Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 31, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven 		9.5%
76.2%		14.2%
+1410
-680

0.89
2.75		3.64
o3¾-115
u3¾-102

Games for Oct 30, 2025
Games for Nov 1, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Zwolle
PSV Eindhoven		9.6%
76.1%		14.3%
+1500
-800
+2000
-1100
0
6		-0.17841-0.13699-0.27360
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard		48.5%
25.9%		25.6%
+265
+105
+310
-105
0
1		-0.78500-0.71803-1.35201
Utrecht
Groningen		32.4%
39.9%		27.7%
+154
+175
+115
+220
1
0		-0.98235-0.81577-1.12726
Ajax
Heracles Almelo		78.4%
7.7%		13.8%
-275
+600
-235
+565
4
3		-0.37994-0.40512-0.24354
Fortuna Sittard
Willem II		32.0%
42.7%		25.4%
+220
+140
+230
+120
0
0		-1.17063-1.27418-1.37196
Twente
RKC Waalwijk		55.8%
21.1%		23.1%
-312
+740
-260
+635
2
2		-1.77620-1.69011-1.46612
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar		29.4%
45.6%		25.0%
+105
+230
+115
+225
2
1		-0.77044-0.81482-1.22302
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard		71.7%
11.6%		16.7%
-123
+360
-130
+375
0
1		-1.56456-1.60664-2.15598
Groningen
Ajax		8.1%
76.7%		15.2%
+900
-385
+900
-375
1
3		-0.28454-0.28467-0.26558
Zwolle
Heerenveen		23.1%
54.1%		22.8%
+290
-120
+370
-150
1
1		-1.43687-1.47548-1.47867
Twente
Feyenoord		15.4%
65.0%		19.5%
+330
-130
+400
-155
1
2		-0.61721-0.54829-0.43043
RKC Waalwijk
Utrecht		11.0%
72.2%		16.8%
+690
-280
+700
-280
2
3		-0.35285-0.35637-0.32592
Sparta Rotterdam
PSV Eindhoven		11.0%
73.6%		15.4%
+1100
-500
+1150
-500
1
2		-0.23283-0.23231-0.30693
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar		15.8%
64.5%		19.7%
+440
-167
+480
-180
2
1		-1.73949-1.80722-1.84396
Ajax
RKC Waalwijk		88.0%
3.5%		8.5%
-260
+550
-255
+625
2
0		-0.39509-0.38003-0.12799
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam		29.9%
45.7%		24.4%
+390
-135
+425
-150
1
1		-1.38561-1.39707-1.41223
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.