MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+245
+112
+240
+110
0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-111
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+146
+175
+145
+171
1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼+115
u3¼-118
o3-120
u3+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+285
-110
+288
-115
1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-110
u3-105
o3-115
u3+100
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+263
+115
+260
+100
1.14
1.12		2.26
o2½-150
u3-133
o3+110
u3-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+370
-135
+360
-150
1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3½-118
o3½+105
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+318
-115
+300
-125
1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+104
o3-120
u3+105
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+203
+135
+200
+120
1.04
1.24		2.28
o3-105
u3-102
o3-120
u3+100
Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+190
+145
+185
+142
1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾-103
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+120
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+255
+115
+243
+115
1.36
1.17		2.53
o2½-108
u2¾-115
o2½-115
u2½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+358
+100
+350
-145
1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-118
u3½-117
o3½+105
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+245
-103
+240
-105
1.56
1.08		2.64
o3½+108
u3½-115
o3½+105
u3½-115
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+360
-125
+373
-130
0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-115
u2½-103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Oct 2, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Union
D.C. United		44.5%
30.2%		25.3%
+210
+135
+215
+130
1
3		-0.88610-0.87822-1.19647
New England Revolution
New York City		34.6%
39.1%		26.3%
+408
-155
+375
-155
0
2		-0.52440-0.54497-0.93969
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC		29.2%
50.1%		20.7%
+375
-155
+410
-155
3
3		-1.56117-1.56408-1.57393
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls		33.8%
40.6%		25.6%
+365
-130
+360
-130
1
0		-1.57166-1.57417-1.08542
Nashville SC
Atlanta United		33.2%
38.0%		28.7%
+210
+140
+215
+140
2
0		-1.15607-1.18388-1.10112
Inter Miami CF
Orlando City		28.1%
46.9%		25.0%
+285
+105
+275
+100
0
0		-1.28754-1.31004-1.38737
Toronto FC
Montreal Impact		43.3%
32.3%		24.4%
+270
+101
+232
+105
1
3		-0.71885-0.76226-1.13103
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew		26.1%
47.9%		26.0%
+400
-125
+415
-125
2
3		-0.62057-0.61120-0.73639
Los Angeles FC
Vancouver Whitecaps		50.7%
28.0%		21.4%
-125
+336
-123
+330
1
2		-1.49803-1.48917-1.27307
Portland Timbers
Austin FC		39.2%
34.7%		26.1%
+275
+101
+260
+105
1
3		-0.72853-0.75664-1.05979
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids		31.9%
43.5%		24.6%
+400
-140
+390
-140
1
2		-0.56586-0.56983-0.83349
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo		43.4%
31.5%		25.1%
+245
+125
+245
+130
2
2		-1.26224-1.24233-1.38167
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution		28.2%
46.2%		25.6%
+565
-185
+525
-195
1
4		-0.45124-0.45166-0.77286
Atlanta United
D.C. United		40.8%
32.9%		26.3%
+255
+110
+265
+104
2
1		-1.30125-1.33583-0.89526
Toronto FC
Inter Miami CF		42.2%
32.3%		25.6%
+235
+120
+235
+116
1
3		-0.82262-0.81622-1.13116
Chicago Fire
Orlando City		30.1%
45.6%		24.3%
+445
-150
+435
-150
0
1		-0.53785-0.54469-0.78559
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%