MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 2, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.7%		26.4%


0.97
1.46		2.43


Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		32.6%
39.7%		27.6%


1.12
1.27		2.39


New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)
Toronto FC (0-0-0)		25.7%
48.8%		25.4%


1.05
1.55		2.60


Montreal Impact (0-0-0)
Atlanta United (0-0-0)		26.7%
47.1%		26.2%


1.04
1.47		2.51


Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		21.8%
51.3%		27.0%


0.83
1.44		2.27


New England Revolution (0-0-0)
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)		48.3%
25.9%		25.8%


1.51
1.04		2.55


D.C. United (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		23.0%
48.7%		28.2%


0.82
1.33		2.15


Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		32.0%
42.9%		25.1%


1.27
1.52		2.79


Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		40.7%
32.0%		27.4%


1.30
1.12		2.42


Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		50.4%
24.6%		25.0%


1.60
1.04		2.64


FC Dallas (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		44.5%
29.5%		26.0%


1.46
1.14		2.60


Austin FC (0-0-0)
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)		25.8%
47.8%		26.4%


1.00
1.46		2.46


Games for Oct 1, 2024
Games for Oct 3, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake		36.0%
37.3%		26.6%
+300
-107
+315
-110
2
2		-1.36461-1.36063-1.32354
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids		34.6%
37.3%		28.1%
+445
-175
+430
-160
0
2		-0.48630-0.51340-0.98639
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City		27.0%
51.6%		21.4%
+535
-190
+510
-200
1
1		-1.58939-1.58153-1.54304
D.C. United
Chicago Fire		29.6%
44.5%		25.9%
+215
+125
+220
+121
2
2		-1.34002-1.34301-1.35000
Atlanta United
FC Cincinnati		36.4%
34.2%		29.4%
+235
+120
+230
+120
1
1		-1.30111-1.30545-1.22448
Montreal Impact
New York City		28.6%
46.6%		24.8%
+700
-235
+655
-225
0
1		-0.37686-0.40027-0.76357
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew		28.1%
41.1%		30.8%
+255
+115
+245
+120
0
0		-1.27440-1.27207-1.17873
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC		29.4%
45.4%		25.2%
+230
+115
+220
+120
1
1		-1.38525-1.34500-1.37841
New England Revolution
Inter Miami CF		38.9%
32.2%		28.9%
+175
+165
+165
+160
5
0		-1.03403-1.02510-0.94392
Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps		34.0%
39.4%		26.6%
+150
+185
+165
+175
0
0		-1.29898-1.28939-1.32497
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United		34.9%
37.4%		27.8%
+285
-101
+270
+100
0
1		-0.70346-0.71947-0.98411
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC		26.8%
51.6%		21.6%
+790
-175
+773
-275
1
2		-0.39121-0.35693-0.66161
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers		31.9%
40.8%		27.4%
+315
-114
+330
-115
0
1		-0.66200-0.65252-0.89732
Los Angeles Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps		41.1%
33.6%		25.3%
+127
+228
+130
+220
1
2		-1.19567-1.17354-1.09184
San Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids		29.1%
48.1%		22.8%
+650
-147
+630
-245
1
1		-1.57368-1.65548-1.47876
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC		30.6%
40.3%		29.1%
+385
-130
+385
-137
1
5		-0.59357-0.58175-0.90850
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks124-3-5 (0.542)0-1.12482 
Sportsbooks124-3-5 (0.542)0-1.10968 
DRatings126-1-5 (0.708)0-1.02796
0.09686
0.08172

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%