Heracles Almelo at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Heracles Almelo

18.7%15.5%65.8%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.70Projected Goals 2.44
0Final Score 5

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Feyenoord+265
T 1-1 at Twente+165
W 0-4 vs VVV-Venlo-140
L 1-3 at Emmen+185
W 0-4 vs Willem II+110
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
T 0-0 at Groningen-160
W 0-1 vs Fortuna Sittard-350
W 3-1 at RKC Waalwijk-260
L 0-2 at Ajax+460
W 0-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+475+389+400+450-+450+450-
AZ Alkmaar-205-172-180-185--185-172-
Draw+365+371+350+360-+360+371-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+465----+410+410-
AZ Alkmaar-195-----170-170-
Draw+360----+335+335-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +410 to +400
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -170 to -180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +460 to +410
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -180 to -190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3¼-122o3½+110o3¼-115-o3¼-115o3¼-115-
Underu3½-130u3¼+100u3½-130u3¼-105-u3¼-105u3½-130-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.33%
Exactly 221.34%
Exactly 417.53%
Exactly 65.76%
Exactly 81.01%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.60%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 511.01%
Exactly 72.58%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 049.84%
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 212.09%
Exactly 32.81%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 08.69%
Exactly 121.23%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 321.12%
Exactly 412.90%
Exactly 56.30%
Exactly 62.57%
Exactly 70.90%
Exactly 80.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.37%
Exactly 224.69%
Exactly 44.35%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.98%
Exactly 311.96%
Exactly 51.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 072.44%
Exactly 123.36%
Exactly 23.77%
Exactly 30.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 032.27%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 220.64%
Exactly 37.78%
Exactly 42.20%
Exactly 50.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals2.16%
Wins by 3+ goals0.39%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals53.24%
Wins by 3+ goals31.24%
Wins by 4+ goals15.40%
Wins by 5+ goals6.45%
Wins by 6+ goals2.30%
Wins by 7+ goals0.68%
Wins by 8+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal6.41%
Wins by 2 goals1.77%
Wins by 3 goals0.35%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal22.53%
Wins by 2 goals22.00%
Wins by 3 goals15.84%
Wins by 4 goals8.95%
Wins by 5 goals4.15%
Wins by 6 goals1.62%
Wins by 7 goals0.54%
Wins by 8 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.67%4.33%
1.582.07%17.93%
2.560.73%39.27%
3.538.40%61.60%
4.520.87%79.13%
5.59.86%90.14%
6.54.10%95.90%
7.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.16%49.84%
1.515.46%84.54%
2.53.37%96.63%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.31%8.69%
1.570.08%29.92%
2.544.15%55.85%
3.523.03%76.97%
4.510.13%89.87%
5.53.83%96.17%
6.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.63%23.37%
1.542.65%57.35%
2.517.96%82.04%
3.55.99%94.01%
4.51.65%98.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
4.33%
10.58%
12.92%
10.52%
6.43%
3.14%
1
3.02%
7.37%
9.00%
7.33%
4.48%
2.19%
2
1.05%
2.57%
3.13%
2.55%
1.56%
0.76%
3
0.24%
0.60%
0.73%
0.59%
0.36%
0.18%
Heracles Almelo
1-03.02%
2-01.05%
2-12.57%
3-00.24%
3-10.60%
3-20.73%
Draw
0-04.33%
1-17.37%
2-23.13%
3-30.59%
AZ Alkmaar
0-110.58%
0-212.92%
1-29.00%
0-310.52%
1-37.33%
2-32.55%
0-46.43%
1-44.48%
2-41.56%
3-40.36%
0-53.14%
1-52.19%
2-50.76%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
23.37%
26.44%
14.95%
5.64%
1.59%
0.36%
1
7.54%
8.52%
4.82%
1.82%
0.51%
0.12%
2
1.22%
1.37%
0.78%
0.29%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.13%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-07.54%
2-01.22%
2-11.37%
3-00.13%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-023.37%
1-18.52%
2-20.78%
AZ Alkmaar
0-126.44%
0-214.95%
1-24.82%
0-35.64%
1-31.82%
2-30.29%
0-41.59%
1-40.51%
0-50.36%
1-50.12%