Twente at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Twente

32.8%26.7%40.5%
Twente WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.19Projected Goals 1.35
1Final Score 1

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-165
T 3-3 vs PSV Eindhoven+310
W 0-1 vs Zwolle-180
W 1-0 at AZ Alkmaar+400
W 2-1 at RKC Waalwijk+120
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
W 1-0 at Groningen+340
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord+585
W 2-0 at Fortuna Sittard+185
L 0-2 at Heerenveen+195
T 0-0 vs Vitesse+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+120+113+110+111+114+111+114+123.8
Heracles Almelo+225+274+260+255+248+255+274+272.3
Draw+230+246+220+240+227+240+246+251.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+120----+115+115+123.8
Heracles Almelo+240----+250+250+272.3
Draw+230----+235+235+251.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +120 to +113
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +245 to +230

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +120 to +110
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +260 to +250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½+105o2¼-122o2¼-125-o2¼-125o2¼-122o2½+119
Underu2½-102u2½-120u2¼+102u2¼+105-u2¼+105u2½-120u2½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+119
Under-----u2½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.90%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 413.66%
Exactly 62.93%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.06%
Exactly 321.53%
Exactly 56.93%
Exactly 71.06%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 030.48%
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 221.51%
Exactly 38.52%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 025.93%
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 310.63%
Exactly 43.59%
Exactly 50.97%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.88%
Exactly 221.32%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 38.35%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 057.69%
Exactly 131.74%
Exactly 28.73%
Exactly 31.60%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 053.53%
Exactly 133.45%
Exactly 210.45%
Exactly 32.18%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals13.60%
Wins by 3+ goals4.37%
Wins by 4+ goals1.12%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals18.60%
Wins by 3+ goals6.70%
Wins by 4+ goals1.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Twente
Wins by 1 goal19.22%
Wins by 2 goals9.23%
Wins by 3 goals3.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal21.84%
Wins by 2 goals11.91%
Wins by 3 goals4.76%
Wins by 4 goals1.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.10%7.90%
1.572.04%27.96%
2.546.59%53.41%
3.525.06%74.94%
4.511.40%88.60%
5.54.46%95.54%
6.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.52%30.48%
1.533.31%66.69%
2.511.80%88.20%
3.53.28%96.72%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.07%25.93%
1.539.07%60.93%
2.515.45%84.55%
3.54.82%95.18%
4.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.12%30.88%
1.532.83%67.17%
2.511.52%88.48%
3.53.16%96.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
7.90%
10.67%
7.20%
3.24%
1.09%
0.30%
1
9.39%
12.67%
8.55%
3.85%
1.30%
0.35%
2
5.58%
7.53%
5.08%
2.29%
0.77%
0.21%
3
2.21%
2.98%
2.01%
0.91%
0.31%
0.08%
4
0.66%
0.89%
0.60%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.16%
0.21%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Twente
1-09.39%
2-05.58%
2-17.53%
3-02.21%
3-12.98%
3-22.01%
4-00.66%
4-10.89%
4-20.60%
4-30.27%
5-00.16%
5-10.21%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-07.90%
1-112.67%
2-25.08%
3-30.91%
Heracles Almelo
0-110.67%
0-27.20%
1-28.55%
0-33.24%
1-33.85%
2-32.29%
0-41.09%
1-41.30%
2-40.77%
3-40.31%
0-50.30%
1-50.35%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
30.88%
19.30%
6.03%
1.26%
0.20%
1
16.99%
10.62%
3.32%
0.69%
0.11%
2
4.67%
2.92%
0.91%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.86%
0.54%
0.17%
0.03%
0.01%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Twente
1-016.99%
2-04.67%
2-12.92%
3-00.86%
3-10.54%
3-20.17%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-030.88%
1-110.62%
2-20.91%
Heracles Almelo
0-119.30%
0-26.03%
1-23.32%
0-31.26%
1-30.69%
2-30.19%
0-40.20%
1-40.11%