Sparta Rotterdam at Ajax

Updated 384 days ago

05:45 PM • Dec 9, 2023

Sparta Rotterdam

4.8%9.6%85.6%

WinDrawAjax Win

0.69Projected Goals 3.23

1Final Score 2

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Sparta Rotterdam		Money Line
L 2-1	11/26 vs Utrecht	+140
W 0-2	10/28 vs RKC Waalwijk	-125
L 4-0	10/08 vs PSV Eindhoven	+650
W 0-1	9/24 vs Vitesse	+105
L 0-2	9/17 at AZ Alkmaar	+555

Ajax		Money Line
W 0-5	11/25 vs Vitesse	-335
W 1-4	11/05 vs Heerenveen	-260
L 2-5	10/29 at PSV Eindhoven	+900
L 3-4	10/22 at Utrecht	-115
L 2-1	10/08 vs AZ Alkmaar	+145

Money Line Analysis

:4.6%:4.9%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Sparta Rotterdam	+600	-	+600	+610	-	+610	+610	-
Ajax	-260	-	-280	-265	-	-265	-265	-
Draw	+390	-	+420	+450	-	+450	+450	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Sparta Rotterdam	+600	-	-	-	-	+650	+650	-
Ajax	-240	-	-	-	-	-280	-280	-
Draw	+395	-	-	-	-	+450	+450	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Sparta Rotterdam: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Ajax: 50.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Sparta Rotterdam: 0.0%

Ajax: 50.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Sparta Rotterdam: 0.0%

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Sparta Rotterdam: 0.0%

Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Sparta Rotterdam ML moved from +660 to +61012/09/2023
05:43 PM

Ajax ML moved from -280 to -29012/09/2023
01:15 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Sparta Rotterdam: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Ajax: 60.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Sparta Rotterdam: 0.0%

Ajax: 50.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Sparta Rotterdam: 0.0%

Ajax: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Sparta Rotterdam: 0.0%

Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Sparta Rotterdam ML moved from +600 to +55012/07/2023
11:20 AM

Ajax ML moved from -240 to -28012/08/2023
06:50 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:3.0%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o3¼-105	-	o3¼-115	o3¼-108	-	o3¼-108	o3¼-108	-
Under	u3¼-115	-	u3¼-105	u3¼-112	-	u3¼-112	u3¼-105	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		-
Under		-	-	-	-	-		-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	48.1%


No	51.9%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	1.98%
Exactly 2	15.22%
Exactly 4	19.52%
Exactly 6	10.01%
Exactly 8	2.75%
Exactly 10	0.47%


Exactly 1	7.76%
Exactly 3	19.91%
Exactly 5	15.32%
Exactly 7	5.61%
Exactly 9	1.20%
Exactly 11	0.17%

Exact Goals Scored - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 0	49.92%
Exactly 1	34.68%
Exactly 2	12.05%
Exactly 3	2.79%
Exactly 4	0.48%

Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 0	3.96%
Exactly 1	12.79%
Exactly 2	20.65%
Exactly 3	22.22%
Exactly 4	17.93%
Exactly 5	11.58%
Exactly 6	6.23%
Exactly 7	2.87%
Exactly 8	1.16%
Exactly 9	0.42%
Exactly 10	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	16.26%
Exactly 2	26.82%
Exactly 4	7.37%
Exactly 6	0.81%


Exactly 1	29.54%
Exactly 3	16.24%
Exactly 5	2.68%
Exactly 7	0.21%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 0	72.49%
Exactly 1	23.32%
Exactly 2	3.75%
Exactly 3	0.40%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 0	22.43%
Exactly 1	33.53%
Exactly 2	25.06%
Exactly 3	12.48%
Exactly 4	4.66%
Exactly 5	1.39%
Exactly 6	0.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 2+ goals	1.13%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.19%

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals	68.75%
Wins by 3+ goals	48.22%
Wins by 4+ goals	29.33%
Wins by 5+ goals	15.53%
Wins by 6+ goals	7.21%
Wins by 7+ goals	2.95%
Wins by 8+ goals	1.06%
Wins by 9+ goals	0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Sparta Rotterdam

Ajax

Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 1 goal	3.60%
Wins by 2 goals	0.93%
Wins by 3 goals	0.17%

Ajax
Wins by 1 goal	16.78%
Wins by 2 goals	20.53%
Wins by 3 goals	18.89%
Wins by 4 goals	13.80%
Wins by 5 goals	8.32%
Wins by 6 goals	4.26%
Wins by 7 goals	1.89%
Wins by 8 goals	0.74%
Wins by 9 goals	0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	98.02%	1.98%
1.5	90.26%	9.74%
2.5	75.04%	24.96%
3.5	55.13%	44.87%
4.5	35.61%	64.39%
5.5	20.29%	79.71%
6.5	10.28%	89.72%
7.5	4.67%	95.33%
8.5	1.92%	98.08%

Total Goals Sparta Rotterdam Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	50.08%	49.92%
1.5	15.40%	84.60%
2.5	3.35%	96.65%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	96.04%	3.96%
1.5	83.24%	16.76%
2.5	62.59%	37.41%
3.5	40.37%	59.63%
4.5	22.44%	77.56%
5.5	10.86%	89.14%
6.5	4.63%	95.37%
7.5	1.76%	98.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	83.74%	16.26%
1.5	54.20%	45.80%
2.5	27.37%	72.63%
3.5	11.13%	88.87%
4.5	3.76%	96.24%
5.5	1.08%	98.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sparta Rotterdam

Ajax

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	1.98%	6.39%	10.31%	11.09%	8.95%	5.78%
1	1.37%	4.44%	7.16%	7.71%	6.22%	4.02%
2	0.48%	1.54%	2.49%	2.68%	2.16%	1.39%
3	0.11%	0.36%	0.58%	0.62%	0.50%	0.32%

Sparta Rotterdam
1-0	1.37%
2-0	0.48%
2-1	1.54%
3-0	0.11%
3-1	0.36%
3-2	0.58%

Draw
0-0	1.98%
1-1	4.44%
2-2	2.49%
3-3	0.62%

Ajax
0-1	6.39%
0-2	10.31%
1-2	7.16%
0-3	11.09%
1-3	7.71%
2-3	2.68%
0-4	8.95%
1-4	6.22%
2-4	2.16%
3-4	0.50%
0-5	5.78%
1-5	4.02%
2-5	1.39%
3-5	0.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Sparta Rotterdam

Ajax

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
0	16.26%	24.31%	18.16%	9.05%	3.38%	1.01%	0.25%
1	5.23%	7.82%	5.84%	2.91%	1.09%	0.33%	0.08%
2	0.84%	1.26%	0.94%	0.47%	0.17%	0.05%	0.01%

Sparta Rotterdam
1-0	5.23%
2-0	0.84%
2-1	1.26%

Draw
0-0	16.26%
1-1	7.82%
2-2	0.94%

Ajax
0-1	24.31%
0-2	18.16%
1-2	5.84%
0-3	9.05%
1-3	2.91%
2-3	0.47%
0-4	3.38%
1-4	1.09%
2-4	0.17%
0-5	1.01%
1-5	0.33%
0-6	0.25%

Heerenveen at PSV Eindhoven

RKC Waalwijk at Fortuna Sittard

Sparta Rotterdam at Ajax