Utrecht at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Utrecht

41.4%26.5%32.1%
Utrecht WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.38Projected Goals 1.18
3Final Score 1

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Feyenoord+320
L 0-1 at Zwolle+130
L 2-0 vs Heerenveen-125
L 0-2 at PSV Eindhoven+650
L 4-5 at Sparta Rotterdam+150
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 1-4 at Ajax+900
L 3-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+140
L 0-2 at RKC Waalwijk+240
L 0-2 at Willem II+250
T 1-1 vs Twente+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+160+169+140+147-+147+169-
Heracles Almelo+150+157+170+175-+175+175-
Draw+235+269+240+257-+257+269-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+165----+145+145-
Heracles Almelo+160----+175+175-
Draw+250----+255+255-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 20.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +145 to +135
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +175 to +167

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 20.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +170 to +140
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +185 to +175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o2½-136o2¾-115o2¾-117-o2¾-117o2½-136-
Underu2¾-110u2½+116u2¾-105u2¾-103-u2¾-103u2¾-103-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.71%
Exactly 225.32%
Exactly 413.85%
Exactly 63.03%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.76%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 57.10%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 025.16%
Exactly 134.72%
Exactly 223.95%
Exactly 311.02%
Exactly 43.80%
Exactly 51.05%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 030.65%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 221.43%
Exactly 38.45%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.53%
Exactly 221.49%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 38.50%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 052.79%
Exactly 133.72%
Exactly 210.77%
Exactly 32.29%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 057.84%
Exactly 131.67%
Exactly 28.67%
Exactly 31.58%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals19.32%
Wins by 3+ goals7.08%
Wins by 4+ goals2.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals13.22%
Wins by 3+ goals4.23%
Wins by 4+ goals1.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal22.03%
Wins by 2 goals12.24%
Wins by 3 goals5.00%
Wins by 4 goals1.60%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal18.88%
Wins by 2 goals8.99%
Wins by 3 goals3.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.29%7.71%
1.572.52%27.48%
2.547.20%52.80%
3.525.58%74.42%
4.511.73%88.27%
5.54.63%95.37%
6.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.84%25.16%
1.540.12%59.88%
2.516.16%83.84%
3.55.15%94.85%
4.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.35%30.65%
1.533.10%66.90%
2.511.67%88.33%
3.53.23%96.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.47%30.53%
1.533.24%66.76%
2.511.76%88.24%
3.53.26%96.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
7.71%
9.12%
5.39%
2.13%
0.63%
0.15%
1
10.64%
12.58%
7.44%
2.93%
0.87%
0.21%
2
7.34%
8.68%
5.13%
2.02%
0.60%
0.14%
3
3.38%
3.99%
2.36%
0.93%
0.28%
0.07%
4
1.16%
1.38%
0.81%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.32%
0.38%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Utrecht
1-010.64%
2-07.34%
2-18.68%
3-03.38%
3-13.99%
3-22.36%
4-01.16%
4-11.38%
4-20.81%
4-30.32%
5-00.32%
5-10.38%
5-20.22%
Draw
0-07.71%
1-112.58%
2-25.13%
3-30.93%
Heracles Almelo
0-19.12%
0-25.39%
1-27.44%
0-32.13%
1-32.93%
2-32.02%
0-40.63%
1-40.87%
2-40.60%
3-40.28%
0-50.15%
1-50.21%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
30.53%
16.72%
4.58%
0.84%
0.11%
1
19.51%
10.68%
2.92%
0.53%
0.07%
2
6.23%
3.41%
0.93%
0.17%
0.02%
3
1.33%
0.73%
0.20%
0.04%
0.00%
4
0.21%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Utrecht
1-019.51%
2-06.23%
2-13.41%
3-01.33%
3-10.73%
3-20.20%
4-00.21%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-030.53%
1-110.68%
2-20.93%
Heracles Almelo
0-116.72%
0-24.58%
1-22.92%
0-30.84%
1-30.53%
2-30.17%
0-40.11%
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