Heracles Almelo at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

Heracles Almelo

39.7%26.6%33.7%
Heracles Almelo WinDrawFortuna Sittard Win
1.34Projected Goals 1.22
2Final Score 0

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 0-2 at Heerenveen+195
T 0-0 vs Vitesse+150
L 1-3 at PSV Eindhoven+1000
W 0-2 vs Zwolle+105
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar+750
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 0-5 at PSV Eindhoven+1800
W 0-1 vs Willem II+135
L 1-0 vs Zwolle+170
W 1-0 at Groningen+355
W 0-2 vs Heerenveen+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+162+241+225+210+202+210+241+234.3
Fortuna Sittard+163+129+120+132+128+132+132+141.3
Draw+237+237+220+235+245+235+245+249.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+160----+185+185+234.3
Fortuna Sittard+165----+150+150+141.3
Draw+245----+235+235+249.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +195 to +185
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +135 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Heracles Almelo ML
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +170 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-103o2½-102o2½-101-o2½-101o2½-101o2½+104
Underu2½-115u2½-112u2½-118u2½-119-u2½-119u2½-112u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.0%
 
No48.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.73%
Exactly 225.33%
Exactly 413.84%
Exactly 63.02%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.79%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 57.09%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 026.07%
Exactly 135.05%
Exactly 223.56%
Exactly 310.56%
Exactly 43.55%
Exactly 50.95%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 029.65%
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 221.91%
Exactly 38.88%
Exactly 42.70%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.56%
Exactly 221.47%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 38.48%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 053.66%
Exactly 133.40%
Exactly 210.40%
Exactly 32.16%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 056.95%
Exactly 132.06%
Exactly 29.02%
Exactly 31.69%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals18.16%
Wins by 3+ goals6.50%
Wins by 4+ goals1.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals14.18%
Wins by 3+ goals4.65%
Wins by 4+ goals1.22%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Fortuna Sittard
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal21.54%
Wins by 2 goals11.66%
Wins by 3 goals4.64%
Wins by 4 goals1.44%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal19.48%
Wins by 2 goals9.54%
Wins by 3 goals3.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.27%7.73%
1.572.49%27.51%
2.547.16%52.84%
3.525.54%74.46%
4.511.70%88.30%
5.54.62%95.38%
6.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.93%26.07%
1.538.88%61.12%
2.515.32%84.68%
3.54.77%95.23%
4.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.35%29.65%
1.534.31%65.69%
2.512.40%87.60%
3.53.52%96.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.44%30.56%
1.533.21%66.79%
2.511.74%88.26%
3.53.25%96.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Fortuna Sittard
Score012345
0
7.73%
9.40%
5.71%
2.32%
0.70%
0.17%
1
10.39%
12.63%
7.68%
3.11%
0.95%
0.23%
2
6.98%
8.49%
5.16%
2.09%
0.64%
0.15%
3
3.13%
3.81%
2.31%
0.94%
0.29%
0.07%
4
1.05%
1.28%
0.78%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.28%
0.34%
0.21%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Heracles Almelo
1-010.39%
2-06.98%
2-18.49%
3-03.13%
3-13.81%
3-22.31%
4-01.05%
4-11.28%
4-20.78%
4-30.32%
5-00.28%
5-10.34%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-07.73%
1-112.63%
2-25.16%
3-30.94%
Fortuna Sittard
0-19.40%
0-25.71%
1-27.68%
0-32.32%
1-33.11%
2-32.09%
0-40.70%
1-40.95%
2-40.64%
3-40.29%
0-50.17%
1-50.23%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Fortuna Sittard
Score01234
0
30.56%
17.20%
4.84%
0.91%
0.13%
1
19.02%
10.71%
3.01%
0.57%
0.08%
2
5.92%
3.33%
0.94%
0.18%
0.02%
3
1.23%
0.69%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.19%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-019.02%
2-05.92%
2-13.33%
3-01.23%
3-10.69%
3-20.19%
4-00.19%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-030.56%
1-110.71%
2-20.94%
Fortuna Sittard
0-117.20%
0-24.84%
1-23.01%
0-30.91%
1-30.57%
2-30.18%
0-40.13%