NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 25, 2021

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Iowa Hawkeyes (0-0)
Michigan Wolverines (0-0)		53.1%
46.9%
+195
-215
+192
-210
+5½-110
-5-109
+5½-110
-5-110
76.4
75.1		151.5
o154-109
u154½-110
o153½-110
u154½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Santa Clara Broncos (0-0)
Gonzaga Bulldogs (0-0)		7.2%
92.8%
+4500
-4000
+2000
-6000
+31½-110
-31-109
+31-110
-30½-110
72.2
87.3		159.5
o154½-109
u155-110
o154-110
u155-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Nebraska Cornhuskers (0-0)
Illinois Fighting Illini (0-0)		7.0%
93.0%
+775
-1120
+750
-1000
+14½-110
-13½-114
+14-110
-13½-110
64.0
79.3		143.3
o146-105
u145+105
o145½-110
u146½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (0-0)
Houston Cougars (0-0)		15.9%
84.1%
+510
-660
+525
-700
+11½-105
-11½-109
+12-110
-11-110
63.7
74.1		137.8
o137-109
u137-102
o137-110
u137½-110
MS Valley State Delta Devils (0-0)
Prairie View A&M Panthers (0-0)		6.0%
94.0%
+4500
-14999

+31-109
-31-105
+31½-110
-31-110
69.4
85.4		154.8
o142½-120
u144-109
o143½-110
u143½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
UIC Flames (0-0)
Youngstown State Penguins (0-0)		41.4%
58.6%
+190
-215
+205
-220
+5½-109
-5-111
+5½-110
-5½-110
66.5
69.6		136.1
o143-120
u144½-110
o143½-110
u144-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
IPFW Mastodons (0-0)
Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix (0-0)		31.5%
68.5%
+205
-225
+215
-240
+5½-109
-5½-109
+6-110
-6-110
72.0
77.6		149.6
o144-109
u145½-119
o144-110
u144-110
IUPUI Jaguars (0-0)
Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers (0-0)		25.5%
74.5%
+155
-173
+160
-175
+4-109
-4+100
+4-110
-4-110
70.6
78.2		148.8
o152½-109
u152½-109
o152-110
u153-110
Belmont Bruins (0-0)
Eastern Kentucky Colonels (0-0)		74.9%
25.1%
-350
+299
-345
+300
-8-109
+8-105
-8-110
+8-110
79.5
71.9		151.4
o162-105
u162-109
o161½-110
u162-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
UCLA Bruins (0-0)
Utah Utes (0-0)		36.6%
63.4%
-115
-105
-110
+105
-1-104
+1-110
+0-110
+1½-110
64.5
68.8		133.3
o135½+100
u135½-109
o135½-110
u135½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Weber State Wildcats (0-0)
Sacramento State Hornets (0-0)		28.7%
71.3%
-275
+250
-275
+240
-6½-109
+7-105
-6½-110
+6½-110
60.5
66.9		127.4
o144-105
u144-105
o144-110
u144-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
SE Missouri State Redhawks (0-0)
Eastern Illinois Panthers (0-0)		18.8%
81.2%
+205
-230
+210
-230
+6-114
-6-104
+6-110
-6-110
65.4
74.9		140.3
o138-109
u138-106
o137½-110
u138-110
Portland State Vikings (0-0)
Northern Colorado Bears (0-0)		25.4%
74.6%
-115
+100
-110
-103
+0-115
+1-109
+0-110
+1-110
70.7
78.4		149.1
o138½-105
u139-109
o138½-110
u139½-110
Murray State Racers (0-0)
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (0-0)		67.1%
32.9%
-165
+155
-165
+150
-3-115
+3½-109
-3½-110
+3½-110
71.4
65.9		137.3
o138-109
u138-109
o138-110
u138-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Ark Pine Bluff Golden Lions (0-0)
Texas Southern Tigers (0-0)		12.8%
87.2%
+680
-1010
+745
-900
+14-107
-14-109
+14-110
-14-110
60.2
71.7		131.9
o140+100
u139½-109
o139½-110
u140-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Austin Peay Governors (0-0)
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (0-0)		77.5%
22.5%
-370
+305
-360
+320
-8-115
+8½-108
-8½-110
+8½-110
75.0
66.8		141.8
o143-109
u143½-115
o142½-110
u143-110
Ohio State Buckeyes (0-0)
Michigan State Spartans (0-0)		28.5%
71.5%
-173
+160
-170
+160
-3½-114
+4-105
-3½-110
+4-110
66.1
72.6		138.7
o145-109
u145½-105
o144½-110
u145-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
San Francisco Dons (0-0)
Brigham Young Cougars (0-0)		21.9%
78.1%
+415
-515
+465
-500
+9½-105
-9½-109
+10-110
-10-110
68.1
76.5		144.6
o141½-105
u142-105
o141-110
u141½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
PostponedSan Jose State Spartans (0-0)
Wyoming Cowboys (0-0)		32.8%
67.2%


