Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 8, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard 		44.8%
30.0%		25.2%
+134
+180

1.54
1.21		2.75
o2¾-118
u2¾-102

Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle 		36.5%
37.9%		25.5%
+159
+154

1.36
1.39		2.75
o3+100
u3-120

Games for Nov 7, 2025
Games for Nov 9, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord		13.2%
69.3%		17.5%
+1175
-480
+1050
-460
0
2		-0.23317-0.24669-0.36736
Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht		19.5%
59.5%		21.0%
+450
-158
+410
-145
0
4		-0.53976-0.57433-0.51861
Ajax
Heerenveen		76.1%
9.1%		14.8%
-110
+248
-120
+265
2
3		-1.28826-1.34542-2.39437
Vitesse
Heracles Almelo		47.6%
26.9%		25.5%
+228
+125
+240
+110
2
3		-0.84537-0.79264-1.31449
Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam		30.0%
45.5%		24.4%
+360
-125
+320
-115
2
0		-1.57190-1.48457-1.20261
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar		25.7%
49.6%		24.7%
-165
+450
-165
+435
1
0		-0.51547-0.52307-1.35837
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax		15.9%
64.6%		19.4%
-105
+239
-105
+225
1
1		-1.47938-1.51873-1.63964
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard		44.8%
30.0%		25.2%
+235
+125
+235
+125
3
3		-1.23025-1.22806-1.37964
RKC Waalwijk
Twente		15.5%
64.3%		20.1%
+1100
-385
+1025
-425
0
3		-0.26376-0.26004-0.44096
Twente
Feyenoord		15.4%
65.0%		19.5%
+600
-220
+680
-260
0
0		-1.56403-1.65863-1.63373
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen		60.4%
18.2%		21.3%
+110
+235
+115
+220
2
2		-1.34228-1.34504-1.54534
Ajax
Heracles Almelo		78.4%
7.7%		13.8%
-170
+425
-180
+430
4
2		-0.50408-0.48960-0.24354
Sparta Rotterdam
RKC Waalwijk		52.1%
24.1%		23.8%
+206
+132
+200
+130
1
1		-1.27862-1.31557-1.43544
Vitesse
Zwolle		56.3%
21.3%		22.3%
+230
+115
+230
+110
0
1		-0.80672-0.79025-1.54506
RKC Waalwijk
Ajax		2.8%
90.1%		7.1%
+850
-335
+875
-400
1
4		-0.29354-0.27261-0.10439
Feyenoord
Vitesse		40.0%
33.2%		26.8%
-625
+1400
-550
+1300
2
1		-0.19716-0.21757-0.91557
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.