MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+261
+105
+260
+101
0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-112
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+135
+182
+136
+185
1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼-104
u3¼-115
o3-145
u3½-140
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+272
-110
+253
+100
1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-112
u3-108
o3-112
u3+100
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+225
+115
+220
+115
1.14
1.12		2.26
o2¾-120
u2¾+102
o3+105
u3-125
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+310
-132
+300
-130
1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3¼+100
o3½+105
u3½-125
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+285
-115
+285
-115
1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+102
o3-120
u3+100
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+190
+135
+190
+135
1.04
1.24		2.28
o3+100
u3-118
o3+100
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+195
+135
+198
+145
1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾-110
u2¾-109
o2½-138
u2½+120
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+257
+103
+262
+105
1.36
1.17		2.53
o2¾-106
u2¾-112
o2½-130
u2½+120
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+227
+104
+241
+105
1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-115
u3¼-104
o3½+108
u3½-125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+245
-107
+245
-105
1.56
1.08		2.64
o3½-102
u3½-115
o3½-102
u3½-115
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+340
-122
+350
-110
0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-112
u2½-108
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Sep 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nashville SC
Sporting Kansas City		29.7%
41.2%		29.1%
+235
+150
+225
+143
2
1		-1.23083-1.22465-1.21409
Toronto FC
Real Salt Lake		43.7%
29.7%		26.5%
+335
-110
+340
-115
2
2		-1.35755-1.36971-1.32629
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy		45.0%
31.1%		23.9%
+165
+161
+161
+150
1
2		-0.98548-0.96490-1.16652
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union		33.3%
36.9%		29.8%
+270
+119
+255
+120
0
1		-0.80555-0.82262-0.99620
Montreal Impact
New York Red Bulls		28.4%
44.7%		26.8%
+500
-165
+510
-170
2
1		-1.82672-1.84510-1.25748
New England Revolution
Inter Miami CF		40.3%
30.7%		29.0%
+136
+198
+130
+200
2
3		-1.12107-1.13984-1.18019
Chicago Fire
Orlando City		26.2%
48.2%		25.6%
+340
+105
+302
-110
0
1		-0.71145-0.69575-0.72886
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers		27.6%
48.0%		24.4%
+220
+121
+210
+125
3
1		-1.18433-1.16453-1.28725
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids		28.7%
45.2%		26.2%
+515
-160
+480
-140
1
1		-1.41387-1.38258-1.34128
Sporting Kansas City
Vancouver Whitecaps		48.1%
26.9%		25.1%
+185
+169
+180
+161
0
1		-1.01046-0.99913-1.31457
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United		34.3%
37.9%		27.8%
+280
+117
+265
+112
2
1		-1.34465-1.32965-1.07049
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami CF		26.8%
46.9%		26.3%
+230
+130
+218
+125
3
1		-1.21878-1.20447-1.31763
Austin FC
San Jose Earthquakes		39.1%
33.7%		27.1%
+197
+140
+185
+140
2
2		-1.32171-1.32524-1.30383
Los Angeles FC
Orlando City		36.6%
37.0%		26.4%
+190
+152
+185
+160
4
2		-1.09172-1.07904-1.00398
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution		27.2%
45.5%		27.3%
+210
+140
+250
+135
1
0		-1.15290-1.24974-1.30324
Atlanta United
D.C. United		41.5%
30.3%		28.2%
+250
+120
+230
+120
1
0		-1.27762-1.22499-0.88039
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%