Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo 		36.4%
36.1%		27.5%
+105
+220

1.22
1.21		2.43
o3-111
u3-105

Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Groningen
Twente		40.1%
32.0%		27.9%
+730
-286
+950
-320
0
2		-0.34872-0.32379-1.14025
Heracles Almelo
Feyenoord		15.4%
64.5%		20.1%
+1600
-714
+1400
-600
2
5		-0.18073-0.20332-0.43838
RKC Waalwijk
Fortuna Sittard		20.5%
57.1%		22.4%
+400
-150
+415
-150
2
3		-0.55961-0.56017-0.56030
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen		57.1%
21.0%		21.9%
-400
+950
-410
+850
0
1		-2.39284-2.30209-1.55946
Willem II
Zwolle		34.0%
40.3%		25.7%
+320
-114
+315
+100
1
0		-1.50629-1.47521-1.07990
Heerenveen
Willem II		43.5%
31.0%		25.5%
+240
+129
+250
+125
2
1		-1.27090-1.30416-0.83326
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar		50.9%
24.7%		24.3%
+160
+162
+160
+160
1
2		-1.01388-1.00518-1.39675
Zwolle
Groningen		19.7%
57.3%		23.0%
+290
+103
+290
+100
0
0		-1.23381-1.28359-1.46885
Fortuna Sittard
Heracles Almelo		26.4%
48.9%		24.6%
+250
+117
+225
+130
2
2		-1.23145-1.22758-1.40072
Feyenoord
RKC Waalwijk		75.7%
9.0%		15.3%
-455
+1050
-480
+1125
3
2		-0.24909-0.24001-0.27810
Twente
PSV Eindhoven		13.0%
69.7%		17.3%
+625
-286
+700
-300
1
6		-0.34984-0.33543-0.36088
Utrecht
Ajax		7.8%
78.8%		13.4%
+675
-235
+625
-225
2
2		-1.70194-1.56394-2.01029
Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar		11.2%
71.6%		17.2%
+630
-250
+700
-300
0
1		-0.38647-0.33837-0.33463
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht		52.2%
24.7%		23.0%
-222
+530
-200
+515
5
2		-0.42085-0.45567-0.64919
Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle		36.5%
37.9%		25.5%
+157
+174
+155
+175
0
1		-1.05504-1.06031-0.96906
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord		11.4%
72.2%		16.4%
+1100
-400
+950
-380
1
1		-1.84049-1.84396-1.81021
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.