MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+261
+105
+260
+101
0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-112
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+135
+182
+136
+185
1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼-102
u3¼-116
o3-145
u3½-140
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+272
-110
+283
+100
1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-112
u3-105
o3-112
u3+100
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+225
+115
+220
+115
1.14
1.12		2.26
o2½-150
u2¾+102
o3+105
u3-125
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+310
-132
+300
-130
1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3¼+100
o3½+105
u3½-125
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+285
-115
+285
-115
1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+104
o3-120
u3+100
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+190
+135
+190
+135
1.04
1.24		2.28
o3+100
u3-115
o3+100
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+195
+140
+185
+145
1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾-111
u2¾-108
o2½-138
u2½+120
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+250
+108
+255
+108
1.36
1.17		2.53
o2¾-102
u2¾-115
o2½-130
u2½+120
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+227
+104
+241
+105
1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-116
u3¼-102
o3½+108
u3½-125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+245
-107
+245
-105
1.56
1.08		2.64
o3½-102
u3½-115
o3½-102
u3½-115
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+340
-122
+350
-110
0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-112
u2½-105
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Oct 2, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC		31.5%
40.0%		28.5%
+270
+140
+260
+140
1
1		-1.14087-1.09163-1.25544
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew		28.1%
46.6%		25.3%
+385
-150
+400
-145
0
2		-0.53885-0.52913-0.76417
Atlanta United
FC Cincinnati		37.7%
35.4%		26.9%
-120
+301
-125
+300
2
1		-0.64131-0.63892-0.97593
D.C. United
Toronto FC		25.3%
52.3%		22.4%
+155
+170
+148
+190
3
1		-0.96281-0.92642-1.37452
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake		40.6%
33.9%		25.4%
+266
+105
+280
-108
3
1		-1.30479-1.36991-0.90029
Sporting Kansas City
Austin FC		38.8%
35.3%		25.9%
+140
+195
+130
+205
1
3		-1.11027-1.14753-1.04123
Houston Dynamo
Montreal Impact		31.3%
44.6%		24.1%
+585
-202
+574
-200
0
2		-0.42509-0.43737-0.80658
Atlanta United
New York Red Bulls		35.4%
38.1%		26.5%
+325
+100
+330
+100
0
0		-1.25485-1.25012-1.32886
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles FC		23.6%
57.6%		18.9%
+410
-140
+425
-145
1
1		-1.45243-1.43687-1.66770
Los Angeles Galaxy
Seattle Sounders		30.3%
46.6%		23.0%
+375
-130
+360
-115
1
1		-1.41169-1.35031-1.46755
Minnesota United
Vancouver Whitecaps		45.6%
30.4%		23.9%
+190
+150
+210
+148
1
2		-0.95039-0.91970-1.18931
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers		26.6%
52.2%		21.2%
+330
-130
+325
-130
0
2		-0.60307-0.60466-0.65011
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City		32.1%
44.9%		23.0%
+270
+105
+300
+105
0
2		-0.73222-0.71881-0.79982
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas		30.1%
44.2%		25.7%
+240
+115
+231
+110
2
1		-1.23608-1.23429-1.20091
New York Red Bulls
D.C. United		39.4%
34.2%		26.5%
+230
+130
+224
+125
0
1		-0.85616-0.84821-1.07420
Chicago Fire
New York City		30.9%
44.4%		24.7%
+715
-265
+680
-225
0
1		-0.35025-0.38305-0.81220
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%