Utrecht at Ajax

Updated

Utrecht

7.8%13.4%78.8%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.77Projected Goals 2.76
0Final Score 2

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Heracles Almelo-265
W 1-0 at Twente+395
W 0-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-145
T 1-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+655
T 0-0 at Vitesse+130
Ajax
Money Line
L 0-2 at AZ Alkmaar+290
L 2-3 at Heerenveen-120
T 1-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+225
W 4-2 at Heracles Almelo-180
W 1-4 vs RKC Waalwijk-400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+310-+240+258-+258+258-
Ajax-135-+105+100-+100+105-
Draw+300-+260+270-+270+270-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+295----+245+245-
Ajax-125----+100+100-
Draw+315----+285+285-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +270 to +250
Ajax ML moved from -122 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +275 to +245
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-105-o2¾-105o2¾-106-o2¾-106o2¾-105-
Underu3¼-115-u2¾-115u2¾-114-u2¾-114u2¾-114-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.93%
Exactly 218.25%
Exactly 418.96%
Exactly 67.88%
Exactly 81.76%
Exactly 100.24%
 
Exactly 110.34%
Exactly 321.48%
Exactly 513.39%
Exactly 73.98%
Exactly 90.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 046.16%
Exactly 135.68%
Exactly 213.79%
Exactly 33.55%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 06.34%
Exactly 117.49%
Exactly 224.12%
Exactly 322.17%
Exactly 415.29%
Exactly 58.44%
Exactly 63.88%
Exactly 71.53%
Exactly 80.53%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.50%
Exactly 226.06%
Exactly 45.80%
Exactly 60.52%
 
Exactly 131.87%
Exactly 314.20%
Exactly 51.90%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 069.92%
Exactly 125.02%
Exactly 24.48%
Exactly 30.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 027.88%
Exactly 135.61%
Exactly 222.74%
Exactly 39.68%
Exactly 43.09%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals2.12%
Wins by 3+ goals0.44%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals58.37%
Wins by 3+ goals36.88%
Wins by 4+ goals19.88%
Wins by 5+ goals9.21%
Wins by 6+ goals3.71%
Wins by 7+ goals1.29%
Wins by 8+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal5.70%
Wins by 2 goals1.68%
Wins by 3 goals0.37%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal20.34%
Wins by 2 goals21.48%
Wins by 3 goals17.01%
Wins by 4 goals10.66%
Wins by 5 goals5.51%
Wins by 6 goals2.41%
Wins by 7 goals0.92%
Wins by 8 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.07%2.93%
1.586.74%13.26%
2.568.49%31.51%
3.547.01%52.99%
4.528.05%71.95%
5.514.66%85.34%
6.56.77%93.23%
7.52.80%97.20%
8.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.84%46.16%
1.518.15%81.85%
2.54.36%95.64%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.66%6.34%
1.576.17%23.83%
2.552.06%47.94%
3.529.88%70.12%
4.514.59%85.41%
5.56.15%93.85%
6.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.50%19.50%
1.548.63%51.37%
2.522.57%77.43%
3.58.37%91.63%
4.52.57%97.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.93%
8.07%
11.13%
10.24%
7.06%
3.89%
1
2.26%
6.24%
8.61%
7.91%
5.46%
3.01%
2
0.87%
2.41%
3.33%
3.06%
2.11%
1.16%
3
0.23%
0.62%
0.86%
0.79%
0.54%
0.30%
Utrecht
1-02.26%
2-00.87%
2-12.41%
3-00.23%
3-10.62%
3-20.86%
Draw
0-02.93%
1-16.24%
2-23.33%
3-30.79%
4-40.10%
Ajax
0-18.07%
0-211.13%
1-28.61%
0-310.24%
1-37.91%
2-33.06%
0-47.06%
1-45.46%
2-42.11%
3-40.54%
0-53.89%
1-53.01%
2-51.16%
3-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
Ajax
Score0123456
0
19.50%
24.90%
15.90%
6.77%
2.16%
0.55%
0.12%
1
6.98%
8.91%
5.69%
2.42%
0.77%
0.20%
0.04%
2
1.25%
1.59%
1.02%
0.43%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.15%
0.19%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Utrecht
1-06.98%
2-01.25%
2-11.59%
3-00.15%
3-10.19%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-019.50%
1-18.91%
2-21.02%
Ajax
0-124.90%
0-215.90%
1-25.69%
0-36.77%
1-32.42%
2-30.43%
0-42.16%
1-40.77%
2-40.14%
0-50.55%
1-50.20%
0-60.12%
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