Willem II at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Willem II

8.7%14.4%76.8%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.78Projected Goals 2.64
2Final Score 1

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Twente+455
L 0-1 at Ajax+700
T 0-0 vs Fortuna Sittard+120
L 2-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+800
L 2-3 at Utrecht+450
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 2-3 at Feyenoord+460
L 2-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+225
L 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard-130
L 2-1 vs Utrecht-180
W 2-1 at Zwolle-260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+625-+460+450-+450+460-
AZ Alkmaar-235--170-164--164-164-
Draw+330-+280+300-+300+300-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+700----+500+500-
AZ Alkmaar-250-----175-175-
Draw+375----+305+305-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +470 to +450
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -170 to -180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +530 to +500
No Steam Moves On AZ Alkmaar ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102-o2½-110o2½-109-o2½-109o2½-109-
Underu2¾-118-u2½-110u2½-111-u2½-111u2½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.28%
Exactly 219.14%
Exactly 418.64%
Exactly 67.26%
Exactly 81.52%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.20%
Exactly 321.81%
Exactly 512.75%
Exactly 73.55%
Exactly 90.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 045.69%
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 214.01%
Exactly 33.66%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 07.17%
Exactly 118.89%
Exactly 224.90%
Exactly 321.87%
Exactly 414.41%
Exactly 57.59%
Exactly 63.34%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 80.41%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.54%
Exactly 225.73%
Exactly 45.37%
Exactly 60.45%
 
Exactly 132.51%
Exactly 313.57%
Exactly 51.70%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 069.58%
Exactly 125.23%
Exactly 24.58%
Exactly 30.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 029.52%
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 221.97%
Exactly 38.94%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals2.40%
Wins by 3+ goals0.51%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals55.61%
Wins by 3+ goals34.08%
Wins by 4+ goals17.74%
Wins by 5+ goals7.92%
Wins by 6+ goals3.06%
Wins by 7+ goals1.03%
Wins by 8+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal6.30%
Wins by 2 goals1.90%
Wins by 3 goals0.43%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal21.19%
Wins by 2 goals21.53%
Wins by 3 goals16.35%
Wins by 4 goals9.82%
Wins by 5 goals4.86%
Wins by 6 goals2.04%
Wins by 7 goals0.74%
Wins by 8 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.72%3.28%
1.585.53%14.47%
2.566.38%33.62%
3.544.57%55.43%
4.525.93%74.07%
5.513.18%86.82%
6.55.92%94.08%
7.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.31%45.69%
1.518.52%81.48%
2.54.50%95.50%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.83%7.17%
1.573.94%26.06%
2.549.04%50.96%
3.527.17%72.83%
4.512.76%87.24%
5.55.17%94.83%
6.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.46%20.54%
1.546.95%53.05%
2.521.22%78.78%
3.57.65%92.35%
4.52.27%97.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
3.28%
8.63%
11.38%
9.99%
6.58%
3.47%
1
2.57%
6.76%
8.91%
7.83%
5.16%
2.72%
2
1.00%
2.65%
3.49%
3.06%
2.02%
1.06%
3
0.26%
0.69%
0.91%
0.80%
0.53%
0.28%
Willem II
1-02.57%
2-01.00%
2-12.65%
3-00.26%
3-10.69%
3-20.91%
Draw
0-03.28%
1-16.76%
2-23.49%
3-30.80%
4-40.10%
AZ Alkmaar
0-18.63%
0-211.38%
1-28.91%
0-39.99%
1-37.83%
2-33.06%
0-46.58%
1-45.16%
2-42.02%
3-40.53%
0-53.47%
1-52.72%
2-51.06%
3-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
20.54%
25.06%
15.29%
6.22%
1.90%
0.46%
1
7.45%
9.09%
5.54%
2.26%
0.69%
0.17%
2
1.35%
1.65%
1.01%
0.41%
0.12%
0.03%
3
0.16%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Willem II
1-07.45%
2-01.35%
2-11.65%
3-00.16%
3-10.20%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-020.54%
1-19.09%
2-21.01%
AZ Alkmaar
0-125.06%
0-215.29%
1-25.54%
0-36.22%
1-32.26%
2-30.41%
0-41.90%
1-40.69%
2-40.12%
0-50.46%
1-50.17%
Ajax at Twente