+13-110
-11½-112

69.8
75.2		145.0
o143½-110
u153½-105

Volatility Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Oregon Ducks (0-0)
Stanford Cardinal (0-0)		48.3%
51.7%
-145
+135
-140
+130
-2½-109
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½-110
65.6
66.5		132.1
o135-109
u135½-110
o135-110
u135½-110
USC Trojans (0-0)
Colorado Buffaloes (0-0)		27.4%
72.6%
+150
-165
+155
-165
+3½-105
-3½-106
+3½-110
-3½-110
63.2
70.2		133.4
o136½-109
u137½-110
o136½-110
u136½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Portland Pilots (0-0)
San Diego Toreros (0-0)		30.3%
69.7%
+704
-855
+600
-900
+13-112
-12½-109
+12½-110
-12½-110
64.4
70.3		134.7
o142½-109
u143-105
o143-110
u143-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Montana Grizzlies (0-0)
Idaho State Bengals (0-0)		68.0%
32.0%
-140
+120
-140
+125
-2½-109
+2½-109
-2½-110
+2½-110
73.6
68.1		141.7
o126-109
u126½-105
o125½-110
u126½-110
Loyola Marymount Lions (0-0)
Pepperdine Waves (0-0)		28.0%
72.0%
+170
-180
+175
-190
+4½-109
-4-110
+4½-110
-4½-110
64.8
71.5		136.3
o143½-105
u143½-109
o144-110
u144½-110
Northwestern Wildcats (0-0)
Minnesota Golden Gophers (0-0)		16.4%
83.6%
+175
-195
+180
-200
+5-110
-4½-105
+4½-110
-4½-110
62.1
72.4		134.5
o141½-109
u141½-105
o141-110
u141½-110
Boise State Broncos (0-0)
San Diego State Aztecs (0-0)		12.5%
87.5%
+230
-265
+245
-260
+6½-109
-6-111
+6½-110
-6½-110
61.6
73.1		134.7
o137-115
u138-110
o137½-110
u137½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Oregon State Beavers (0-0)
California Golden Bears (0-0)		51.5%
48.5%
-115
-105
-115
-103
+0-105
+1-109
-1-110
+1-110
66.5
66.0		132.5
o131-109
u131-104
o130½-110
u131-110
Washington State Cougars (0-0)
Arizona Wildcats (0-0)		13.0%
87.0%
+350
-400
+380
-430
+9-114
-9-104
+9-110
-9-110
64.9
76.2		141.1
o140-109
u140½-110
o139½-110
u140-110
Pacific Tigers (0-0)
Saint Mary's College Gaels (0-0)		22.3%
77.7%
+220
-255
+230
-250
+6-109
-6-105
+6-110
-6-110
62.5
70.9		133.4
o122½-115
u123½-110
o122-110
u122½-110
Games for Feb 24, 2021
Games for Feb 19, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Closing
ML		Closing
Spread		Orig. Total
Points		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Robert Morris Colonials (0-0)
Detroit Titans (0-0)		53.2%
46.8%
+435
-550
+450
-500
+11-115
-10-109
+10½-110
-10-110
142.1
o144-109
u145-112
o144-110
u144½-110
1st H
19:28		0
0
Washington Huskies (0-0)
Arizona State Sun Devils (0-0)		28.8%
71.2%
+358
-435
+410
-450
+9-105
-9-109
+9½-110
-9-110
145.8
o154-103
u154-109
o154-110
u155-110
1st H
15:20		8
11
Tennessee State Tigers (0-0)
Morehead State Eagles (0-0)		51.7%
48.3%
+545
-700
+550
-700
+12½-112
-11-115
+11½-110
-11-110
136.2
o132-109
u132-105
o131½-110
u132½-110
1st H
17:15		4
4
Wagner Seahawks (0-0)
Central Connecticut Blue Devils (0-0)		59.3%
40.7%
-400
+315
-400
+345
-9-109
+9-105
-9-110
+9-110
144.1
o136-115
u136½-104
o136½-110
u137-110
1st H
16:15		8
5
LIU Sharks (0-0)
Bryant Bulldogs (0-0)		44.3%
55.7%
+205
-245
+205
-240
+5½-109
-5-113
+5½-110
-5½-110
146.7
o164-109
u163½+100
o163½-110
u164-110
1st H
18:22		0
2
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (0-0)
St. Francis Red Flash (0-0)		21.7%
78.3%
-125
+105
-125
+110
-1½-109
+1½-103
-1½-110
+2-110
139.0
o127-105
u127½-108
o126½-110
u127½-110
1st H
16:22		5
6
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (0-0)
Sacred Heart Pioneers (0-0)		26.8%
73.2%
-110
+100
-110
-103
-1-105
+1-105
+0-110
+1-110
144.7
o155-109
u155+100
o154½-110
u155-110
1st H
19:55		0
0
Florida A&M Rattlers (0-0)
South Carolina State Bulldogs (0-0)		45.5%
54.5%
-550
+435
-550
+495
-10½-109
+10+105
-10½-110
+11-110
139.2
o139½-109
u138½+105
o139-110
u139-110
1st H
19:55		0
0
Hartford Hawks (0-0)
Baylor Bears (0-0)		10.1%
89.9%
+1688
-3938
+2500
-4900
+26-110
-25½-104
+26-110
-25½-110
128.5
o138½-110
u139-109
o138-110
u139-110
FINAL
FINAL		55
79
FIU Golden Panthers (0-0)
Liberty Flames (0-0)		20.4%
79.6%
+431
-575
+455
-550
+10-105
-9½-110
+10½-110
-10-109
133.0
o152½-110
u153-105
o152½-110
u153-110
FINAL
FINAL		89
90
Marshall Thundering Herd (0-0)
Appalachian State Mountaineers (0-0)		40.7%
59.3%
+155
-174
+162
-175
+3½-105
-3½-112
+4-110
-3½-109
144.5
o144-110
u144-110
o144-110
u144½-110
2nd H
02:38		88
85
USC Upstate Spartans (0-0)
Winthrop Eagles (0-0)		14.1%
85.9%
+795
-1200
+825
-1100
+13-105
-13-110
+14-110
-13½-109
153.4
o157-115
u159-110
o157½-110
u158-110
2nd H
00:17		62
67
Longwood Lancers (0-0)
Presbyterian Blue Hose (0-0)		46.3%
53.7%
+122
-140
+125
-135
+2½-110
