Ajax at Heerenveen

Updated

Ajax

76.1%14.8%9.1%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.61Projected Goals 0.80
4Final Score 2

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 2-1 at Vitesse-205
W 0-4 vs Sparta Rotterdam-435
W 1-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-700
T 1-1 at Feyenoord+170
T 0-0 vs Twente-205
Heerenveen
Money Line
T 3-3 at Twente+470
L 4-1 vs RKC Waalwijk+100
L 2-1 vs Feyenoord+460
L 0-1 at Utrecht+400
L 3-1 vs Vitesse+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-190-261-275-280--280-261-
Heerenveen+460+751+625+715-+715+751-
Draw+340+425+420+425-+425+425-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-220-----270-270-
Heerenveen+555----+700+700-
Draw+375----+410+410-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -267 to -274
Heerenveen ML moved from +737 to +728

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -250 to -265
No Steam Moves On Heerenveen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3-113o3-115o3-118-o3-118o3-113-
Underu3-110u3-102u3-105u3-102-u3-102u3-102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.32%
Exactly 219.24%
Exactly 418.60%
Exactly 67.19%
Exactly 81.49%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.30%
Exactly 321.85%
Exactly 512.67%
Exactly 73.50%
Exactly 90.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.37%
Exactly 119.23%
Exactly 225.06%
Exactly 321.78%
Exactly 414.20%
Exactly 57.40%
Exactly 63.22%
Exactly 71.20%
Exactly 80.39%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 044.99%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 214.35%
Exactly 33.82%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.66%
Exactly 225.69%
Exactly 45.32%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.58%
Exactly 313.50%
Exactly 51.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 029.91%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 221.79%
Exactly 38.77%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 069.09%
Exactly 125.55%
Exactly 24.72%
Exactly 30.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals54.68%
Wins by 3+ goals33.23%
Wins by 4+ goals17.13%
Wins by 5+ goals7.57%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals2.56%
Wins by 3+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Heerenveen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.38%
Wins by 2 goals21.45%
Wins by 3 goals16.10%
Wins by 4 goals9.56%
Wins by 5 goals4.67%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal6.55%
Wins by 2 goals2.01%
Wins by 3 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.68%3.32%
1.585.38%14.62%
2.566.14%33.86%
3.544.29%55.71%
4.525.69%74.31%
5.513.02%86.98%
6.55.83%94.17%
7.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.63%7.37%
1.573.40%26.60%
2.548.34%51.66%
3.526.56%73.44%
4.512.36%87.64%
5.54.96%95.04%
6.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.01%44.99%
1.519.07%80.93%
2.54.72%95.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.34%20.66%
1.546.76%53.24%
2.521.07%78.93%
3.57.57%92.43%
4.52.24%97.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Heerenveen
Score0123
0
3.32%
2.65%
1.06%
0.28%
1
8.65%
6.91%
2.76%
0.73%
2
11.28%
9.01%
3.60%
0.96%
3
9.80%
7.83%
3.13%
0.83%
4
6.39%
5.10%
2.04%
0.54%
5
3.33%
2.66%
1.06%
0.28%
Ajax
1-08.65%
2-011.28%
2-19.01%
3-09.80%
3-17.83%
3-23.13%
4-06.39%
4-15.10%
4-22.04%
4-30.54%
5-03.33%
5-12.66%
5-21.06%
5-30.28%
Draw
0-03.32%
1-16.91%
2-23.60%
3-30.83%
4-40.11%
Heerenveen
0-12.65%
0-21.06%
1-22.76%
0-30.28%
1-30.73%
2-30.96%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Heerenveen
Score0123
0
20.66%
7.64%
1.41%
0.17%
1
24.94%
9.22%
1.71%
0.21%
2
15.05%
5.57%
1.03%
0.13%
3
6.06%
2.24%
0.41%
0.05%
4
1.83%
0.68%
0.12%
0.02%
5
0.44%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
Ajax
1-024.94%
2-015.05%
2-15.57%
3-06.06%
3-12.24%
3-20.41%
4-01.83%
4-10.68%
4-20.12%
5-00.44%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-020.66%
1-19.22%
2-21.03%
Heerenveen
0-17.64%
0-21.41%
1-21.71%
0-30.17%
1-30.21%
2-30.13%
Vitesse at Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam at Emmen