.2%
+256
+120
+245
+115
2
1		-1.29393-1.27823-1.00668
Austin FC
Houston Dynamo		39.9%
32.4%		27.7%
+206
+143
+200
+135
0
2		-0.90770-0.89416-1.12806
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire		29.7%
42.8%		27.5%
+185
+166
+185
+150
3
3		-1.23608-1.26355-1.29098
Sporting Kansas City
FC Dallas		33.8%
38.1%		28.0%
+285
+109
+280
+100
1
2		-0.75455-0.74087-0.96420
Portland Timbers
Atlanta United		35.1%
36.4%		28.4%
+560
-185
+450
-180
1
5		-0.45001-0.49004-1.01027
D.C. United
New York City		21.7%
53.5%		24.8%
+405
-127
+415
-140
2
3		-0.60121-0.57235-0.62467
Nashville SC
New England Revolution		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+218
+145
+205
+140
0
1		-0.92143-0.92017-0.89011
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls		39.4%
31.0%		29.6%
+407
-115
+385
-125
1
2		-0.65589-0.63183-1.17267
Philadelphia Union
Montreal Impact		43.3%
29.8%		26.8%
+150
+187
+155
+170
2
3		-1.08788-1.03651-1.20912
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%