MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+245
-102
+243
-105
1.56
1.08		2.64
o3¼-108
u3½-115
o3½+110
u3½-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+325
-114
+350
-115
0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-115
u2½+101
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Oct 2, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+247
+112
+240
+110
2.00
o2¾-106
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+115
FINAL
FINAL		0
1
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+168
+175
+154
+165
2.26
o3¼+103
u3¼-118
o3-120
u3+105
2nd H
97:11		2
2
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+330
-110
+300
-125
2.70
o3-110
u3-105
o3-115
u3-105
2nd H
93:39		2
1
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+250
+115
+250
+105
2.26
o2¾-116
u2¾-104
o3+110
u3-125
2nd H
93:58		5
1
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+333
-132
+325
-135
2.41
o3¼-110
u3¼-102
o3½+115
u3½-120
FINAL
FINAL		1
1
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+225
+135
+215
+120
2.28
o3-105
u3¼-117
o3-120
u3+110
TIME
HALF		0
0
Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+180
+156
+175
+150
2.21
o2¾-112
u2¾+103
o2½-140
u2½+125
TIME
HALF		1
0
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+259
+110
+260
+105
2.53
o2½-120
u2¾-115
o2½-115
u2½+100
1st H
55:31		1
0
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+390
+100
+375
-165
2.65
o3¼-118
u3½-117
o3½+100
u3½-120
TIME
HALF		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders		25.6%
53.6%		20.9%
+415
-140
+400
-142
1
0		-1.66617-1.65172-1.36414
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy		38.1%
35.7%		26.2%
+255
+101
+235
+110
1
4		-0.72998-0.76942-1.03078
Atlanta United
Orlando City		31.0%
42.1%		26.9%
+345
-130
+340
-130
2
3		-0.60673-0.61216-0.86614
Columbus Crew
New York City		34.8%
35.1%		30.1%
+520
-165
+570
-178
1
4		-0.48700-0.45511-1.04742
Minnesota United
Los Angeles FC		31.6%
44.3%		24.1%
+605
-225
+560
-185
2
2		-1.71308-1.64160-1.42483
Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders		32.3%
41.2%		26.5%
+210
+135
+205
+130
3
1		-1.15696-1.15929-1.12973
New York Red Bulls
D.C. United		38.3%
33.2%		28.5%
+215
+140
+215
+135
0
1		-0.90333-0.89509-1.10265
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami CF		40.0%
31.9%		28.1%
+144
+200
+144
+200
1
1		-1.28125-1.28125-1.27100
Orlando City
New York City		34.3%
37.8%		27.9%
+550
-189
+560
-204
0
5		-0.44507-0.44273-0.97283
Montreal Impact
New England Revolution		28.0%
46.9%		25.1%
+625
-210
+615
-240
1
2		-0.40470-0.39693-0.75666
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles FC		23.8%
58.0%		18.2%
+1200
-500
+1150
-370
2
2		-2.10308-1.99202-1.70419
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+220
+135
+225
+130
0
3		-0.88860-0.86886-1.02312
Houston Dynamo
San Jose Earthquakes		33.8%
40.9%		25.3%
+241
+130
+215
+125
1
1		-1.25607-1.29927-1.37401
FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC		28.6%
41.7%		29.8%
+515
-160
+515
-160
0
3		-0.52254-0.52254-0.87558
Los Angeles Galaxy
FC Dallas		32.1%
42.0%		25.9%
+275
-107
+260
-110
0
4		-0.68991-0.69693-0.86638
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United		34.1%
39.0%		26.9%
+440
-170
+425
-115
1
2		-0.49205-0.57451-0.94194
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.64525 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.60378 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.77401
-0.12876
-0.17023

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%