-2-115
+2½-105
-2-109
133.1
o139-110
u139½-110
o139-110
u139½-110
2nd H
09:25		47
51
Memphis Tigers (0-0)
South Florida Bulls (0-0)		52.1%
47.9%
+383
-480
+400
-450
+9½-115
-9-111
+9½-109
-9-110
124.1
o163-110
u164-105
o163-110
u165-110
2nd H
15:51		36
57
Drexel Dragons (0-0)
Northeastern Huskies (0-0)		24.9%
75.1%
+105
-120
+105
-115
+1½-110
-1-115
+1½-110
-1-109
134.8
o144-110
u144-110
o143-110
u143½-110
2nd H
06:21		49
48
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (0-0)
Chicago State Cougars (0-0)		76.1%
23.9%
-115
+110
-135
+120
-1-110
+1½-115
-1½-109
+2-110
146.1
o132-105
u132-115
o132-110
u132½-110
2nd H
06:54		49
47
Albany Great Danes (0-0)
NJIT Highlanders (0-0)		45.7%
54.3%
+165
-185
+165
-180
+3½+100
-4-110
+4-109
-4-105
129.9
o142-112
u143-110
o143-110
u143-110
2nd H
09:30		59
56
Monmouth Hawks (0-0)
UNC Wilmington Seahawks (0-0)		60.0%
40.0%
+316
-360
+300
-360
+8-110
-7½-110
+8-109
-8-109
141.5
o144-110
u144½-110
o144-110
u145½-110
2nd H
13:56		47
41
Samford Bulldogs (0-0)
The Citadel Bulldogs (0-0)		46.1%
53.9%
-600
+446
-560
+465
-10½-110
+10½-110
-10½-109
+10½-109
162.2
o144-110
u144-110
o143-110
u143½-110
2nd H
04:18		67
48
UNC Asheville Bulldogs (0-0)
High Point Panthers (0-0)		57.1%
42.9%
+900
-1500
+925
-1300
+15½-117
-15½-103
+15-110
-14½-109
146.0
o152½-110
u153-110
o152-110
u152½-110
2nd H
08:10		31
57
Alabama State Hornets (0-0)
Bethune Cookman Wildcats (0-0)		23.4%
76.6%
+200
-240
+205
-215
+5½-110
-5-110
+5½-109
-4½-115
136.3
o148-105
u148-110
o146½-110
u147½-110
TIME
HALF		39
52
William & Mary Tribe (0-0)
Campbell Fighting Camels (0-0)		60.7%
39.3%
-135
+115
-140
+125
-2-110
+2-107
-2-110
+2½-109
133.9
o167½-110
u168½-105
o166½-110
u168-110
2nd H
13:02		57
53
Chattanooga Mocs (0-0)
Mercer Bears (0-0)		45.5%
54.5%
+446
-575
+450
-550
+10-110
-9½-110
+10-109
-9½-110
138.0
o152-108
u152-105
o152-110
u152½-110
2nd H
08:45		65
70
Charleston Cougars (0-0)
North Carolina A&T Aggies (0-0)		58.9%
41.1%
-200
+174
-200
+190
-4½-110
+4½-105
-4½-109
+5-110
143.6
o146½-110
u147-110
o147½-110
u148-110
2nd H
10:07		58
49
Austin Peay Governors (0-0)
North Florida Ospreys (0-0)		40.1%
59.9%
-750
+534
-700
+550
-11½-108
+11½-110
-11-109
+12-110
155.5
o166-110
u166-105
o165-110
u166-110
2nd H
12:47		44
50
LIU Sharks (0-0)
St. Francis Red Flash (0-0)		28.9%
71.1%
-450
+350
-445
+375
-9-112
+9-105
-9-109
+9-109
155.7
o148-110
u148-110
o148½-110
u149-110
2nd H
03:32		80
85
IUPUI Jaguars (0-0)
Wright State Raiders (0-0)		10.0%
90.0%
+586
-800
+600
-700
+11½-105
-11½-110
+12-110
-11½-105
156.4
o160½-110
u160+100
o160½-110
u161½-110
2nd H
07:19		59
65
Gardner Webb Runnin' Bulldogs (0-0)
Radford Highlanders (0-0)		27.9%
72.1%
+1156
-2500
+1300
-2500
+18½-110
-18½-110
+19-109
-18½-110
137.4
o162½-110
u162½-110
o162-110
u162½-110
2nd H
07:11		48
74
Hampton Pirates (0-0)
Hofstra Pride (0-0)		12.7%
87.3%
+476
-650
+525
-650
+11-110
-11-110
+11-105
-10½-109
154.7
o134-110
u133½+100
o133-110
u133½-110
1st H
05:21		10
27
Arkansas State Red Wolves (0-0)
Louisiana Lafayette (0-0)		41.3%
58.7%
-390
+316
-385
+335
-8½-105
+8-105
-8-109
+9-110
151.2
o144½-110
u144½-110
o144-110
u144½-110
1st H
11:47		9
18
Georgia Southern Eagles (0-0)
Georgia State Panthers (0-0)		35.1%
64.9%
-125
+110
-120
+105
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-109
+1½-109
150.8
o154½-110
u154½-105
o155-110
u155½-110
1st H
07:25		22
26
Dixie State Trailblazers (0-0)
UT Arlington Mavericks (0-0)		5.1%
94.9%
+183
-195
+190
-210
+5-112
-4½-105
+5-109
-4½-115
0.0
o140½-115
u141-110
o140½-110
u141½-110
1st H
05:31		21
24
California Baptist Lancers (0-0)
Utah Valley Wolverines (0-0)		54.0%
46.0%
+316
-370
+335
-400
+7½-105
-8-105
+8-109
-7½-110
143.2
o142-110
u142½-110
o141½-110
u142-110
1st H
05:31		18
21
UMKC Kangarros (0-0)
North Dakota Fighting Sioux (0-0)		33.5%
66.5%
+446
-575
+430
-500
+10-116
-9½-110
+10-110
-9½-109
135.6
o149½-120
u151-110
o149½-110
u151½-110
1st H
06:01		28
25
Texas State Bobcats (0-0)
South Alabama Jaguars (0-0)		47.3%
52.7%
+157
-180
+160
-170
+3½-105
-4-105
+4-110
-3½-109
129.8
o137½-110
u137½-110
o137-110
u137½-110
1st H
05:07		29
17
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (0-0)
Little Rock Trojans (0-0)		9.1%
90.9%
-140
+120
-135
+125
-2½-105
+2-105
-2-109
+2½-110
158.2
o136½-110
u137-110
o136½-110
u137-110
1st H
15:57		3
7
Central Arkansas Bears (0-0)
Stetson Hatters (0-0)		36.5%
63.5%
-550
+415
-500
+405
-10-105
+10-110
-9½-109
+10-110
139.8
o149½-110
u150-110
o150-110
u150½-110
1st H
04:09		36
21

