MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 21, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		36.8%
33.7%		29.4%
+299
-123
+310
-125
1.11
1.05		2.16
o2¾-125
u2¾+105
o3+105
u3-125
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		38.5%
33.8%		27.7%
+367
-155
+380
-155
1.24
1.15		2.39
o3+100
u3-120
o3+105
u3-125
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		26.8%
46.8%		26.4%
+275
-106
+285
-105
1.03
1.45		2.48
o2¾+101
u2¾-120
o2½-125
u2½+110
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		46.8%
26.7%		26.6%
+121
+210
+115
+220
1.43
1.02		2.45
o2½-118
u2½-101
o2½-120
u2½+100
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		38.7%
33.1%		28.3%
+200
+136
+205
+138
1.21
1.10		2.31
o2½-105
u2½-114
o2½-105
u2½-115
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)		41.7%
31.8%		26.4%
+170
+147
+175
+150
1.38
1.18		2.56
o2¾-118
u2¾-101
o2½-150
u3-135
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		36.6%
35.1%		28.2%
+208
+122
+215
+124
1.18
1.14		2.32
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+115
New England Revolution (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		33.3%
34.9%		31.8%
+313
-130
+325
-130
0.93
0.97		1.90
o3-102
u3-112
o3+100
u3-120
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)		21.0%
56.2%		22.8%
+225
+112
+225
+110
1.03
1.83		2.86
o3-115
u3-105
o3-120
u3+100
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		47.4%
28.1%		24.5%
+246
-110
+255
-110
1.63
1.20		2.83
o3¼-108
u3¼-112
o3-140
u3+125
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)		34.6%
36.1%		29.4%
+130
+197
+131
+200
1.07
1.10		2.17
o2¾-115
u2¾-104
o2½-150
u3-132
Games for Feb 20, 2026
Games for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Dynamo
San Jose Earthquakes		32.0%
42.7%		25.4%
+205
+125
+200
+124
2
1		-1.14999-1.13100-1.14090
Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake		40.4%
32.4%		27.2%
+408
-129
+388
-130
0
3		-0.59696-0.61015-1.12781
Los Angeles FC
Nashville SC		39.4%
32.5%		28.0%
+195
+155
+180
+145
2
1		-1.10093-1.07937-0.93097
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew		21.7%
51.5%		26.7%
+347
-120
+340
-125
0
2		-0.62822-0.62627-0.66320
New York City
New York Red Bulls		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+218
+134
+210
+127
1
0		-1.17629-1.17522-1.01104
Orlando City
Atlanta United		35.8%
35.5%		28.7%
+208
+135
+285
+135
1
1		-1.32859-1.25313-1.24866
Austin FC
FC Dallas		27.7%
44.3%		28.0%
+238
+124
+290
+110
1
1		-1.31684-1.34040-1.27186
Los Angeles Galaxy
Colorado Rapids		32.0%
42.9%		25.1%
+295
-104
+294
+110
0
2		-0.68973-0.72826-0.84669
D.C. United
Minnesota United		21.6%
54.4%		24.0%
+485
-179
+472
-140
0
2		-0.46880-0.51425-0.60917
Seattle Sounders
Chicago Fire		40.2%
32.3%		27.4%
+283
+103
+265
+115
0
1		-0.73318-0.78220-1.12862
Toronto FC
Montreal Impact		45.0%
29.1%		25.9%
+480
-169
+440
-145
0
1		-0.48504-0.54065-1.23447
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union		31.2%
40.8%		28.0%
+238
+120
+235
+110
1
2		-0.80892-0.79308-0.89578
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy		25.6%
51.7%		22.8%
+370
-145
+385
-152
3
2		-1.56930-1.61004-1.36383
New York City
FC Dallas		33.6%
37.6%		28.8%
+195
+140
+180
+155
1
0		-1.11246-1.04202-1.08948
Orlando City
Colorado Rapids		37.7%
35.0%		27.3%
+305
-106
+310
-112
1
1		-1.37097-1.37952-1.29671
Seattle Sounders
Nashville SC		34.9%
33.7%		31.4%
+310
+103
+290
+100
0
1		-0.73002-0.73441-1.08649
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%