Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 8, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard 		44.8%
30.0%		25.2%
+134
+180

1.54
1.21		2.75
o2¾-118
u2¾-102

Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle 		36.5%
37.9%		25.5%
+159
+154

1.36
1.39		2.75
o3+100
u3-120

Games for Nov 7, 2025
Games for Nov 9, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax		18.5%
59.9%		21.6%
+370
-143
+380
-155
0
0		-1.48466-1.49709-1.53438
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam		66.1%
15.5%		18.4%
-178
+490
-195
+495
1
0		-0.47496-0.46401-0.41412
RKC Waalwijk
AZ Alkmaar		4.8%
84.6%		10.6%
+764
-290
+665
-265
0
3		-0.32580-0.37164-0.16756
Utrecht
Feyenoord		21.3%
56.2%		22.4%
+779
-276
+745
-300
1
3		-0.33871-0.33822-0.57602
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven		55.9%
21.7%		22.3%
+235
+115
+230
+105
0
3		-0.78594-0.76718-1.52707
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente		29.6%
45.8%		24.6%
+716
-232
+585
-210
3
3		-1.59623-1.53104-1.40177
Emmen
Heerenveen		11.6%
71.6%		16.7%
+458
-146
+420
-145
3
2		-1.75112-1.69489-2.15038
Emmen
Ajax		2.5%
91.3%		6.2%
+2316
-827
+2000
-950
1
3		-0.14033-0.14881-0.09106
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard		71.7%
11.6%		16.7%
-140
+420
-140
+365
3
0		-0.56129-0.58625-0.33222
Twente
Utrecht		25.3%
50.9%		23.8%
+120
+247
+120
+220
0
1		-1.26372-1.21456-0.67531
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam		41.0%
33.4%		25.6%
+215
+146
+210
+130
0
4		-0.92238-0.88312-1.09784
Groningen
RKC Waalwijk		62.3%
15.5%		22.1%
+300
+101
+295
-110
1
2		-0.71576-0.69631-1.86169
RKC Waalwijk
Feyenoord		6.5%
80.9%		12.6%
+1729
-625
+1400
-650
1
5		-0.17760-0.19283-0.21249
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax		4.2%
86.8%		8.9%
+1606
-675
+1650
-850
0
4		-0.16493-0.16180-0.14137
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar		9.5%
75.7%		14.7%
+509
-170
+490
-175
1
0		-1.83866-1.82350-2.35104
Utrecht
Groningen		32.4%
39.9%		27.7%
+132
+218
+130
+205
2
1		-0.86764-0.88015-1.12726
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.