Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 15, 2024

There are no games on the schedule today.
Games for Nov 14, 2024
Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar		13.2%
68.5%		18.3%
+789
-265
+750
-275
0
3		-0.34840-0.35988-0.37853
Vitesse
Feyenoord		26.0%
49.2%		24.8%
+2252
-810
+1500
-690
0
4		-0.14699-0.18494-0.71017
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven		9.5%
76.2%		14.2%
+1609
-609
+1500
-800
1
3		-0.17729-0.16790-0.27181
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam		66.1%
15.5%		18.4%
-273
+700
-275
+650
4
0		-0.34187-0.35750-0.41412
Twente
Fortuna Sittard		40.3%
33.7%		25.9%
-132
+366
-135
+340
3
0		-0.59573-0.60475-0.90790
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax		18.5%
59.9%		21.6%
+158
+168
+165
+145
2
1		-0.97974-1.02544-1.68702
Feyenoord
Zwolle		64.5%
16.0%		19.5%
-375
+973
-360
+880
2
0		-0.27068-0.29516-0.43920
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar		8.3%
77.9%		13.8%
+750
-245
+775
-300
0
4		-0.36970-0.33763-0.24963
Zwolle
Heracles Almelo		26.6%
48.9%		24.5%
+181
+140
+185
+135
1
2		-0.91950-0.90357-0.71627
Heerenveen
Twente		36.5%
36.6%		26.8%
+824
-300
+750
-300
0
1		-0.31961-0.33596-1.00392
Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar		11.2%
71.6%		17.2%
+1251
-435
+1050
-430
1
1		-2.03516-1.92916-1.75974
Vitesse
Twente		47.9%
27.2%		24.9%
+823
-282
+800
-300
0
1		-0.33345-0.33798-1.30214
AZ Alkmaar
Zwolle		71.7%
11.6%		16.6%
-133
+370
-140
+360
3
0		-0.59072-0.58848-0.33207
Twente
RKC Waalwijk		55.8%
21.1%		23.1%
-191
+511
-215
+530
0
1		-1.84087-1.89107-1.55689
Vitesse
Sparta Rotterdam		52.6%
24.0%		23.4%
+255
+110
+250
+105
0
1		-0.77923-0.76787-1.42587
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar		9.5%
75.7%		14.7%
+575
-200
+555
-210
0
2		-0.44920-0.44044-0.27809
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.