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
South Alabama Jaguars
Texas State Bobcats		29.5%
70.5%
+140
-160
+155
-160
+3½-115
-3-108
+3½-109
-3-110
65
67		-0.51706-0.49303-0.34899
UNC Tar Heels
Ohio State Buckeyes		29.9%
70.1%
-145
+130
-150
+135
-2½-110
+3-110
-3-105
+3-109
71
70		-0.55080-0.53604-1.20771
Louisiana Lafayette
Louisiana Monroe Warhawks		47.1%
52.9%
-130
+113
-120
+115
-1½-115
+2-105
-1½-110
+2-109
76
62		-0.60466-0.61667-0.75266
Denver Pioneers
Northern Colorado Bears		9.8%
90.2%
+316
-400
+330
-370
+8-103
-8-110
+8½-110
-8-109
86
79		-1.46512-1.47819-2.32136
Central Michigan Chippewas
Northern Illinois Huskies		32.7%
67.3%
+120
-130
+120
-130
+2½-110
-2-110
+2½-109
-2-110
73
74		-0.59012-0.59012-0.39637
Iona Gaels
Vermont Catamounts		14.4%
85.6%
+210
-250
+215
-220
+6½-110
-6-115
+6-109
-5-110
83
78		-1.16761-1.15236-1.93704
Elon Phoenix
Virginia Tech Hokies		13.0%
87.0%
+661
-1000
+700
-850
+12½-110
-12½-109
+13-110
-12½-109
81
82		-0.13502-0.13077-0.13874
Holy Cross Crusaders
Harvard Crimson		6.2%
93.8%
+410
-585
+455
-490
+10½-110
-10½-105
+10½-110
-10-109
53
81		-0.20669-0.19634-0.06362
Lafayette Leopards
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets		16.8%
83.2%

