MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+245
+115
+240
+110
0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-106
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+160
+175
+145
+171
1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼+115
u3¼-118
o3-120
u3+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+297
-110
+288
-115
1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-110
u3-105
o3-115
u3+100
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+264
+115
+260
+100
1.14
1.12		2.26
o2¾-116
u2¾-104
o3+110
u3-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+380
-135
+360
-150
1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3½-118
o3½+105
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+320
-115
+300
-125
1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+103
o3-120
u3+105
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+203
+135
+200
+120
1.04
1.24		2.28
o3-105
u3¼-120
o3-120
u3+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+187
+147
+185
+142
1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+120
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+255
+112
+243
+115
1.36
1.17		2.53
o2½-115
u2¾-115
o2½-115
u2½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+350
+100
+350
-145
1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-118
u3½-117
o3½+105
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+245
-103
+240
-105
1.56
1.08		2.64
o3½+108
u3½-115
o3½+105
u3½-115
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+360
-125
+350
-118
0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-115
u2½-103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Oct 2, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota United
San Jose Earthquakes		45.2%
31.6%		23.2%
+180
+145
+185
+135
1
1		-1.33328-1.34389-1.46011
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers		35.6%
38.8%		25.5%
+195
+165
+185
+155
6
2		-1.10555-1.08803-1.03153
D.C. United
Nashville SC		26.9%
45.8%		27.4%
+295
+110
+283
+110
2
5		-0.76514-0.78594-0.78148
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire		40.4%
32.9%		26.6%
+200
+140
+225
+135
0
1		-0.90212-0.87158-1.11021
Los Angeles FC
Atlanta United		40.7%
35.1%		24.2%
+175
+150
+165
+145
0
1		-0.94274-0.94698-1.04697
Austin FC
Real Salt Lake		35.0%
38.4%		26.6%
+315
-115
+320
-105
0
1		-0.66068-0.68587-0.95740
Sporting Kansas City
FC Dallas		35.5%
38.6%		25.8%
+180
+160
+170
+155
2
0		-1.05673-1.03730-1.03431
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo		42.6%
33.3%		24.1%
+190
+160
+190
+165
3
1		-1.08800-1.08087-0.85402
New England Revolution
Toronto FC		33.1%
41.5%		25.3%
+155
+170
+155
+171
2
1		-0.96281-0.97061-1.10524
New York Red Bulls
Montreal Impact		37.2%
36.8%		25.9%
+200
+145
+200
+135
1
2		-0.91902-0.89416-0.99842
Inter Miami CF
New York City		28.8%
45.7%		25.4%
+750
-230
+700
-255
0
2		-0.37552-0.38120-0.78255
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United		31.8%
45.1%		23.1%
+395
-155
+365
-135
1
0		-1.62628-1.55405-1.14624
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes		34.4%
41.8%		23.9%
+500
-145
+500
-160
0
0		-1.42808-1.44587-1.43209
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles Galaxy		29.3%
48.5%		22.2%
+500
-180
+505
-190
1
1		-1.54398-1.54585-1.50481
Montreal Impact
D.C. United		36.7%
37.4%		26.0%
+500
-180
+510
-165
1
2		-0.47747-0.48501-0.98481
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes		50.2%
29.0%		20.8%
+100
+262
+100
+245
1
2		-1.31178-1.27744-1.23763
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%