Heracles Almelo at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

Heracles Almelo

39.7%26.6%33.7%
Heracles Almelo WinDrawFortuna Sittard Win
1.34Projected Goals 1.22
2Final Score 0

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 0-2 at Heerenveen+195
T 0-0 vs Vitesse+150
L 1-3 at PSV Eindhoven+1000
W 0-2 vs Zwolle+105
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar+750
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 0-5 at PSV Eindhoven+1800
W 0-1 vs Willem II+135
L 1-0 vs Zwolle+170
W 1-0 at Groningen+355
W 0-2 vs Heerenveen+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+162+241+225+210+202+210+241+234.3
Fortuna Sittard+163+129+120+132+128+132+132+141.3
Draw+237+237+220+235+245+235+245+249.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+160----+185+185+234.3
Fortuna Sittard+165----+150+150+141.3
Draw+245----+235+235+249.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +195 to +185
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +135 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Heracles Almelo ML
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +170 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-103o2½-102o2½-101-o2½-101o2½-101o2½+104
Underu2½-115u2½-112u2½-118u2½-119-u2½-119u2½-112u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.0%
 
No48.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.73%
Exactly 225.33%
Exactly 413.84%
Exactly 63.02%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.79%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 57.09%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 026.07%
Exactly 135.05%
Exactly 223.56%
Exactly 310.56%
Exactly 43.55%
Exactly 50.95%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 029.65%
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 221.91%
Exactly 38.88%
Exactly 42.70%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.56%
Exactly 221.47%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 38.48%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 053.66%
Exactly 133.40%
Exactly 210.40%
Exactly 32.16%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 056.95%
Exactly 132.06%
Exactly 29.02%
Exactly 31.69%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals18.16%
Wins by 3+ goals6.50%
Wins by 4+ goals1.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals14.18%
Wins by 3+ goals4.65%
Wins by 4+ goals1.22%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Fortuna Sittard
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal21.54%
Wins by 2 goals11.66%
Wins by 3 goals4.64%
Wins by 4 goals1.44%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal19.48%
Wins by 2 goals9.54%
Wins by 3 goals3.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.27%7.73%
1.572.49%27.51%
2.547.16%52.84%
3.525.54%74.46%
4.511.70%88.30%
5.54.62%95.38%
6.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.93%26.07%
1.538.88%61.12%
2.515.32%84.68%
3.54.77%95.23%
4.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.35%29.65%
1.534.31%65.69%
2.512.40%87.60%
3.53.52%96.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.44%30.56%
1.533.21%66.79%
2.511.74%88.26%
3.53.25%96.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Fortuna Sittard
Score012345
0
7.73%
9.40%
5.71%
2.32%
0.70%
0.17%
1
10.39%
12.63%
7.68%
3.11%
0.95%
0.23%
2
6.98%
8.49%
5.16%
2.09%
0.64%
0.15%
3
3.13%
3.81%
2.31%
0.94%
0.29%
0.07%
4
1.05%
1.28%
0.78%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.28%
0.34%
0.21%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Heracles Almelo
1-010.39%
2-06.98%
2-18.49%
3-03.13%
3-13.81%
3-22.31%
4-01.05%
4-11.28%
4-20.78%
4-30.32%
5-00.28%
5-10.34%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-07.73%
1-112.63%
2-25.16%
3-30.94%
Fortuna Sittard
0-19.40%
0-25.71%
1-27.68%
0-32.32%
1-33.11%
2-32.09%
0-40.70%
1-40.95%
2-40.64%
3-40.29%
0-50.17%
1-50.23%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Fortuna Sittard
Score01234
0
30.56%
17.20%
4.84%
0.91%
0.13%
1
19.02%
10.71%
3.01%
0.57%
0.08%
2
5.92%
3.33%
0.94%
0.18%
0.02%
3
1.23%
0.69%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.19%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-019.02%
2-05.92%
2-13.33%
3-01.23%
3-10.69%
3-20.19%
4-00.19%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-030.56%
1-110.71%
2-20.94%
Fortuna Sittard
0-117.20%
0-24.84%
1-23.01%
0-30.91%
1-30.57%
2-30.18%
0-40.13%
Willem II at Feyenoord
Heerenveen at Sparta Rotterdam