Utrecht at Ajax

Updated

Utrecht

7.8%13.4%78.8%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.77Projected Goals 2.76
0Final Score 2

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Heracles Almelo-265
W 1-0 at Twente+395
W 0-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-145
T 1-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+655
T 0-0 at Vitesse+130
Ajax
Money Line
L 0-2 at AZ Alkmaar+290
L 2-3 at Heerenveen-120
T 1-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+225
W 4-2 at Heracles Almelo-180
W 1-4 vs RKC Waalwijk-400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+310-+240+258-+258+258-
Ajax-135-+105+100-+100+105-
Draw+300-+260+270-+270+270-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+295----+245+245-
Ajax-125----+100+100-
Draw+315----+285+285-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +270 to +250
Ajax ML moved from -122 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +275 to +245
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-105-o2¾-105o2¾-106-o2¾-106o2¾-105-
Underu3¼-115-u2¾-115u2¾-114-u2¾-114u2¾-114-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.93%
Exactly 218.25%
Exactly 418.96%
Exactly 67.88%
Exactly 81.76%
Exactly 100.24%
 
Exactly 110.34%
Exactly 321.48%
Exactly 513.39%
Exactly 73.98%
Exactly 90.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 046.16%
Exactly 135.68%
Exactly 213.79%
Exactly 33.55%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 06.34%
Exactly 117.49%
Exactly 224.12%
Exactly 322.17%
Exactly 415.29%
Exactly 58.44%
Exactly 63.88%
Exactly 71.53%
Exactly 80.53%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.50%
Exactly 226.06%
Exactly 45.80%
Exactly 60.52%
 
Exactly 131.87%
Exactly 314.20%
Exactly 51.90%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 069.92%
Exactly 125.02%
Exactly 24.48%
Exactly 30.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 027.88%
Exactly 135.61%
Exactly 222.74%
Exactly 39.68%
Exactly 43.09%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals2.12%
Wins by 3+ goals0.44%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals58.37%
Wins by 3+ goals36.88%
Wins by 4+ goals19.88%
Wins by 5+ goals9.21%
Wins by 6+ goals3.71%
Wins by 7+ goals1.29%
Wins by 8+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal5.70%
Wins by 2 goals1.68%
Wins by 3 goals0.37%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal20.34%
Wins by 2 goals21.48%
Wins by 3 goals17.01%
Wins by 4 goals10.66%
Wins by 5 goals5.51%
Wins by 6 goals2.41%
Wins by 7 goals0.92%
Wins by 8 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.07%2.93%
1.586.74%13.26%
2.568.49%31.51%
3.547.01%52.99%
4.528.05%71.95%
5.514.66%85.34%
6.56.77%93.23%
7.52.80%97.20%
8.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.84%46.16%
1.518.15%81.85%
2.54.36%95.64%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.66%6.34%
1.576.17%23.83%
2.552.06%47.94%
3.529.88%70.12%
4.514.59%85.41%
5.56.15%93.85%
6.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.50%19.50%
1.548.63%51.37%
2.522.57%77.43%
3.58.37%91.63%
4.52.57%97.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.93%
8.07%
11.13%
10.24%
7.06%
3.89%
1
2.26%
6.24%
8.61%
7.91%
5.46%
3.01%
2
0.87%
2.41%
3.33%
3.06%
2.11%
1.16%
3
0.23%
0.62%
0.86%
0.79%
0.54%
0.30%
Utrecht
1-02.26%
2-00.87%
2-12.41%
3-00.23%
3-10.62%
3-20.86%
Draw
0-02.93%
1-16.24%
2-23.33%
3-30.79%
4-40.10%
Ajax
0-18.07%
0-211.13%
1-28.61%
0-310.24%
1-37.91%
2-33.06%
0-47.06%
1-45.46%
2-42.11%
3-40.54%
0-53.89%
1-53.01%
2-51.16%
3-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
Ajax
Score0123456
0
19.50%
24.90%
15.90%
6.77%
2.16%
0.55%
0.12%
1
6.98%
8.91%
5.69%
2.42%
0.77%
0.20%
0.04%
2
1.25%
1.59%
1.02%
0.43%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.15%
0.19%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Utrecht
1-06.98%
2-01.25%
2-11.59%
3-00.15%
3-10.19%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-019.50%
1-18.91%
2-21.02%
Ajax
0-124.90%
0-215.90%
1-25.69%
0-36.77%
1-32.42%
2-30.43%
0-42.16%
1-40.77%
2-40.14%
0-50.55%
1-50.20%
0-60.12%