Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 16, 2024

There are no games on the schedule today.
Games for Nov 15, 2024
Games for Nov 17, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam		30.0%
45.5%		24.4%
+212
+144
+215
+130
0
2		-0.91200-0.88242-0.78700
Heracles Almelo
RKC Waalwijk		54.9%
21.2%		23.8%
+252
+128
+240
+120
0
2		-0.84341-0.83884-1.55089
Vitesse
Fortuna Sittard		56.4%
21.2%		22.4%
+145
+204
+160
+165
2
1		-0.91707-1.00605-0.57275
Heerenveen
Ajax		6.6%
81.3%		12.2%
+1684
-625
+1300
-650
0
5		-0.17431-0.19416-0.20722
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord		36.8%
36.8%		26.4%
+224
+112
+200
+120
2
2		-1.42749-1.38478-1.33044
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar		50.9%
24.7%		24.3%
-110
+346
-150
+350
2
2		-1.35580-1.52092-1.41453
Heerenveen
Vitesse		23.7%
52.5%		23.8%
+307
+100
+320
-125
2
1		-1.41878-1.48391-1.43948
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen		22.2%
53.8%		24.0%
+310
+106
+270
+110
2
1		-1.43590-1.35662-1.50458
Heracles Almelo
Willem II		38.3%
34.6%		27.1%
+227
+144
+250
+120
0
2		-0.90959-0.83986-1.06140
Utrecht
Zwolle		50.2%
26.2%		23.6%
+185
+150
+185
+145
1
1		-1.31327-1.28609-1.44587
Fortuna Sittard
Twente		26.3%
49.7%		24.0%
+738
-254
+750
-280
2
1		-2.15563-2.18935-1.33397
Groningen
RKC Waalwijk		62.3%
15.5%		22.1%
+171
+181
+160
+180
1
3		-1.05458-1.07790-1.86169
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard		64.6%
15.9%		19.4%
-274
+854
-300
+750
3
1		-0.31803-0.33596-0.43634
Willem II
PSV Eindhoven		10.1%
75.0%		14.9%
+2118
-725
+1780
-685
2
4		-0.15891-0.18582-0.28702
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam		68.9%
13.3%		17.7%
-123
+427
-140
+420
1
1		-1.29175-1.33298-1.73076
Twente
Heracles Almelo		32.8%
40.5%		26.7%
+114
+274
+115
+250
1
1		-1.26468-1.25713-1.32197
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.