Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax 		4.8%
85.6%		9.6%
+325
-132

0.69
3.23		3.92
o3-123
u3+105

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Heracles Almelo
Twente		32.4%
40.9%		26.6%
+1250
-500
+1350
-550
0
1		-0.23136-0.21609-0.89345
Utrecht
Feyenoord		21.3%
56.2%		22.4%
+890
-345
+850
-350
2
4		-0.30496-0.29982-0.57602
Ajax
Zwolle		83.4%
5.7%		10.9%
-164
+400
-180
+450
3
1		-0.52342-0.49248-0.18164
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar		19.8%
57.7%		22.5%
+1200
-455
+1225
-500
0
2		-0.24580-0.23270-0.55002
Heerenveen
RKC Waalwijk		60.0%
18.2%		21.8%
+140
+182
+140
+190
1
1		-1.33899-1.28844-1.52468
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam		29.9%
45.7%		24.4%
+230
+125
+225
+125
0
4		-0.85170-0.86034-0.78237
Twente
PSV Eindhoven		13.0%
69.7%		17.3%
+625
-260
+625
-250
0
1		-0.37309-0.38737-0.36088
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam		81.6%
6.6%		11.8%
+120
+225
+115
+230
2
2		-1.30993-1.31557-2.13843
Feyenoord
Heerenveen		51.8%
24.2%		23.9%
-240
+600
-245
+590
3
2		-0.39591-0.39402-0.65709
Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard		33.3%
41.4%		25.3%
+365
-135
+380
-140
1
3		-0.60369-0.58913-0.88211
Heracles Almelo
Feyenoord		15.4%
64.5%		20.1%
+2200
-1300
+2200
-1400
0
3		-0.11920-0.11863-0.43838
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax		4.2%
86.8%		8.9%
+530
-190
+490
-190
2
2		-1.50400-1.53225-2.41363
Vitesse
RKC Waalwijk		69.7%
12.2%		18.1%
+220
+125
+220
+120
1
3		-0.85271-0.83605-2.10513
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente		29.6%
45.8%		24.6%
+700
-260
+675
-260
1
2		-0.37157-0.37541-0.78062
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven		29.2%
45.9%		24.9%
+305
-115
+305
-115
2
2		-1.36508-1.35907-1.39199
Zwolle
Heerenveen		23.1%
54.1%		22.8%
+575
-220
+575
-220
0
2		-0.42414-0.42414-0.61417
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.29197 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.36055
-0.06858

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.