+1050
-1600
+16½-110
-16½-105
+16½-110
-16-109
81
95		-0.08837-0.18373
Longwood Lancers
North Carolina Central Eagles		25.5%
74.5%
-150
+130
-165
+170
-2½-110
+3-110
-3-110
+4½-110
74
72		-0.54502-0.46678-1.36465
Marshall Thundering Herd
Troy Trojans		60.0%
40.0%
+170
-195
+178
-190
+5-115
-4½-111
+5-110
-4-110
63
70		-0.44488-0.43764-0.91597
Colorado State Rams
Utah State Aggies		22.6%
77.4%
+476
-585
+450
-550
+11-115
-10½-110
+11-109
-10½-110
58
100		-0.18505-0.19464-0.25608
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Old Dominion Monarchs		33.9%
66.1%
+153
-175
+155
-170
+3½-110
-3½-110
+4-109
-4+100
76
74		-0.95935-0.95763-1.08114
Kent State Golden Flashes
UMass Minutemen		47.5%
52.5%
-115
-105
-109
-109
+0-112
+0-108
+0-109
+0-109
69
59		-0.67172-0.69315-0.74421
Miami RedHawks
Ball State Cardinals		24.4%
75.6%
-370
+296
-360
+330
-7-110
+7-109
-7½-109
+7½-109
86
77		-0.27822-0.26017-1.40858
Howard Bison
UNC Wilmington Seahawks		16.1%
83.9%

+950
-1400
+16-105
-16-115
+15½-109
-15½-109
67
66		-2.37957-1.82710
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1711-6 (0.647)0-0.55423 
Sportsbooks1711-6 (0.647)0-0.55408 
DRatings1712-5 (0.706)0-0.65133
-0.09710
-0.09724

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.

Related Blog Posts

Time Value of Money in Sports Betting

Analyzing the disconnect in how bettors think about value.

Randomness, Edge, and Volume in Sports Betting Outcomes

We dig into the data behind variance and expectation.

Top 5 Sweepstakes Sportsbooks

Find out who makes our top five sweepstakes sportsbook list.

2025-2026 NFL Season Preview

Here is our 2025-2026 NFL season preview based on 1,000 simulations.

The Predictive Power of Prediction Markets

Discover how prediction markets deliver accurate forecasts.

All Blog Posts