Heerenveen at Willem II

Updated

Heerenveen

41.5%25.5%33.1%
Heerenveen WinDrawWillem II Win
1.50Projected Goals 1.20
1Final Score 3

Willem II

Last 2 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
W 0-3 vs ADO Den Haag-170
L 1-4 at Zwolle+170
Willem II
Money Line
T 1-1 at Twente+375
W 2-0 at Sparta Rotterdam+375

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+131+134+130+137+135+137+137-
Willem II+187+187+180+185+185+185+187-
Draw+235+264+260+260+249+260+264-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+145----+155+155-
Willem II+175----+165+165-
Draw+260----+255+255-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +142 to +135
Willem II ML moved from +170 to +164

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Heerenveen: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 20.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 60.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Heerenveen ML
Willem II ML moved from +175 to +165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2¾-116o3+115o2¾-111-o2¾-111o3+115-
Underu2½+115u2¾-105u3-140u2¾-109-u2¾-109u3-140-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.3%
 
No45.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.70%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 414.90%
Exactly 63.63%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.11%
Exactly 322.05%
Exactly 58.06%
Exactly 71.40%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 022.23%
Exactly 133.43%
Exactly 225.13%
Exactly 312.60%
Exactly 44.73%
Exactly 51.42%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 030.14%
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 221.68%
Exactly 38.67%
Exactly 42.60%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.61%
Exactly 222.40%
Exactly 42.92%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 39.35%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 049.85%
Exactly 134.70%
Exactly 212.08%
Exactly 32.80%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 057.39%
Exactly 131.87%
Exactly 28.85%
Exactly 31.64%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals21.82%
Wins by 3+ goals8.53%
Wins by 4+ goals2.68%
Wins by 5+ goals0.67%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals12.45%
Wins by 3+ goals3.99%
Wins by 4+ goals1.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal22.34%
Wins by 2 goals13.29%
Wins by 3 goals5.85%
Wins by 4 goals2.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.56%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal17.82%
Wins by 2 goals8.45%
Wins by 3 goals2.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.30%6.70%
1.575.19%24.81%
2.550.71%49.29%
3.528.66%71.34%
4.513.75%86.25%
5.55.70%94.30%
6.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.77%22.23%
1.544.34%55.66%
2.519.20%80.80%
3.56.61%93.39%
4.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.86%30.14%
1.533.72%66.28%
2.512.04%87.96%
3.53.37%96.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.39%28.61%
1.535.59%64.41%
2.513.19%86.81%
3.53.84%96.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
Willem II
Score012345
0
6.70%
8.04%
4.82%
1.93%
0.58%
0.14%
1
10.07%
12.08%
7.25%
2.90%
0.87%
0.21%
2
7.57%
9.08%
5.45%
2.18%
0.65%
0.16%
3
3.80%
4.55%
2.73%
1.09%
0.33%
0.08%
4
1.43%
1.71%
1.03%
0.41%
0.12%
0.03%
5
0.43%
0.51%
0.31%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Heerenveen
1-010.07%
2-07.57%
2-19.08%
3-03.80%
3-14.55%
3-22.73%
4-01.43%
4-11.71%
4-21.03%
4-30.41%
5-00.43%
5-10.51%
5-20.31%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.70%
1-112.08%
2-25.45%
3-31.09%
4-40.12%
Willem II
0-18.04%
0-24.82%
1-27.25%
0-31.93%
1-32.90%
2-32.18%
0-40.58%
1-40.87%
2-40.65%
3-40.33%
0-50.14%
1-50.21%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
Willem II
Score01234
0
28.61%
15.89%
4.41%
0.82%
0.11%
1
19.92%
11.06%
3.07%
0.57%
0.08%
2
6.93%
3.85%
1.07%
0.20%
0.03%
3
1.61%
0.89%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.28%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-019.92%
2-06.93%
2-13.85%
3-01.61%
3-10.89%
3-20.25%
4-00.28%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-028.61%
1-111.06%
2-21.07%
Willem II
0-115.89%
0-24.41%
1-23.07%
0-30.82%
1-30.57%
2-30.20%
0-40.11%