Twente at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Twente

32.8%26.7%40.5%
Twente WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.19Projected Goals 1.35
1Final Score 1

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-165
T 3-3 vs PSV Eindhoven+310
W 0-1 vs Zwolle-180
W 1-0 at AZ Alkmaar+400
W 2-1 at RKC Waalwijk+120
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
W 1-0 at Groningen+340
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord+585
W 2-0 at Fortuna Sittard+185
L 0-2 at Heerenveen+195
T 0-0 vs Vitesse+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+120+113+110+111+114+111+114+123.8
Heracles Almelo+225+274+260+255+248+255+274+272.3
Draw+230+246+220+240+227+240+246+251.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+120----+115+115+123.8
Heracles Almelo+240----+250+250+272.3
Draw+230----+235+235+251.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +120 to +113
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +245 to +230

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +120 to +110
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +260 to +250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½+105o2¼-122o2¼-125-o2¼-125o2¼-122o2½+119
Underu2½-102u2½-120u2¼+102u2¼+105-u2¼+105u2½-120u2½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+119
Under-----u2½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.90%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 413.66%
Exactly 62.93%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.06%
Exactly 321.53%
Exactly 56.93%
Exactly 71.06%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 030.48%
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 221.51%
Exactly 38.52%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 025.93%
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 310.63%
Exactly 43.59%
Exactly 50.97%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.88%
Exactly 221.32%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 38.35%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 057.69%
Exactly 131.74%
Exactly 28.73%
Exactly 31.60%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 053.53%
Exactly 133.45%
Exactly 210.45%
Exactly 32.18%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals13.60%
Wins by 3+ goals4.37%
Wins by 4+ goals1.12%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals18.60%
Wins by 3+ goals6.70%
Wins by 4+ goals1.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Twente
Wins by 1 goal19.22%
Wins by 2 goals9.23%
Wins by 3 goals3.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal21.84%
Wins by 2 goals11.91%
Wins by 3 goals4.76%
Wins by 4 goals1.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.10%7.90%
1.572.04%27.96%
2.546.59%53.41%
3.525.06%74.94%
4.511.40%88.60%
5.54.46%95.54%
6.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.52%30.48%
1.533.31%66.69%
2.511.80%88.20%
3.53.28%96.72%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.07%25.93%
1.539.07%60.93%
2.515.45%84.55%
3.54.82%95.18%
4.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.12%30.88%
1.532.83%67.17%
2.511.52%88.48%
3.53.16%96.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
7.90%
10.67%
7.20%
3.24%
1.09%
0.30%
1
9.39%
12.67%
8.55%
3.85%
1.30%
0.35%
2
5.58%
7.53%
5.08%
2.29%
0.77%
0.21%
3
2.21%
2.98%
2.01%
0.91%
0.31%
0.08%
4
0.66%
0.89%
0.60%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.16%
0.21%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Twente
1-09.39%
2-05.58%
2-17.53%
3-02.21%
3-12.98%
3-22.01%
4-00.66%
4-10.89%
4-20.60%
4-30.27%
5-00.16%
5-10.21%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-07.90%
1-112.67%
2-25.08%
3-30.91%
Heracles Almelo
0-110.67%
0-27.20%
1-28.55%
0-33.24%
1-33.85%
2-32.29%
0-41.09%
1-41.30%
2-40.77%
3-40.31%
0-50.30%
1-50.35%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
30.88%
19.30%
6.03%
1.26%
0.20%
1
16.99%
10.62%
3.32%
0.69%
0.11%
2
4.67%
2.92%
0.91%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.86%
0.54%
0.17%
0.03%
0.01%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Twente
1-016.99%
2-04.67%
2-12.92%
3-00.86%
3-10.54%
3-20.17%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-030.88%
1-110.62%
2-20.91%
Heracles Almelo
0-119.30%
0-26.03%
1-23.32%
0-31.26%
1-30.69%
2-30.19%
0-40.20%
1-40.11%
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