Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

Upcoming Games for November 15, 2024

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Nov 14, 2024

Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
01/29/2023 11:15 AM	Feyenoord Twente	56.5% 21.0%	22.5%	+182 +168 +150 +180	1 1	-1.23698-1.27379	-1.49205
01/28/2023 08:00 PM	Utrecht AZ Alkmaar	15.8% 64.5%	19.7%	+451 -150 +425 -155	5 5	-1.42674-1.43347	-1.62633
01/28/2023 07:00 PM	Vitesse Heerenveen	43.3% 30.7%	26.0%	+241 +130 +220 +135	3 1	-1.24862-1.21244	-0.83803
01/28/2023 05:45 PM	Emmen RKC Waalwijk	29.9% 43.9%	26.2%	+254 +125 +245 +120	0 2	-0.83519-0.83924	-0.82244
01/25/2023 07:00 PM	Heerenveen Fortuna Sittard	44.8% 30.0%	25.2%	+140 +230 +120 +235	0 2	-1.21197-1.25924	-1.20414
01/25/2023 05:45 PM	Twente Vitesse	20.6% 57.1%	22.4%	+107 +298 +100 +285	2 2	-1.25393-1.28677	-1.49763
01/24/2023 08:00 PM	RKC Waalwijk Sparta Rotterdam	18.0% 61.0%	21.0%	+358 -114 +360 -120	0 0	-1.32148-1.30015	-1.56036
01/24/2023 05:45 PM	PSV Eindhoven Emmen	81.9% 6.5%	11.6%	-200 +600 -225 +650	0 1	-1.98457-2.06404	-2.72784
01/22/2023 03:45 PM	Fortuna Sittard AZ Alkmaar	8.3% 77.9%	13.8%	+1033 -385 +950 -390	1 3	-0.26263-0.27815	-0.24963
01/22/2023 01:30 PM	Ajax Feyenoord	59.7% 18.7%	21.7%	+181 +156 +170 +150	1 1	-1.32497-1.31770	-1.52975
01/22/2023 01:30 PM	Utrecht Twente	41.6% 32.6%	25.8%	+462 -158 +375 -145	0 2	-0.52120-0.57556	-1.12184
01/22/2023 11:15 AM	Groningen Heerenveen	35.8% 35.4%	28.8%	+465 -147 +430 -150	1 3	-0.55365-0.56136	-1.03933
01/21/2023 07:00 PM	Vitesse PSV Eindhoven	22.8% 54.5%	22.8%	+1020 -353 +950 -400	0 1	-0.27881-0.27452	-0.60774
01/15/2023 03:45 PM	Feyenoord Groningen	45.6% 27.5%	26.9%	-237 +654 -235 +625	3 0	-0.39325-0.40329	-0.78579
01/15/2023 01:30 PM	PSV Eindhoven Fortuna Sittard	69.4% 13.4%	17.2%	-303 +881 -310 +840	2 2	-1.73223-1.70981	-1.76003
01/14/2023 08:00 PM	Twente Ajax	5.6% 83.5%	10.9%	+550 -195 +525 -205	0 0	-1.56298-1.57441	-2.21558

Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)	18.0	5.0	2.0	56.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)	18.0	5.0	2.0	56.0	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
3	Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)	14.0	3.0	8.0	50.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
4	PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)	14.0	5.0	7.0	49.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
5	Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)	13.0	8.0	5.0	44.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
6	Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)	12.0	8.0	5.0	41.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
7	Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)	12.0	9.0	5.0	41.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)	10.0	10.0	6.0	36.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)	10.0	11.0	5.0	35.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)	8.0	9.0	9.0	33.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)	9.0	11.0	6.0	33.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)	9.0	12.0	5.0	32.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)	8.0	14.0	4.0	28.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)	7.0	13.0	6.0	27.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)	7.0	14.0	5.0	26.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
16	Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)	6.0	12.0	8.0	26.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
17	ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)	4.0	15.0	7.0	19.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
18	RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)	4.0	19.0	3.0	15.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.