MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+261
+105
+260
+101
0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-110
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+138
+175
+136
+180
1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼-104
u3¼-115
o3-145
u3½-140
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+254
-104
+253
+100
1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-112
u3-108
o3-112
u3+100
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+225
+115
+220
+115
1.14
1.12		2.26
o2¾-119
u2¾+102
o3+105
u3-125
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+310
-132
+328
-130
1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3¼+100
o3½+105
u3½-125
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+285
-115
+285
-115
1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+102
o3-120
u3+100
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+190
+135
+190
+135
1.04
1.24		2.28
o3+100
u3-118
o3+100
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+185
+142
+198
+145
1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾-110
u2¾-109
o2½-138
u2½+120
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+285
+100
+270
-102
1.36
1.17		2.53
o2¾-106
u2¾-112
o2½-130
u2½+120
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+227
+104
+241
+110
1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-115
u3¼-104
o3½+108
u3½-125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+245
-107
+245
-105
1.56
1.08		2.64
o3½-102
u3½-115
o3½-102
u3½-115
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+340
-120
+350
-110
0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-112
u2½-108
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Sep 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati		40.5%
30.7%		28.8%
+169
+163
+155
+155
3
2		-1.00802-0.98583-0.90454
Los Angeles FC
Columbus Crew		33.8%
38.9%		27.3%
+254
+112
+250
+125
2
0		-1.28475-1.25913-1.08501
Austin FC
Los Angeles FC		22.3%
54.6%		23.1%
+485
-170
+540
-178
2
1		-1.78659-1.86117-1.50117
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes		48.2%
27.4%		24.4%
+265
+111
+250
+108
2
3		-0.76832-0.77568-1.29503
FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps		45.0%
28.1%		26.9%
+140
+218
+135
+210
1
2		-1.17600-1.17276-1.27040
Montreal Impact
Nashville SC		25.8%
45.7%		28.4%
+290
+110
+310
+100
1
2		-0.76415-0.73045-0.78285
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City		29.3%
45.3%		25.5%
+181
+164
+170
+170
1
2		-0.99663-1.03176-0.79264
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo		50.6%
24.7%		24.7%
+175
+185
+205
+163
1
0		-1.03356-1.11310-0.68189
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United		28.0%
47.6%		24.4%
+190
+143
+183
+145
1
1		-1.33461-1.31950-1.41100
Inter Miami CF
Philadelphia Union		23.5%
50.6%		25.9%
+750
-235
+680
-240
0
0		-1.61219-1.57624-1.35158
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls		31.4%
41.1%		27.4%
+575
-175
+570
-185
3
3		-1.45192-1.43351-1.29299
New York City
D.C. United		44.6%
28.1%		27.2%
+123
+230
+125
+230
2
0		-0.82933-0.82150-0.80634
Minnesota United
Seattle Sounders		30.5%
42.7%		26.7%
+450
-155
+430
-140
1
3		-0.52523-0.55479-0.84999
New England Revolution
Atlanta United		34.8%
35.8%		29.4%
+209
+130
+245
+125
2
2		-1.34846-1.30295-1.22506
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy		35.7%
37.2%		27.1%
+375
-122
+360
-120
3
1		-1.58246-1.56590-1.03111
Sporting Kansas City
Portland Timbers		31.9%
41.6%		26.5%
+335
-110
+315
+100
2
7		-0.67031-0.71172-0.87801
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%