Sparta Rotterdam at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Sparta Rotterdam

32.2%25.1%42.7%
Sparta Rotterdam WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.55
1Final Score 1

Heracles Almelo

Last Games

Sparta Rotterdam
Money Line
W 0-2 vs RKC Waalwijk-110
W 1-0 at VVV-Venlo-110
T 1-1 at Emmen+135
L 2-0 vs Willem II-145
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
W 2-1 at ADO Den Haag-165
W 1-2 vs Zwolle+105
T 2-2 vs Twente+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sparta Rotterdam+215+258+240+225+239+225+258-
Heracles Almelo+123+111+115+125+113+125+125-
Draw+241+237+235+235+238+235+238-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sparta Rotterdam+235----+260+260-
Heracles Almelo+115----+110+110-
Draw+245----+240+240-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sparta Rotterdam: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sparta Rotterdam: 10.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sparta Rotterdam: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sparta Rotterdam ML moved from +250 to +230
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +125 to +114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sparta Rotterdam: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sparta Rotterdam: 20.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sparta Rotterdam: 10.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sparta Rotterdam ML moved from +270 to +240
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +120 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2¼-119o2½+115o2¼-118-o2¼-118o2½+115-
Underu2½-125u2¼-102u2½-140u2¼-102-u2¼-102u2½-119-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.4%
 
No45.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.55%
Exactly 224.33%
Exactly 415.07%
Exactly 63.73%
Exactly 80.50%
 
Exactly 117.85%
Exactly 322.11%
Exactly 58.21%
Exactly 71.45%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 030.97%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 221.27%
Exactly 38.31%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 021.14%
Exactly 132.85%
Exactly 225.53%
Exactly 313.22%
Exactly 45.14%
Exactly 51.60%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.30%
Exactly 222.54%
Exactly 42.99%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 39.48%
Exactly 50.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 058.12%
Exactly 131.54%
Exactly 28.56%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 048.70%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 212.60%
Exactly 33.02%
Exactly 40.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 2+ goals11.56%
Wins by 3+ goals3.63%
Wins by 4+ goals0.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals23.30%
Wins by 3+ goals9.36%
Wins by 4+ goals3.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.77%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 1 goal17.14%
Wins by 2 goals7.93%
Wins by 3 goals2.72%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal22.72%
Wins by 2 goals13.94%
Wins by 3 goals6.33%
Wins by 4 goals2.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.64%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.45%6.55%
1.575.60%24.40%
2.551.27%48.73%
3.529.17%70.83%
4.514.10%85.90%
5.55.88%94.12%
6.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Sparta Rotterdam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.03%30.97%
1.532.73%67.27%
2.511.45%88.55%
3.53.14%96.86%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.86%21.14%
1.546.01%53.99%
2.520.48%79.52%
3.57.26%92.74%
4.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.70%28.30%
1.535.97%64.03%
2.513.43%86.57%
3.53.94%96.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
6.55%
10.18%
7.91%
4.09%
1.59%
0.49%
1
7.67%
11.93%
9.27%
4.80%
1.86%
0.58%
2
4.50%
6.99%
5.43%
2.81%
1.09%
0.34%
3
1.76%
2.73%
2.12%
1.10%
0.43%
0.13%
4
0.51%
0.80%
0.62%
0.32%
0.13%
0.04%
5
0.12%
0.19%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-07.67%
2-04.50%
2-16.99%
3-01.76%
3-12.73%
3-22.12%
4-00.51%
4-10.80%
4-20.62%
4-30.32%
5-00.12%
5-10.19%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-06.55%
1-111.93%
2-25.43%
3-31.10%
4-40.13%
Heracles Almelo
0-110.18%
0-27.91%
1-29.27%
0-34.09%
1-34.80%
2-32.81%
0-41.59%
1-41.86%
2-41.09%
3-40.43%
0-50.49%
1-50.58%
2-50.34%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
28.30%
20.36%
7.33%
1.76%
0.32%
1
15.36%
11.05%
3.98%
0.95%
0.17%
2
4.17%
3.00%
1.08%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.75%
0.54%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-015.36%
2-04.17%
2-13.00%
3-00.75%
3-10.54%
3-20.20%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-028.30%
1-111.05%
2-21.08%
Heracles Almelo
0-120.36%
0-27.33%
1-23.98%
0-31.76%
1-30.95%
2-30.26%
0-40.32%
1-40.17%