Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 4 days ago

Upcoming Games for November 15, 2024

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Nov 14, 2024

Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/17/2023 12:30 PM	Ajax Twente	79.0% 7.7%	13.3%	+183 +140 +160 +155	1 3	-0.92216-0.98559	-2.56110
09/16/2023 07:00 PM	Utrecht Heracles Almelo	41.4% 32.1%	26.5%	+169 +175 +145 +175	3 1	-0.99590-0.94819	-0.88182
09/16/2023 04:45 PM	RKC Waalwijk Vitesse	8.8% 76.0%	15.2%	+500 -188 +460 -190	2 0	-1.82257-1.77490	-2.43338
09/16/2023 02:30 PM	Heerenveen Feyenoord	18.1% 60.8%	21.1%	+1400 -412 +1150 -475	1 6	-0.21365-0.24182	-0.49770
09/03/2023 02:45 PM	AZ Alkmaar Vitesse	48.7% 26.2%	25.1%	+140 +190 +135 +190	2 0	-0.92158-0.90515	-0.72013
09/03/2023 12:30 PM	Ajax Fortuna Sittard	83.3% 5.7%	10.9%	-155 +380 -200 +480	0 0	-1.51345-1.60654	-2.21494
09/03/2023 10:15 AM	Feyenoord Utrecht	47.0% 28.1%	24.9%	-140 +350 -135 +320	5 1	-0.58727-0.60373	-0.75577
09/02/2023 06:00 PM	PSV Eindhoven RKC Waalwijk	79.3% 7.5%	13.2%	-375 +900 -375 +875	4 0	-0.28467-0.28711	-0.23188
08/27/2023 02:45 PM	Sparta Rotterdam Heerenveen	25.9% 50.4%	23.7%	+210 +120 +210 +120	3 1	-1.17912-1.18123	-1.34908
08/27/2023 10:15 AM	Utrecht Zwolle	50.2% 26.2%	23.6%	+140 +175 +130 +185	0 1	-1.05085-1.09832	-1.33884
08/20/2023 02:45 PM	AZ Alkmaar RKC Waalwijk	80.6% 6.6%	12.8%	-155 +425 -165 +410	3 1	-0.53091-0.52379	-0.21552
08/20/2023 12:30 PM	Zwolle Twente	26.5% 49.6%	23.9%	+605 -245 +610 -250	1 3	-0.39109-0.38825	-0.70152
08/20/2023 12:30 PM	Feyenoord Sparta Rotterdam	61.1% 18.3%	20.6%	-150 +390 -150 +375	2 2	-1.46716-1.47333	-1.58061
08/20/2023 10:15 AM	Heerenveen Utrecht	28.8% 46.2%	25.0%	+315 -118 +320 -125	2 0	-1.46885-1.48709	-1.24570
08/19/2023 04:45 PM	PSV Eindhoven Vitesse	45.1% 29.8%	25.1%	-155 +420 -150 +385	3 1	-0.53537-0.56256	-0.79596
08/13/2023 12:30 PM	Fortuna Sittard Feyenoord	11.4% 72.2%	16.4%	+1400 -570 +1320 -540	0 0	-2.06443-2.04957	-1.81021

Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)	18.0	5.0	2.0	56.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)	18.0	5.0	2.0	56.0	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
3	Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)	14.0	3.0	8.0	50.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
4	PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)	14.0	5.0	7.0	49.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
5	Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)	13.0	8.0	5.0	44.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
6	Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)	12.0	8.0	5.0	41.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
7	Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)	12.0	9.0	5.0	41.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)	10.0	10.0	6.0	36.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)	10.0	11.0	5.0	35.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)	8.0	9.0	9.0	33.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)	9.0	11.0	6.0	33.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)	9.0	12.0	5.0	32.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)	8.0	14.0	4.0	28.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)	7.0	13.0	6.0	27.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)	7.0	14.0	5.0	26.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
16	Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)	6.0	12.0	8.0	26.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
17	ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)	4.0	15.0	7.0	19.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
18	RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)	4.0	19.0	3.0	15.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.