MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+245
+115
+240
+110
0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-106
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+160
+175
+155
+160
1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼+115
u3¼-118
o3-120
u3+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+297
-110
+288
-115
1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-110
u3-105
o3-115
u3+100
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+275
+115
+260
+100
1.14
1.12		2.26
o2¾-116
u2¾-104
o3+110
u3-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+370
-135
+380
-155
1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3¼+102
o3½+105
u3½-120
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+330
-115
+300
-125
1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+103
o3-120
u3+105
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+203
+135
+200
+120
1.04
1.24		2.28
o3-105
u3¼-120
o3-120
u3+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+187
+147
+185
+142
1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+120
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+255
+112
+243
+115
1.36
1.17		2.53
o2½-117
u2¾-115
o2½-115
u2½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+350
+100
+350
-145
1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-118
u3½-117
o3½+105
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+245
-102
+240
-105
1.56
1.08		2.64
o3¼-120
u3½-115
o3½+105
u3½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+335
-117
+350
-118
0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-115
u2½-103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Oct 2, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution		34.8%
38.9%		26.3%
+490
-174
+460
-170
1
2		-0.48791-0.50519-0.94310
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire		35.0%
39.3%		25.8%
+155
+170
+150
+175
1
2		-1.02910-1.05440-0.93486
Nashville SC
Inter Miami CF		36.6%
33.9%		29.5%
+185
+175
+180
+175
1
2		-1.04603-1.05403-1.08090
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers		29.0%
46.9%		24.2%
+310
-110
+305
+110
2
3		-0.67047-0.72124-0.75784
Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids		37.5%
37.8%		24.6%
+290
-110
+273
-110
0
0		-1.43481-1.41783-1.40084
Austin FC
FC Dallas		30.7%
42.7%		26.6%
+285
-105
+280
+120
0
2		-0.70354-0.77271-0.85181
New York City
Toronto FC		32.8%
42.4%		24.8%
+105
+250
+102
+270
2
2		-1.37101-1.34331-1.39316
Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United		25.9%
52.4%		21.7%
+435
-145
+445
-150
0
2		-0.55227-0.53785-0.64701
Orlando City
FC Cincinnati		40.9%
33.0%		26.1%
+190
+140
+185
+155
1
1		-1.32961-1.29138-1.34163
Atlanta United
Columbus Crew		29.5%
43.8%		26.7%
+315
-105
+325
-107
3
2		-1.45736-1.48815-1.22041
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy		33.0%
43.0%		23.9%
+335
-125
+330
+105
0
1		-0.62261-0.67840-0.84320
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers		26.6%
52.2%		21.2%
+320
-120
+300
-117
1
1		-1.42118-1.40556-1.54971
Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles FC		31.9%
45.4%		22.7%
+380
-135
+360
-134
4
1		-1.59499-1.56236-1.14234
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders		31.3%
42.8%		25.9%
+375
-123
+350
-120
1
1		-1.39833-1.38474-1.35070
Houston Dynamo
Austin FC		29.5%
45.9%		24.6%
+305
-105
+320
-103
2
3		-0.70304-0.70684-0.77781
New York City
Chicago Fire		38.4%
36.1%		25.5%
-115
+290
-115
+275
0
0		-1.48219-1.46477-1.36461
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%