MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+261
+105
+260
+100
0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-110
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+135
+180

1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼-103
u3¼-115

Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+261
+100

1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-112
u3-107

New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+225
+114

1.14
1.12		2.26
o2¾-120
u3-124

Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+307
-130

1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3¼+100

San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+279
-115

1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+102

Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+190
+135

1.04
1.24		2.28
o3+100
u3-118

Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+185
+142

1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾-110
u2¾-110

Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+285
-110

1.36
1.17		2.53
o2¾-106
u2¾-112

Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+227
+105

1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-115
u3¼-104

Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+245
-107

1.56
1.08		2.64
o3½-102
u3½-115

Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+333
-115

0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-111
u2½-108

Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Sep 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles FC
Vancouver Whitecaps		55.4%
22.4%		22.2%
+134
+212
+125
+245
0
1		-1.15227-1.24660-1.49464
Seattle Sounders
Toronto FC		32.0%
40.9%		27.1%
+213
+125
+210
+165
2
0		-1.16443-1.08678-1.13937
Atlanta United
New York Red Bulls		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+555
-185
+475
-185
1
2		-0.45782-0.48122-0.98339
Minnesota United
Los Angeles Galaxy		38.3%
35.5%		26.1%
+330
-121
+340
-130
3
2		-1.47661-1.52321-0.95875
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers		19.8%
57.9%		22.4%
+397
-138
+350
-120
1
2		-0.57201-0.62995-0.54728
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC		26.2%
49.1%		24.7%
+401
-140
+380
-145
1
3		-0.56548-0.57647-0.71145
Montreal Impact
Seattle Sounders		22.6%
53.1%		24.3%
+400
-130
+375
-115
2
1		-1.64289-1.57012-1.48576
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire		39.7%
32.9%		27.4%
+203
+152
+185
+155
0
1		-0.94500-0.97766-1.11139
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC		32.8%
38.5%		28.7%
+182
+158
+185
+160
2
1		-1.05958-1.06831-1.11615
New York City
FC Cincinnati		39.9%
31.6%		28.5%
+136
+203
+135
+250
4
4		-1.33408-1.29938-1.25449
New England Revolution
Vancouver Whitecaps		48.3%
25.8%		25.9%
+154
+185
+150
+170
0
0		-1.31312-1.32182-1.35282
New York City
Philadelphia Union		30.6%
41.9%		27.4%
+183
+165
+175
+160
1
2		-0.99658-0.99701-0.86912
New York Red Bulls
Los Angeles FC		23.9%
52.5%		23.6%
+310
-111
+310
-115
0
2		-0.66836-0.66680-0.64375
Colorado Rapids
Portland Timbers		28.5%
45.9%		25.6%
+317
-104
+280
+120
0
3		-0.68989-0.78010-0.77901
Columbus Crew
Real Salt Lake		43.3%
28.2%		28.5%
+463
-136
+445
-120
0
0		-1.34014-1.31737-1.25671
FC Dallas
Austin FC		35.8%
34.4%		29.8%
+176
+163
+190
+145
2
2		-1.28884-1.32133-1.21120
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%