Ajax at Utrecht

Updated

Ajax

72.8%16.2%11.0%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.48Projected Goals 0.86
3Final Score 4

Utrecht

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+145
L 1-3 at Twente+160
T 0-0 at Fortuna Sittard-200
W 1-4 vs Heracles Almelo-475
L 1-3 at Twente+105
Utrecht
Money Line
W 3-1 at Heracles Almelo+145
L 5-1 vs Feyenoord+320
L 0-1 at Zwolle+130
L 2-0 vs Heerenveen-125
L 0-2 at PSV Eindhoven+650

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-120-100-110-108--108-100-
Utrecht+295+279+270+275-+275+279-
Draw+275+279+260+280-+280+280-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-125-----115-115-
Utrecht+300----+275+275-
Draw+305----+300+300-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 50.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -112 to -118
Utrecht ML moved from +298 to +279

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 50.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
Utrecht ML moved from +290 to +275

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+102o3-109o3-115o3-108-o3-108o3-108-
Underu3¼-122u3-111u3-105u3-112-u3-112u3-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.8%
 
No47.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.55%
Exactly 219.79%
Exactly 418.37%
Exactly 66.82%
Exactly 81.36%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.86%
Exactly 322.01%
Exactly 512.26%
Exactly 73.25%
Exactly 90.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 08.38%
Exactly 120.78%
Exactly 225.76%
Exactly 321.29%
Exactly 413.19%
Exactly 56.54%
Exactly 62.70%
Exactly 70.96%
Exactly 80.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 042.39%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 215.61%
Exactly 34.47%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.32%
Exactly 225.46%
Exactly 45.07%
Exactly 60.40%
 
Exactly 132.95%
Exactly 313.12%
Exactly 51.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 031.73%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 220.90%
Exactly 38.00%
Exactly 42.30%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 067.20%
Exactly 126.71%
Exactly 25.31%
Exactly 30.70%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals50.55%
Wins by 3+ goals29.51%
Wins by 4+ goals14.54%
Wins by 5+ goals6.10%
Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals3.26%
Wins by 3+ goals0.74%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Utrecht
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal22.16%
Wins by 2 goals21.04%
Wins by 3 goals14.97%
Wins by 4 goals8.44%
Wins by 5 goals3.92%
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal7.67%
Wins by 2 goals2.52%
Wins by 3 goals0.62%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.45%3.55%
1.584.59%15.41%
2.564.81%35.19%
3.542.80%57.20%
4.524.43%75.57%
5.512.17%87.83%
6.55.35%94.65%
7.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.62%8.38%
1.570.84%29.16%
2.545.08%54.92%
3.523.80%76.20%
4.510.61%89.39%
5.54.06%95.94%
6.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.61%42.39%
1.521.23%78.77%
2.55.62%94.38%
3.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.68%21.32%
1.545.72%54.28%
2.520.26%79.74%
3.57.15%92.85%
4.52.08%97.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Utrecht
Score0123
0
3.55%
3.05%
1.31%
0.37%
1
8.81%
7.56%
3.24%
0.93%
2
10.92%
9.37%
4.02%
1.15%
3
9.02%
7.74%
3.32%
0.95%
4
5.59%
4.80%
2.06%
0.59%
5
2.77%
2.38%
1.02%
0.29%
Ajax
1-08.81%
2-010.92%
2-19.37%
3-09.02%
3-17.74%
3-23.32%
4-05.59%
4-14.80%
4-22.06%
4-30.59%
5-02.77%
5-12.38%
5-21.02%
5-30.29%
Draw
0-03.55%
1-17.56%
2-24.02%
3-30.95%
4-40.13%
Utrecht
0-13.05%
0-21.31%
1-23.24%
0-30.37%
1-30.93%
2-31.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Utrecht
Score0123
0
21.32%
8.47%
1.68%
0.22%
1
24.48%
9.73%
1.93%
0.26%
2
14.05%
5.58%
1.11%
0.15%
3
5.38%
2.14%
0.42%
0.06%
4
1.54%
0.61%
0.12%
0.02%
5
0.35%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Ajax
1-024.48%
2-014.05%
2-15.58%
3-05.38%
3-12.14%
3-20.42%
4-01.54%
4-10.61%
4-20.12%
5-00.35%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-021.32%
1-19.73%
2-21.11%
Utrecht
0-18.47%
0-21.68%
1-21.93%
0-30.22%
1-30.26%
2-30.15%