MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 2, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.7%		26.4%


0.97
1.46		2.43


Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		32.6%
39.7%		27.6%


1.12
1.27		2.39


New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)
Toronto FC (0-0-0)		25.7%
48.8%		25.4%


1.05
1.55		2.60


Montreal Impact (0-0-0)
Atlanta United (0-0-0)		26.7%
47.1%		26.2%


1.04
1.47		2.51


Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		21.8%
51.3%		27.0%


0.83
1.44		2.27


New England Revolution (0-0-0)
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)		48.3%
25.9%		25.8%


1.51
1.04		2.55


D.C. United (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		23.0%
48.7%		28.2%


0.82
1.33		2.15


Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		32.0%
42.9%		25.1%


1.27
1.52		2.79


Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		40.7%
32.0%		27.4%


1.30
1.12		2.42


Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		50.4%
24.6%		25.0%


1.60
1.04		2.64


FC Dallas (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		44.5%
29.5%		26.0%


1.46
1.14		2.60


Austin FC (0-0-0)
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)		25.8%
47.8%		26.4%


1.00
1.46		2.46


Games for Oct 1, 2024
Games for Oct 3, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+240
+103
+240
+100
2.64
o3¼-108
u3½-115
o3½+110
u3½-125
TIME
HALF		1
1
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+320
-109
+350
-115
2.87
o2½-115
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½+100
TIME
HALF		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami CF		40.0%
31.9%		28.1%
+144
+200
+144
+200
1
1		-1.28125-1.28125-1.27100
Orlando City
New York City		34.3%
37.8%		27.9%
+550
-189
+560
-204
0
5		-0.44507-0.44273-0.97283
Montreal Impact
New England Revolution		28.0%
46.9%		25.1%
+625
-210
+615
-240
1
2		-0.40470-0.39693-0.75666
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles FC		23.8%
58.0%		18.2%
+1200
-500
+1150
-370
2
2		-2.10308-1.99202-1.70419
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+220
+135
+225
+130
0
3		-0.88860-0.86886-1.02312
Houston Dynamo
San Jose Earthquakes		33.8%
40.9%		25.3%
+241
+130
+215
+125
1
1		-1.25607-1.29927-1.37401
FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC		28.6%
41.7%		29.8%
+515
-160
+515
-160
0
3		-0.52254-0.52254-0.87558
Los Angeles Galaxy
FC Dallas		32.1%
42.0%		25.9%
+275
-107
+260
-110
0
4		-0.68991-0.69693-0.86638
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United		34.1%
39.0%		26.9%
+440
-170
+425
-115
1
2		-0.49205-0.57451-0.94194
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire		39.7%
33.6%		26.7%
+220
+132
+210
+117
2
1		-1.15664-1.17364-0.92274
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United		36.7%
33.4%		29.9%
+245
+110
+255
+108
1
0		-1.27404-1.31015-1.00280
Seattle Sounders
Austin FC		39.3%
32.5%		28.2%
+435
+104
+418
-140
1
0		-1.59160-1.68093-0.93504
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City		33.7%
38.6%		27.6%
+285
+105
+278
+100
1
2		-0.74286-0.73835-0.95062
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers		37.3%
36.5%		26.2%
-105
+255
+115
+255
1
2		-1.30405-1.25762-1.00799
Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake		36.0%
37.3%		26.6%
+300
-107
+315
-110
2
2		-1.36461-1.36063-1.32354
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids		34.6%
37.3%		28.1%
+445
-175
+430
-160
0
2		-0.48630-0.51340-0.98639
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks103-3-4 (0.500)0-1.13648 
Sportsbooks103-3-4 (0.500)0-1.12245 
DRatings105-1-4 (0.700)0-1.04388
0.09260
0.07856

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%