Heracles Almelo at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

Heracles Almelo

13.0%17.8%69.2%
WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
0.91Projected Goals 2.33
1Final Score 3

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Zwolle+105
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar+750
W 0-1 vs Utrecht+220
L 0-3 at Ajax+2500
W 2-4 vs Groningen+135
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 2-1 at Sparta Rotterdam-215
W 1-3 vs Heerenveen-600
W 5-0 at Vitesse-150
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar-130
L 2-1 vs Ajax+295

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+1500+1467+1300+1400+1361+1400+1467+1447.0
PSV Eindhoven-625-535-575-556-599-556-535-407.5
Draw+625+678+600+620+643+620+678+655.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+1230----+1000+1000+1447.0
PSV Eindhoven-450-----450-450-407.5
Draw+535----+600+600+655.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 40.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +1361 to +1336
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -545 to -599

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +1100 to +1000
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -425 to -450

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-105o3-140o3¼-108o3¼-108-o3¼-108o3-140o3¼+100
Underu3¼-115u3+125u3¼-112u3¼-112-u3¼-112u3+125u3¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+100
Under-----u3¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.8%
 
No46.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.93%
Exactly 220.59%
Exactly 417.96%
Exactly 66.27%
Exactly 81.17%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.73%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 511.62%
Exactly 72.90%
Exactly 90.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 040.44%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.58%
Exactly 35.00%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 09.73%
Exactly 122.67%
Exactly 226.41%
Exactly 320.51%
Exactly 411.95%
Exactly 55.57%
Exactly 62.16%
Exactly 70.72%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.36%
Exactly 225.09%
Exactly 44.69%
Exactly 60.35%
 
Exactly 133.49%
Exactly 312.53%
Exactly 51.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 065.76%
Exactly 127.57%
Exactly 25.78%
Exactly 30.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 034.00%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.78%
Exactly 37.11%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals4.06%
Wins by 3+ goals0.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals46.25%
Wins by 3+ goals25.77%
Wins by 4+ goals12.06%
Wins by 5+ goals4.80%
Wins by 6+ goals1.63%
Wins by 7+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal8.90%
Wins by 2 goals3.09%
Wins by 3 goals0.80%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal22.90%
Wins by 2 goals20.47%
Wins by 3 goals13.71%
Wins by 4 goals7.27%
Wins by 5 goals3.17%
Wins by 6 goals1.17%
Wins by 7 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.07%3.93%
1.583.34%16.66%
2.562.74%37.26%
3.540.54%59.46%
4.522.57%77.43%
5.510.95%89.05%
6.54.68%95.32%
7.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.56%40.44%
1.522.95%77.05%
2.56.38%93.62%
3.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.27%9.73%
1.567.60%32.40%
2.541.19%58.81%
3.520.68%79.32%
4.58.73%91.27%
5.53.16%96.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.64%22.36%
1.544.15%55.85%
2.519.07%80.93%
3.56.54%93.46%
4.51.85%98.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
3.93%
9.17%
10.68%
8.29%
4.83%
2.25%
1
3.56%
8.30%
9.67%
7.51%
4.37%
2.04%
2
1.61%
3.76%
4.38%
3.40%
1.98%
0.92%
3
0.49%
1.13%
1.32%
1.03%
0.60%
0.28%
4
0.11%
0.26%
0.30%
0.23%
0.14%
0.06%
Heracles Almelo
1-03.56%
2-01.61%
2-13.76%
3-00.49%
3-11.13%
3-21.32%
4-00.11%
4-10.26%
4-20.30%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-03.93%
1-18.30%
2-24.38%
3-31.03%
4-40.14%
PSV Eindhoven
0-19.17%
0-210.68%
1-29.67%
0-38.29%
1-37.51%
2-33.40%
0-44.83%
1-44.37%
2-41.98%
3-40.60%
0-52.25%
1-52.04%
2-50.92%
3-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
22.36%
24.12%
13.01%
4.68%
1.26%
0.27%
1
9.37%
10.11%
5.45%
1.96%
0.53%
0.11%
2
1.96%
2.12%
1.14%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.27%
0.30%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-09.37%
2-01.96%
2-12.12%
3-00.27%
3-10.30%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-022.36%
1-110.11%
2-21.14%
PSV Eindhoven
0-124.12%
0-213.01%
1-25.45%
0-34.68%
1-31.96%
2-30.41%
0-41.26%
1-40.53%
2-40.11%
0-50.27%
1-50.11%