MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+261
+105

0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-110
u2¾-108

Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+135
+180

1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼-103
u3¼-115

Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+261
+100

1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-112
u3-107

New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+225
+114

1.14
1.12		2.26
o2¾-120
u3-124

Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+307
-130

1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3¼+100

San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+279
-115

1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+102

Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+190
+135

1.04
1.24		2.28
o3+100
u3-118

Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+185
+142

1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾-110
u2¾-110

Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+285
-110

1.36
1.17		2.53
o2¾-106
u2¾-112

Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+227
+105

1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-115
u3¼-104

Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+245
-107

1.56
1.08		2.64
o3½-102
u3½-115

Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+333
-115

0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-111
u2½-108

Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Sep 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Sounders
Nashville SC		34.9%
33.7%		31.4%
+310
+103
+290
+100
0
1		-0.73002-0.73441-1.08649
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Cincinnati		26.8%
46.8%		26.4%
+310
-115
+310
-120
2
2		-1.39558-1.43435-1.33109
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+380
-133
+375
-145
0
2		-0.57503-0.56149-1.13513
Columbus Crew
D.C. United		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+180
+160
+185
+150
2
2		-1.27157-1.31927-1.28558
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United		32.3%
41.1%		26.6%
+450
-123
+410
-140
1
1		-1.44151-1.42470-1.32332
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami CF		41.8%
30.1%		28.1%
+157
+183
+155
+175
2
1		-0.96932-0.98072-0.87302
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United		27.3%
45.8%		26.9%
+305
-106
+300
-120
1
2		-0.67586-0.65362-0.78174
Houston Dynamo
Austin FC		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+271
+105
+270
-108
1
3		-0.73151-0.70348-0.71711
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+270
+112
+265
+105
2
2		-1.29237-1.30948-1.28049
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo		45.1%
28.2%		26.7%
+213
+140
+200
+130
2
2		-1.28667-1.30523-1.32148
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire		40.9%
30.5%		28.5%
+232
+138
+250
+130
3
2		-1.21281-1.27161-0.89321
Inter Miami CF
Orlando City		23.8%
50.2%		26.0%
+375
-125
+360
-130
0
1		-0.60375-0.61530-0.68971
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC		19.0%
60.1%		20.9%
+200
+129
+200
+125
2
2		-1.40609-1.39457-1.56394
Sporting Kansas City
Montreal Impact		41.6%
31.8%		26.6%
+335
-115
+340
-116
2
1		-1.49437-1.50211-0.87635
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati		34.8%
35.5%		29.6%
+157
+176
+150
+180
1
1		-1.31983-1.28638-1.21571
Austin FC
Atlanta United		28.4%
43.6%		27.9%
+297
-123
+300
-130
3
0		-1.40654-1.42118-1.25850
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%