MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+250
+110
+240
+110
0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-106
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+168
+175
+154
+165
1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼+103
u3¼-118
o3-120
u3+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+318
-110
+300
-125
1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-110
u3-105
o3-115
u3-105
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+250
+115
+259
+105
1.14
1.12		2.26
o2¾-116
u2¾-104
o3+110
u3-125
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+333
-132
+325
-135
1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-117
u3¼-102
o3½+115
u3½-120
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+309
-115
+325
-135
1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-115
u3+100
o3-120
u3+105
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+203
+135
+200
+120
1.04
1.24		2.28
o3-105
u3¼-120
o3-120
u3+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+182
+151
+185
+142
1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+120
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+255
+112
+243
+115
1.36
1.17		2.53
o2½-117
u2¾-115
o2½-115
u2½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+350
+100
+350
-145
1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-118
u3½-117
o3½+105
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+245
-102
+240
-105
1.56
1.08		2.64
o3¼-120
u3½-115
o3½+105
u3½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+335
-117
+350
-118
0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-115
u2½-103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Oct 2, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls		31.6%
42.0%		26.4%
+440
-150
+435
-150
0
0		-1.42084-1.40723-1.33215
Inter Miami CF
Orlando City		28.1%
46.9%		25.0%
+440
-165
+425
-165
1
1		-1.51613-1.49419-1.38737
D.C. United
Columbus Crew		24.0%
51.4%		24.6%
+250
+125
+230
+130
4
2		-1.28544-1.24026-1.42732
Atlanta United
Montreal Impact		38.7%
35.5%		25.9%
+280
+107
+266
-105
2
2		-1.38254-1.40194-1.35274
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union		35.4%
39.5%		25.2%
+460
-160
+450
-165
0
3		-0.50155-0.51820-0.92965
Nashville SC
New England Revolution		31.0%
40.4%		28.6%
+480
-159
+450
-160
0
0		-1.47731-1.44189-1.25016
Nashville SC
Toronto FC		29.8%
42.0%		28.2%
+205
+149
+200
+140
1
1		-1.26578-1.27744-1.26478
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union		29.5%
45.3%		25.2%
+506
-190
+454
-190
1
1		-1.62131-1.60331-1.37769
Minnesota United
Vancouver Whitecaps		45.0%
30.0%		25.0%
+116
+245
+115
+280
2
2		-1.31513-1.32640-1.38729
Colorado Rapids
Austin FC		35.1%
36.8%		28.2%
+305
+100
+295
+125
1
0		-1.41223-1.34488-1.04831
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo		37.9%
34.7%		27.4%
+242
+125
+250
+121
0
0		-1.24372-1.27640-1.29390
FC Dallas
Sporting Kansas City		32.4%
40.3%		27.3%
+455
-170
+450
-175
2
1		-1.74063-1.74916-1.12707
Montreal Impact
Inter Miami CF		32.8%
39.1%		28.1%
+235
+115
+235
+115
1
2		-0.80236-0.80602-0.93785
D.C. United
FC Cincinnati		30.6%
41.5%		27.9%
+210
+152
+185
+185
0
0		-1.22670-1.20925-1.27529
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls		36.4%
34.4%		29.1%
+210
+132
+187
+130
3
2		-1.14137-1.09766-1.00934
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders		25.6%
53.6%		20.9%
+415
-140
+400
-142
1
0		-1.66617-1.65172-1.36414
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%